定价的艺术与科学 | Madhavan Ramanujam(《创新变现》,Simon-Kucher)
The art and science of pricing | Madhavan Ramanujam (Monetizing Innovation, Simon-Kucher)
Episode Opening Highlights
Madhavan Ramanujam: The good founders need to be able to dominate both market share and wallet share. It is not a choice. You need to get better at both.
Introducing the Guest
Lenny Rachitsky: It feels like every company wants to be an AI company these days. How is AI pricing different?
Madhavan Ramanujam: The winners in AI will need to master monetization from day one. If you’re bringing a lot of value to the table and you start at training your customers to expect $20 a month and you anchored yourself on a low price point, you’re in trouble. 20% of what you build drives 80% of the willingness to pay. But the irony is that that 20% is the easiest thing to build often.
Starting the Conversation
Lenny Rachitsky: What would you say is the biggest lesson you want founders to take away?
Why Write the Sequel
Madhavan Ramanujam: If you think about market share and wallet share, let’s think about it as a two-by-two. The quadrant that you really want to be in is the outcome-based pricing model, the top-right quadrant where you have great autonomy and great attribution. About 5% of companies are probably in a true outcome-based pricing model. If you want to win in AI, figure out a way to get to that quadrant.
Lenny Rachitsky: Do you feel like the popular IDE startups, they’re going to be in trouble down the road?
Core Thesis: Market vs. Wallet Share
Madhavan Ramanujam: Some of them, yes, without naming names.
Lenny Rachitsky: Today my guest is Madhavan Ramanujam. Madhavan is the smartest person I know on pricing and monetization strategy. As managing partner at Simon-Kucher, he’s worked with over 250 companies, including 30 unicorns, to help them figure out how to price, package, and grow their products.
He’s also the author of the book on pricing called Monetizing Innovation. And now he’s back with a new book, a sequel, called Scaling Innovation, which teaches you how to architect your business for long-term profitable growth and also how to avoid the common traps that teams fall into that keep them from building real, durable, sustainable businesses.
Bill Gurley wrote the foreword. I had a chance to read an early copy. I absolutely loved it. It’s a book that every founder needs to read. And in this episode, Madhavan shares many of the biggest lessons from the book, including how pricing strategy is very different for AI companies, why you need to get your pricing model right from the start in today’s market, a very simple two-by-two to help you pick your pricing model, how to gain pricing power, a ton of tactical advice for negotiating more effectively, the most common traps founders fall into, and so much more.
If you order five copies of the book, Madhavan is offering a chance to win a free conversation with him, a signed copy of the book, an invite to the book launch, a t-shirt, and more. Just send a copy of your purchase receipt to promo@49palmsvc.com.
And some more good news, Madhavan is now more accessible. He left Simon-Kucher. He’s now investing full-time with his own fund. He focuses on early-stage AI companies. If you want to work with them, check him out at 49palmsvc.com.
If you enjoy this podcast, don’t forget to subscribe and follow it in your favorite podcasting app or YouTube. With that, I bring you Madhavan Ramanujam.
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Madhavan, thank you so much for being here. Welcome to the podcast.
Common Pitfalls for Founders
Madhavan Ramanujam: It’s exciting to be back, Lenny. Thanks so much for hosting me again.
Lenny Rachitsky: This is a very rare second visit to the podcast. You’ve got a new book coming out. I’ve got a very early copy right here. If you’re watching on YouTube, here’s the copy you sent me. It’s like 200 pages. Did you print this out on your printer, by the way?
Strategy 1: Ultimate Pricing Simplicity
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yes, I think I ran out of printer ink after that, I guess.
Lenny Rachitsky: I appreciate the early copy. It’s amazing. What we’re going to be doing with this conversation is going through some of the biggest lessons that you shared in this book to give people a sense of many of the things that you share, many things you’ve learned since writing the first book.
Let me start with this question. Why’d you decide to write another book? And what is the difference between Scaling Innovation, which is the name of this book, and Monetizing Innovation, is the name of the first book?
Contextualizing Pricing and Value Stories
Madhavan Ramanujam: So Monetizing Innovation, we actually wrote it eight years ago. Time Flies. And the core thesis of that book was, how do you build products that are not just cool but are products that people need, value, and are actually willing to pay for? And I think that took a life of its own.
And over the years, we kept getting another question from entrepreneurs that, “Hey, we built a great product, we know there is willingness to pay, but how do we build a great business? How do we scale this?” And the brutal truth is that even if you have a great product, you might actually not figure out a way to grow fast and grow profitably. So we wrote Scaling Innovation in an effort to actually solve that puzzle.
So you can think of this as a sequel to Monetizing Innovation. And Monetizing Innovation. Talked about how to build great products. Scaling Innovation talks about how to build a great business. And writing a book is… There needs to be a purpose for this. For me, the reason for writing books is about giving a bit back based on what I know to founders. And book writing is hard. Writing a good book is even harder.
And just like Monetizing Innovation, Scaling Innovation is not marketing fluff. It actually has real actionable stuff packed in that you can go on Monday morning and start implementing. And we wrote this book to give back a bit of what we know and to help companies scale and architect towards profitable growth.
Lenny Rachitsky: I love people like you that do the work for, I don’t know, decades at this point, learn from real life experiences over and over and over, and then just share all this stuff with people. This is the most… the highest ROI way to learn, is letting you do all this work to learn all these things and then you share all your answers with us. So that’s why I love these books.
If you had to boil down the thesis of this book into just a simple thought so that we can just start to plant this in founders’s heads, what would that be?
Mastering the Negotiation
Madhavan Ramanujam: So if I have to boil down the core thesis of the book, it is basically that if you want to build an enduring business, you need to be able to architect towards profitable growth. What that means is you need to be able to master two engines: market share and wallet share.
It sounds simple on the surface, but it’s actually quite complex. Because if you unpack that, for gaining market share and wallet share, you need to be good at acquisition, monetization, and retention, as in get customers, make an initial money on them, but also make money on an ongoing basis and have your customers actually refer more customers.
Many companies, actually, what they do is they focus on a single engine strategy. So they focus on one of those two topics and pretty much exclude the other one. That leads to all kinds of situations. You see companies saying, “I’ll grow at all costs and postpone monetization.” You see some who would say, “I’m going to monetize earlier on,” but they might miss out on acquisition opportunities. Or yet others who are so focused on a small set of loyal customer base that they’re neither monetizing nor are they actually acquiring.
So the good founders need to be able to dominate both market share and wallet share. It is not a choice. You need to get better at both. But this does not mean that you’re putting equal effort on market share and wallet share at all given points in time, but it means you’re putting equal attention on both those topics and being thoughtful about the trade-offs and saying, “How can I actually look at these two topics together so that I’m architecting towards profitable growth?” That’s the core thesis of the book.
We actually showcase nine strategies that actually allow companies to architect towards profitable growth. And every chapter ends with how this particular strategy circumvents a single-engine problem and helps you focus on market share and wallet share at the same time. And there’s also CEO questions and leadership questions that people should reflect on when they architect towards profitable growth and are they on the right track? I mean, think about this ways. If you’re flying a aircraft, you don’t want to flight on one engine. Why do you actually want to do that for your business?
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay. So I imagine many founders or people thinking about starting a company are not feeling like they’re in one bucket or another. Intuitively, you’re not like, “Oh, Of course. We’re going to just focus on growth forever, and that’s all that matters.”
You had these kind of traps that founders fall into that you referenced a bit. Can you just talk again about just the common traps you find founders fall into that people may recognize like, “Shit, that’s what I’m doing probably”?
The Art of Value Selling
Madhavan Ramanujam: So let’s unpack the traps that are correlated to the archetypes. If you’re a disruptor archetype, you might fall into one of two traps. The first one is you might land, but you might not expand. As in your eagerness for acquiring, you might have actually given away a lot at less and you have given the farm away, but you don’t have anything to expand to. That’s the first trap you’re likely to fall into.
The second trap that you actually fall into is you start… A market share that won, is different from a market share that is actually held. If you’re so acquisition focused, you’re actually focused on getting more and more customers, but you’re not spending enough time with customers that you actually got to keep them, upsell them, keep them happy, et cetera. So you might fall into that trap.
If you’re a moneymaker, you fall into one of two traps. The first one is you might nickel and dime your customers to death. Because you’re focused on monetization, you might come up with a very differentiated pricing model, different levels, hidden fees, things to charge for many different things and come across as just trying to nickel and dime your customer.
The second trap that a moneymaker actually falls into is that you fall into the price premium paradox where you think that pricing high actually indicates value, but your price is so high that you actually start hurting your acquisition, so it just becomes irrelevant for most people.
If you’re in the community builder, you actually fall into two common traps. The first one is you’re focused so much on the foundation that you actually miss the frontier, which is you’re so focused on your loyal customer base that you forget to attract different types of customers and you’re not acquiring.
And the second trap that you fall into if you’re a community builder is you train your customers to expect more for less. Because you’re so eager to satisfy your loyal base, you start giving them more and more, and you’re training your best customer base to expect more for less.
So these six traps are very common across these archetypes. Being a profitable growth architect means that you’re avoiding these traps. In other words, you’re simultaneously being a disruptor, a moneymaker, and a community builder all at the same time. And how do you actually have that archetype and the right strategies to actually go about your business?
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay. So this is what you want to not do. You mentioned you have nine strategies for how you actually want to approach pricing, monetization, scaling, monetization, and innovation. Can you share a couple of these strategies, maybe two or three, maybe some of your favorites?
Three Key Elements of ROI Models
Madhavan Ramanujam: Sure. So I will unpack a couple of strategies. Maybe the first one I would take is what we call as beautifully simple pricing. So in your early days it is by far more important to have pricing that is really simple and it’s not creating too much friction in the sales conversation. I mean, the asset test that you probably should go back on Monday morning and do is take some of your early prospects or customers and ask them to articulate the pricing strategy back to you, right? If they were to actually sell on your behalf, how would they describe the pricing strategy? And if they cannot contextualize that in a simple manner and actually explain, you don’t have a simple pricing strategy. It’s as simple as that.
And having a simple pricing strategy also means that your pricing needs to be able to tell a value story, as in you need to contextualize your price based on the value that you actually bring to the table.
A great example here is Superhuman. When they started, they were actually competing with free email products and they were coming up with a premium email experience. And how do you actually price that? And I thought the team at Superhuman with Rahul and others did a pretty good job. They came up with a $30 price point per month, which was pretty simple. But the way they kind of told the story was that you pay a dollar a day for actually getting four hours of productivity back in the week, and then suddenly the pricing doesn’t look too off. I mean, it’s like the price for a latte in a week to actually get four hours back. Why wouldn’t I actually do that, right?
And pricing contextualization and value story doesn’t need to just apply for premium products. If you take another example, like the Subway 5, you get a lot of value actually back. So beautifully simple pricing really means coming up with a simple pricing strategy that your customers immediately get and your pricing is actually telling a value story and how do you actually get that. So in the book, we have a checklist of 10 different things that you actually need to look at to make sure that your pricing is beautifully simple.
How AI Pricing is Different
Lenny Rachitsky: As we go through these strategies, is your advice try all these things, like you should do as many of these strategies as you can, or is it maybe pick a few that work for you or just one is enough?
Madhavan Ramanujam: So there are nine strategies. We have organized that into strategies that apply during your startup phase, like just when you get started, and strategies that apply to you in your scale-up phase. So there are four strategies that you need to do in your startup and five in the scale-up, so it’s quite manageable. I would argue that all four apply in the startup and all five actually apply in the scale-up phase, but it’s not like you need to start focusing on nine things from day one.
The Correct Approach to POCs
Lenny Rachitsky: So this first one was the startup phase?
Pricing Strategies for POCs
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yeah. The beautifully simple pricing is the startup. Exactly. And so in the scale-up phase, I think one of the most important strategies is to master negotiations and really get better at acing negotiations, especially if you’re in a B2B situation. And how do you actually do that? Because you need to be able to talk about the value and contextualize your price based on those kind of conversations.
So to master negotiations, it comes down to actually three things. Mastering gives and gets, being good at value selling, and third, having the right negotiation strategies. So let’s unpack that each at a time.
So giving and getting, why is that important? Because in a negotiation, typically you’re giving. I mean, you’re giving concessions. People are asking. If you don’t get anything back, you’re basically indicating to the other person that they can keep beating you up and you need to keep giving. But if you’re giving something but you ask for something in exchange, then you’re basically bringing authenticity into the negotiation because it actually means something to you to give, so you’re asking something back. It actually makes the negotiation way more effective.
And in the book we actually talk about the top 10 gets in B2B and the top 10 gets in B2C. One of my favorite gets in the B2B situation is what I call as conducting a value audit. So what this means is if you’re giving a concession, ask for a value audit in exchange where every six months a team internally from your customers would be commissioned to actually conduct a value assessment of your products so that it becomes their business case and you co-create it with them saying how much value is actually produced. And this is great because if they actually engage in that, that gives you tremendous pricing power for renegotiations because it is their business case, they’re championed it internally, and you’re pretty much making your products pretty sticky. So it’s a pretty harmless get, but it could be very powerful for future negotiations. So being good at-
A Second Approach to POC Pricing
Lenny Rachitsky: That’s really smart.
The Dangers of Under-Monetization
Madhavan Ramanujam: … gives and gets is… Thank you. Being good at gives and gets is really critical.
The second thing in mastering negotiations is being good at value selling. And for being good at value selling, you need to do three things. First, you need to be able to create the needs. Second, you need to be able to create affirmation loops. And the third one is creating a good ROI model. And let’s talk about each of those. So creating needs is very important because many founders show up and try to understand what are the needs of the customers. That’s one way to look at it. But you need to be able to create needs rather than just discover them.
So for instance, if you’re a marketing automation AI product and you save, let’s say, three weeks of work that actually needs to be done to actually get stuff in a dashboard that can be analyzed by marketing managers, the way you create the need is ask about existing processes and say, “Okay, so just so I understand, all of this stuff actually takes you three weeks to put data together to actually have meaningful dashboards for your marketing managers to take action. What if that was available to you instantaneously?” Oh, you have now just created a need, right? So being in that mindset of creating a need as opposed to just discovering them.
The second thing is creating affirmation loops. And this is really important. I’ve seen a lot of founders get into negotiations. They’re so eager to talk about their products. They keep talking about the products without any affirmation from the other side. You need to pause and create affirmation loops, things like, for instance, “Okay, so far, you’ve seen all of this. How does this actually play out in your company? Do you see it as valuable? What about this dashboard do you actually like?”
So when you ask these kind of questions and your customers are playing back the value that they actually see in your product, you’re creating affirmation loops, which become tremendously useful when you start selling the product finally. Because if they’ve agreed that there’s value that is being produced, then you also have a better commercial discussion.
And the third one is creating a good ROI model. And I see a lot of founders work on a POC. And after the POC’s over, they’ll show up with an ROI model and try to defend a price. You’ve already lost the battle. I mean, no one is going to believe an ROI model that you just cooked up. Everyone is going to challenge you on assumptions.
The right way to think about an ROI model is to actually co-create it with your customers from day one, which means agree and validate on the assumptions and the inputs. So like, “Hey, how long does this process take today? How many engineers are there?” So you create ask questions that are all inputs to an ROI model. And if you have done that process and the customer agrees on all the inputs, they’re very unlikely to push back on the output of an ROI model. So a POC needs to be framed as the purpose of a POC is to build a business case, and we are going to co-create an ROI model with the customer as opposed to it being a tech and product functionality feature test and you show up with an ROI model.
And when you’re building an ROI model, there are many buckets to focus on, but there are three that are very critical. The first one is, what are the incremental gains that you actually bring to the table based on KPIs and metrics that your customer is tracking? So this could be things like incremental revenue, reduction in churn. These are the immediate, tangible, clear impact to the business line based on the products that you actually bring to the table.
The second bucket is cost savings. Are you reducing headcount? Are you reducing license costs? What are the tangible cost savings?
And the third one, which is often overlooked, is opportunity cost. For instance, if you save 10 hours of time for a team, what do they actually do with that 10 hours? That can also be quantified. So when you put all of these three things together, you start building a proper ROI model that you can actually use in your value selling to defend the right price.
So we talked about three steps in mastering negotiations. The first one was gives and gets. The second one was getting better at value selling. The third one is actually getting better at even negotiations and what strategies would you actually use. And there are a couple of strategies that we have found to be really productive.
The first one is to show up with options. Many founders rush with one product and one price and say, “Okay, this is a hundred K product, and that’s what we are trying to sell.” Inevitably, what will happen is the immediate focus of the conversation will be on the price, and you’re only talking about price.
But if you have options on the table, let’s say if you have a good, better, best, if you’re a hundred K product, a 200K and a 300K option, then you’re not just talking price, you’re talking value. Because if your customer is budget conscious, they’ll say, “Hey, I like the hundred K price point, but I actually like the functionality in your 200K product.” Then your immediate question is, what in the functionality do you actually like? Why is that beneficial for you? So you switch the conversation back to value as opposed to just talking about price. And we have seen that with these kind of conversations, you’re by far more better off to actually land in a much better place than just showcasing one product and one price.
And showcasing options doesn’t need to be just different products. It could even be a pricing model choice. And I’d probably give a simple hack that people can try on Monday morning. I was talking to this founder who said, “Hey, I think the budget is about 100K. That’s what I believe from the key stakeholder, but my product really brings crazy value. I could even charge, let’s say, a 500K for this product, but I don’t have the courage to actually go and ask for a 500K price because I kind of know a hundred K is the budget. What should I do?” So for those kind of situations, actually show up with options in your pricing model.
So we coached him to go in with a hundred K, plus 10% on any incremental value that you bring, or it’s a 500K fixed. So now this is actually a great situation in negotiation. Because if you’re price sensitive, you’re focused on the hundred K. It’s a small fee to actually get started. But the conversation will gravitate towards, “What is that 10%? How do you measure value?” That’s a great conversation to have because now you’re talking about, “How you add value? Where’s the value generation? What portion would you take?”
And you see one of two situations. Either the customer say, “That’s great. You’re putting skin in the game. Let’s go with a hundred K and 10%,” or, 80% of the situations, you might actually want to avoid the outcome-based pricing as a buyer, but you’re not really fixated on the 500K at that point. It is the premium that you’re actually paying for the certainty. So no one is focusing on the 5K because of the hundred K option on the table, and you just put a 500K and got the courage to do that. And in this specific situation, that 500K got negotiated to 400K, and they just 4X the deal compared to where they would be. So having options on the table when you negotiate is critical.
And there’s also some tactics that we showcase in the book, like anchoring is important. If you start high, you’ll also end up higher. And also tapering concessions. How do you give concessions? I mean, the worst negotiators will start by giving a small concession and then give a bit more when someone asks like… You might give a 5% discount, and the procurement guy says, “That’s not enough.” “Okay, I’ll give you 10% more.” “Okay, that’s not enough.” “I’ll give you 15.” What are you indicating to the other person? You’re just basically indicating that I can keep beating you up and I can get more discounts.
The best negotiators who taper the concessions. So they would say, “I can give you 15%.” “Okay, I need more.” “I’ll give you five.” “I need more.” “I’ll give you two.” So you’re automatically indicating to the other person that the negotiation’s actually ending. So how do you taper concessions also become important.
So when you put all of these three things together, if you master your gives and gets, you get better at value selling, and you use the right negotiation strategy, you can extract full value from every deal. That’s probably way more important when you’re at the scale-up phase.
The Market vs. Wallet Share Trade-Off
Lenny Rachitsky: This is such great advice. I love that this is just one small chapter of your book. This could make or break your company. It’s interesting that you have a whole thing on negotiation in a book about scaling innovation and growing your company. Is the assumption here that your pricing and monetization is so impacted by how well you negotiate because that changes your entire pricing structure and how much you’re making? Is that why you put so much effort into this part?
Pricing Framework: Attribution and Autonomy Matrix
Madhavan Ramanujam: Exactly. I mean, in a B2B situation, you can set all the pricing you want, come up with great pricing models. But at least even today, it’s a human having a human conversation trying to negotiate. So if you cannot contextualize what you put on the table, how do you negotiate around value, how do you contextualize your price, you’re leaving a lot of money on the table.
So to us, negotiations is yet another monetization topic where you’re thinking about it as extracting full value from every deal. And this is not just negotiation tactics, like keep your boss at home and just negotiate and things like that. This is actual negotiation strategies that are rooted on value selling, gives and gets, and focusing on extracting full value from every deal.
Lenny Rachitsky: So useful. This idea of throwing out a third higher priced option, say 500K, it’s so interesting. Because usually the advice I hear is like, “Just throw out twice the number you used to… ” Just put it out there just in case, which is really scary to ask for like, “What about $50,000?” And this is like a much less scary way of doing that. “Okay, but we also have this 500K option. Here’s what you get.” And then they may be like, “Oh, that’s exactly what we want.” And you’re like, “Oh, wow. It worked.”
The Golden Quadrant: Outcome-Based Pricing
Madhavan Ramanujam: Exactly. It’s a very simple hack to get your courage.
Intercom’s Pricing Transformation
Lenny Rachitsky: That is so cool.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Put a good price point.
Packaging Strategies for Multi-Product Stages
Lenny Rachitsky: Wow, this is awesome. This is just like a golden nugget within golden nuggets of advice. Okay. So you have nine strategies. We’ve covered two. Let’s not get into them, but just what are a few more just so people know what else they might be able to learn?
Madhavan Ramanujam: Sure. We talk about how to land and expand, as in how to design your best free product in such a way that you are landing, but also expanding. We talk about things like how to have the right packaging strategy, how to stop churn before it happens, how to do price increases effectively. Because at some point in your scale-up journey, you need to increase price, but how do you do that meaningful fashion?
So we have various strategies that apply both for the startup and the scale-up phase. But in combination, all of those things help you articulate and architect towards profitable growth.
Frequency of Pricing Strategy Adjustments
Lenny Rachitsky: Awesome. Okay. Let’s talk about AI for a bit. A lot of your book is about how AI pricing is very different from other previous traditional pricing strategies. And it feels like every company wants to be an AI company these days, so I think this is going to apply to a lot of people. How is AI pricing different?
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yeah, AI pricing is very different from the previous vintage of companies. Why is that so? Because AI founders need to tackle monetization from the very early days, like day one in their seed stage pre-seed kind of thing, which was not probably the focus for the previous SaaS companies. Why is that? So because of two reasons.
One, for the first time there’s cost dynamics to actually navigate. So you need to think about monetization from day one. But there’s also a more critical reason, which is value capture. Because with AI products, you’re actually bringing a lot of value to the table. And if you don’t capture that from day one, then you’re training your customers to expect more for less.
So for instance, think about this. If you’re building a agentic AI product that taps into labor budgets, labor budgets are 10X compared to software budgets. So if you use all the old playbooks, then you’re under monetizing, again, from day one and training your customers to expect more for less. So how do you come up with foundational models that actually allow you to capture the value that you bring to the table?
And why has this become critical? Because with AI, finally, founders can really solve the attribution problem. In the previous vintages… For instance, if you take Slack, you can say that the productivity went up, efficiency happened, but you cannot measure it, monitor it, attribute it to Slack. Okay, that’s probably why they were in a seed-based pricing model.
But in today’s situations, you see companies that say, “In a Fortune 100 company, I was able to improve throughput by 10%, reduce crap by 5%.” And when you get into those kinds of situation where an AI is creating core value and it’s attributable to the AI, you get a lot of pricing power.
So the two questions that we commonly hear from AI founders is, “How do I set the right pricing model?” as in, “How do I charge?” which becomes way more important than how much you charge. Because the underlining business model has changed. We have moved from software being a pay for access to now you’re paying for work delivered. So the monetization model’s become key. That is the first question that people actually ask us.
The second one is, “How do I navigate POCs, commercial discussions early?” Because the buyer on the other side also wants to see the value before they engage in a commercial discussion.” So those two topics become very critical, and we have showcased a lot of this in the book.
Axioms from Scaling Innovation
Lenny Rachitsky:
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Let’s talk about this POC piece because I think this is something a lot of people deal with. And then I want to talk about this two-by-two that you have in the book. And I’ll actually pull it up. So let’s talk about POCs first.
The Anti-Churn Axiom
Madhavan Ramanujam: So POCs, when we talk about POCs, many founders think about a POC as a proof of technical functionality, and is their product actually working in their customer environments. And they set up the expectation that we are saying, “Hey, we are going to put the product, and we’re going to see if it actually works.” And they would probably say, “Should I charge for a POC versus not?” And we’ll unpack that in a bit, should you or should you not.
And that’s actually a completely wrong way of framing it. The POC should be framed as the entire goal of the POC is to create a business case, period, full stop. It is not to demonstrate product functionality fit within your customer environment’s ability to integrate. All of that stuff is a consequence of the business case.
So if you frame it this way is you can say, “Look, it is a 30-day pilot for co-creating an ROI model and building a business case along with their users. If we see value at the end of the 30 days based on the business case, we can get to commercial discussions.” So that way you’ve actually not talked about your price. You’re only focused on co-creating a business case with the customer. And based on the business case, you can actually come up with a proper commercial agreement. And if they see value, they’re going to pay you for it. So thinking about the POCs in that kind of manner.
And the question that I often get asked is, “Should I charge for a POC?” And the answer is yes, but smartly. Let’s talk about why it’s important to charge. The reason you need to charge for a POC is you start isolating people who are just tire kickers versus serious buyers. It becomes a lead qualification mechanism. If you didn’t have that, you’re going to attract all of these curious buyers who are just curious about AI. They just want to see if it works or not. They will say, “Yes, I’ll engage with the POC.” They will take 30, 60, 90 days with you. They will burn a lot of resources, never buy. You’ve just wasted your time. Time is of the essence. So having a price tag to your POC actually indicates that there is seriousness on both sides, so you should charge.
But how do you actually charge for it? You need to charge for it smartly. What this means is that you need to make sure that your POC pricing is not a reflection of your actual commercial deal. Because let’s say if you just say it’s a 10K POC for a 30-day pilot. If you don’t talk about the fact that it is not the same as your commercial discussion, you have now set an anchor that, okay, it’s 120K per year kind of deal if the POC works. So you have to be clear that the 10K is only for building a business case. Commercial discussions will follow after that. It is not an indication of the actual commercial discussion.
But your buyer on the other side might still push you saying, “That’s all great, but I need a price or a budget, otherwise I won’t move forward with it.” So there are two ways to actually deflect those kind of questions. The first way is contextualize the price on the value. So you can say something like, if you’re pushed for price, “Hey, for customers such as yours, we have been able to at least unlock 10 million in very similar situations. And our pricing is… One is to 10X when it comes to ROI.”
So you basically said that you’re a million dollars to actually get started, but you actually didn’t say it. You just said, “It’s a 10 million, and I’m taking one in 10 in exchange for it.” So you’ve given the buyer an indication, but you’ve framed it in such a manner that actually is justifiable, right? A one in 10X ROI. So that’s one way to do it.
They might still say, “Yeah, that’s good, but I need a budget.” So then rather than just give them a budget saying, “It could be a 200K option,” don’t do that. That’s the worst thing you can actually say. Give them a range. You can say something like, “Look, the final pricing would be anywhere from 500K to a million. And based on the business case that we would co-create with you, we can pick a point in that range that justifies the value that we bring to the table.” So you’re giving budgetary ranges, right? So that’s the other way to actually go about POCs.
So how you navigate your early wins, who you choose is very critical when you’re building companies at scale and fast in AI because that actually dictates the destiny for the rest of your future. And picking those early wins is very, very critical. And having buyers who are serious, lead qualifying, having the right POC process, and thinking about POCs as, frankly, not just trying to see if your product actually works and delivers value, but it’s a great chance to have a commercial test-and-learn experiment and have fun with it and try to see what you can bring to the table in terms of your value and what portion can you actually take.
The Biggest Lesson Learned
Lenny Rachitsky: So the core takeaway here is, for AI companies, you no longer can just grow and figure out monetization later. Your advice here is what you start with is what you’re going to end up with, and it’s very easy to under monetize because people aren’t realizing that they’re now helping with actual labor force savings versus just SaaS software that’s making people a little bit more efficient.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yeah, absolutely. I mean, I strongly believe that the winners in AI will need to master monetization, and they need to master it from day one. And when we talk to early-stage founders, it is a topic that keeps many people up at night, but that’s also why we wrote Scaling Innovation and other assets so that they can get some more courage to think about pricing correctly from day one. And it’s become very critical for AI companies to do that.
Book Recommendations and Lightning Round
Lenny Rachitsky: Do you feel like the popular IDE startups, I won’t name names, do you think they’ve under monetized and they’re going to be in trouble down the road?
Movies and Monetization Mindset
Madhavan Ramanujam: Some of them for sure have. I think they will probably run out of it because they might show a lot of, let’s say, fast revenue growth, but is that enduring revenue? Are people actually going to stay? And is there going to be churn? And so there are a lot of aspects to marketing profitable growth. It’s not just growing fast, but also growing profitably and having an enduring business. So some of them, yes, without naming names. But yeah, I think that’s why it’s important to be thoughtful about market share and wallet share.
Favorite Products Right Now
Lenny Rachitsky: Well, those are different. I think what you’re saying here is the retention may not work for some of these companies. But on the other hand, they’re really cheap. 20 bucks a month to help your engineer be 10 times more productive potentially, is that too good a deal? Do you think they should have priced a lot higher?
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yeah, for sure. I mean, if you’re bringing a lot of value to the table and you started training your customers to expect $20 a month and you anchored yourself on a low price point, I think there are companies that have actually done that. And they try to undo it with having more sophisticated, let’s say, products that are actually higher priced or much higher priced, et cetera. That’s one way to undo that situation.
So it’s really a trade-off between getting more customers and making money at the same time. That’s the whole point of the book, market share and wallet share, and how do you dominate both. So if they’re being thoughtful about both and have a vision to not just grow market share, but also have a clear strategy to land and expand and increase wallet share, those strategies might pan out for those types of companies. If you just threw out a $20 product hoping to just accelerate your market share, you’re in trouble.
Personal Life Motto
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay. This is a great segue to this two-by-two, which goes much deeper into this. So it’s easy to be like, “Here’s what you shouldn’t do.” Here’s your advice on what to actually do. So I’m going to pull up on my screen this two-by-two that you have in your book. So if you’re watching YouTube, you’ll be able to see it.
So talk about this. This is essentially how to figure out the best possible pricing model and where you have the most power.
Madhavan Ramanujam: So when you talk about AI companies and monetization models, we get asked this question. “Should I be usage-based? Should I be outcome? Should I be a copilot mode? Or how do I actually think about my pricing model?” So we came up with this framework, which is a relatively simple, straightforward framework, but very powerful.
So there are two axes here. One is attribution, and the other one is autonomy. And when you have high attribution and high autonomy, that is when you have high pricing power, and we’ll come back to that in a bit, right?
So let’s take the first bottom-left quadrant. That is the quadrant where your attribution is low and your autonomy is low. In that situation, the best pricing archetype that actually fits is it is actually a seed-based or a subscription model because there’s not much to do about it because you’re not being able to attribute a lot of value to what you bring, but you’re in a copilot mode and you’re not in an autonomous mode, so a seed-based pricing would actually make sense.
But if you’re at that quadrant, the immediate thing to think about is, how do you actually build more attribution and move to the right so that you actually get more pricing power? So if you think about the bottom-right quadrant, those are companies that have actually done that. They can prove more attribution to what they actually bring to the table, but they are still not in a fully autonomous mode, as in there is still humans in the loop.
If you take Cursor, for instance, it definitely improves productivity, can actually bring down the time to actually do code, the attribution is clear, but it’s still in a copilot mode. In those kind of situations, a hybrid pricing model is the best option where you still have a seed-based model for the copilot kind of use case, but you also layer in a consumption model which actually says there are a certain number of AI credits or tokens that can layer in the usage aspects. So if you use more and more, then you’re actually paying more on consumption. So it’s a hybrid model that actually works there.
If you look at the top-left quadrant, those are products that are very autonomous but are not strong on attribution. So these tend to be mostly backend or infrastructure kind of products that are core critical to run businesses, can be autonomous, but they’re not directly impacting the KPIs that businesses are tracking, and hence cannot prove attribution very effectively. So in that situation, you need to be on a pay-for-what-you-consume and a usage-based model. A seed-based model would not make sense because it’s autonomous. There’s no human in the loop. But that’s why you’re also in a usage-based model, saying the more you use it, the more you’re actually charged. And usage becomes a proxy for the value that you bring to the table.
The quadrant that you really want to be in is the golden quadrant, which is the top-right one. That’s the outcome-based pricing model where you have great autonomy and great attribution. And here is where I think AI can be really magical. So this means you’re not only charging for work delivered, but you’re charging for work delivered that was delivered by AI without no humans in the loop. So that becomes more of an outcome-based model situation.
So a classic example here is Intercom for Fin. What they actually do is they charge based on an AI resolution. So if an AI is able to resolve the ticket completely independently without a human in the loop, then they charge for it. If a human intervention is needed, they don’t charge for it. So they’re more on an outcome-based model. Or companies like Charge Flow would charge up to 25% on a charge bag that they’re able to actually recover, because these are core savings that you actually bring to the table based on your AI. It is highly attributable, highly autonomous so you can start moving towards an outcome-based pricing model.
If you look at the state of where AI is today, as of the day of recording this podcast, now, the most popular model is right now a hybrid pricing model. So because this is also expected, because the previous SaaS playbook was usually on the seat-based model, but they’ve all now moved on to at least a hybrid to actually incorporate AI credits and usage, et cetera, about 5% of companies are probably in a true outcome-based pricing model as of today. But those companies, some of the best ones are able to recover 25 to 50% of the value that they actually bring to the table.
In the classic SaaS situation, we used to say if you can charge 10 to 20% of the value, that’s actually great. But in AI, you can actually charge 25 to 50% because it is autonomous, you’re doing it with the AI. There’s no humans in the loop. You are creating incremental value to the business metrics. You are producing hard-cost savings. There’s opportunity costs. You can justify all of that. It’s attributable. So you can actually take 25 to 50% of what you bring to the table.
In a lot of benchmarks and studies that actually show, and this is also my belief, that in the next three years that 5% number will move to 25%. So what this really means is if you want to win in AI, figure out a way to get to that quadrant because that’s a magic quadrant. If you can truly price based on outcomes, you’ve achieved and unlock tremendous value.
Transition Investing: For Early AI Founders
Lenny Rachitsky: Wow. Okay. I’m just going to pause again. This is amazing. Madhavan, thank you so much for it. I love, again, that you just spent years, decades studying this stuff, come here, tell us all the answers of what we should be doing. This is incredible.
Let me ask you this. By the way, for folks not watching on YouTube, the companies you have in the golden quadrant, outcome-based pricing, Sierra, Fin, and Chargeflow. We’ve got the founder of Sierra and Fin coming on the podcast soon, so we’ll talk about all this with those guys.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Awesome.
How to Connect and Book Discounts
Lenny Rachitsky: So is the way to use this two-by-two figuring out your model? Is it like, “Okay, I’m like Cursor. I’m going to go in this quadrant,” or is it, “How do I get to outcome-based no matter what? That’s where I need to be”?
Closing Remarks and Thanks
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yeah, so that’s a great question. The first one is to actually figure out what is your right archetype based on where you are today. I think that is most important. If you try to rush into an outcome-based pricing model but cannot prove attribution, you will fail. So it is really coming up with what is the right archetype based on what I’m doing today, but also use this two-by-two to say, “How do I paint a vision to actually get to outcome based? And can I get close to that? Or can I be purely an outcome-based model? How do I evolve into that?”
What that would mean is, how do I build functionality in the products to actually show attribution, how do I build more agentic workforces to take the human out of the loop and be more autonomous, and being thoughtful about your vision and strategy so that you will orient yourself towards more outcome-based pricing models. So when you think about increasing attribution, that means, first of all, understanding what are the KPIs of your customers. How do they track their business performance? Can you impact it? Can you productize things in your product that showcase that you are actually affecting those KPIs in a positive manner? Can you build dashboards to show value attribution? Can you do those value audits that we talked about on an ongoing basis to actually show that you’re bringing a lot of value to the table and is attributable to you? So how do you create these kind of attribution mechanisms become important and also autonomous based on building more agentic workforces that can actually be on an autonomous mold?
So pick the right archetype and plan to get to as close as you can to the outcome-based pricing model. That’s how I would use the two-by-two. And you actually kind of see this happening with certain industries, right? If you think about coding as a overall category… Like back in the day with GitHub, everyone, they started with a seed-based model. They’ve now moved to the hybrid-based pricing model with Cursors and everyone else, but the natural move would be more towards a outcome-based pricing model where a AI agent can probably code everything at the same time, debug it, and you’re kind of almost hiring a AI developer or AI QA person. And that actually becomes more closer to a outcome-based model because it’s attributable and autonomous. So that is picking the right archetype and then figuring out your pathway is the key way to interpret this two-by-two.
Lenny Rachitsky: This explains why everyone’s pulling agents. That’s where the money’s at, what you’re telling us here.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yeah. It’s going to be the age of The Matrix. Too many agents.
Lenny Rachitsky: Agent Smiths everywhere. They didn’t turn out too great. So what I’m hearing is if I were Canva… So Canva here in your model is bottom right. They’re in a hybrid pricing model. They have a base fee and consumption fee. What you would do if you were helping Canva is what can you build that creates more autonomy, an autonomous version of Canva? And it’s not like you need to do this. It’s just you have more pricing power if you figure something out there.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Exactly. And a good case for that is the Fin product from Intercom. Because traditionally, all of those kind of companies used to price based on an agent basis. How many customer service agents are actually using the product? It used to be seed based, but they built out Fin, which is a completely AI resolution for those kind of support tickets. And then that actually enables them to move to the outcome-based pricing model quadrant.
Lenny Rachitsky: Amazing. So say you’re an AI founder today. You’re thinking about your pricing strategy, your monetization strategy long term. Your advice is work with design partners, create these POCs where you work on this ROI model with them to ideally find some outcome-based pricing strategy. Is that a good way to summarize it? What would you add to that?
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yes. I mean, at least be able to contextualize the business case. Even if you’re not moving to an outcome-based pricing model, be clear on the outcome that you’re actually creating for your customers through that business case, which actually will enable you to charge a fair price in exchange for that outcome. And if your customers agree with the business case, then you can actually take a portion of that.
Lenny Rachitsky: Fin, actually, they’re a new sponsor of the podcast, and I learned… I didn’t know this. It costs 99 cents for every support ticket they solve [inaudible 00:49:51].
Madhavan Ramanujam: Through AI.
Lenny Rachitsky: Through AI.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Exactly. If it needs a human intervention, then they don’t charge for it.
Lenny Rachitsky: Yeah. And it’s just like, what? That’s such a simple story. Your agent costs 20 bucks. This thing costs 99 cents
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yeah. That is two chapters in one beautifully simple pricing and an outcome-based pricing model.
Lenny Rachitsky: And interestingly, they were the most hated pricing model initially. I did a survey on Twitter ones, like, “What products do you pay the most for?” and it was always Intercom. And everyone hated their pricing, and they found a solution.
Madhavan Ramanujam: I think they found a great solution.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay. So is there anything else along these lines that you think companies, especially AI companies, should be thinking when they’re thinking about pricing that you’d want to share before we move on to other stuff?
Madhavan Ramanujam: I think we’ve covered most of the topics. Like we said, it’s being thoughtful about POCs, choosing the right pricing archetype or the pricing models. Those things become very critical in the early stages. But when you start scaling and, let’s say, you become a multi-product company, then you need to start focusing on, “What kind of packaging strategy should I have? Is it a platform plus add-ons? Should I have versions of the products like good, better, best? Should I tackle different use cases because now my AI can solve an insurance use case and a healthcare use case? Should I productize to different use cases? Is that my packaging strategy? Or should I keep it completely modularized for people to pick and choose?”
So these kind of questions become more critical, and that’s why the chapter on blowing up your packaging from your early days and coming up with your packaging strategy for your scale-up phase become very critical. So I think that’s the next thing that founders would be hit with, as in when they build multiple products, they need to think about the whole packaging, cross-selling, up-selling motion.
Lenny Rachitsky: This touches on something I was about to ask, which is a change in your pricing strategy. How often is it a success to change the way you price? I know we’re talking about you need to get it right from the beginning if you’re an AI company. In your experience, how often… What does it take to successfully shift the way you price down the road if people are listening to this and are like, “Shit, we already have this pricing strategy”?
Madhavan Ramanujam: Back in the day, we used to say that you should revisit your pricing strategy, overall pricing model, how much you’re charging at least once in two years. With AI, that’s probably reduced in half because of the scale with which and the speed with which companies are built and competing.
So I would say that it is an ongoing journey. It is not like you just solve it in day one, fill it, and forget it. You have to be thoughtful from day one, but also be ready to pivot, iterate, and you’re going to learn along your journey. So the whole point is to think about pricing as also a test-and-learn opportunity in your early days.
And there are things that you would change more often, and there are things that you probably don’t want to change too often. Things like pricing model, unless you really changed your attribution autonomy, there is no need to shift your pricing model. Stay within that archetype. Don’t confuse things.
But there are things like price points. Should I increase my price because it’s been six months a year? Yeah, you should. Because in a year there’s probably prices go up three to 5% for everything that you consume. But how can you actually increase your prices and be thoughtful about it? So that entire chapter on how to do price increases smartly become very important in the scale-up phase.
I think Warren Buffett summarized this really well. He said the true definition of a company is a pricing power. And if you have a prayer session for doing a 10% price increase, you have a terrible business. So you have to be able to increase prices over a bit of time. But how do you do it strategically that does not affect too much churn, but you’re also able to pass on the increase as a value exchange, those things become critical.
Lenny Rachitsky: Awesome. Zooming out a little bit, something that I love about your book is you structured it around these axioms. You have a bunch of these really clever axioms that get stuck in your head and help you think about pricing. Can you share some of your favorites, maybe two or three referred axioms from the book?
Madhavan Ramanujam: You talked about Sierra being in your park founders. I don’t know if that’s Clay, but here’s a shout-out for Clay. So Clay actually read the entire book and gave me feedback, Scaling Innovation, the similar copy that he actually had. I called it Scaling Innovation Axioms throughout the book. And the whole point of the axioms was that at the end of the day, if you can just take all the axioms, put it in a printout next to your desk is the summary of the book. And it’s like PT statements that you’ll just remember what to do.
So he came up with this idea that, “Hey, rather than calling them just generic scaling innovation axioms, you need to brand each and every axiom.” And I thought that was a brilliant idea. So I went about coming up with a unique… He even contributed to some of the names. We came up with some unique names for each axiom.
And here’s the other fun fact. Probably I’m geeking out too much. But when I counted the number of axioms, there were 42 axioms. And I didn’t try to make this up. And if you’re a Hitchhiker’s fan, then you know that’s the answer to everything.
But jokes apart, let me unpack a few axioms. One of my first favorite axioms, what I call is the 20-80 axiom. Especially in tech companies, 20% of what you build drives 80% of the willingness to pay. But the irony is that the 20% is the easiest thing to build often. So what founders do is they take this 20%, build it, put it out in the market almost for free, and then they’re chasing their tails to build 80% stuff that’s only driving 20% willingness to pay. So if you have not been thoughtful about that, you’ve given the farm away unintentionally.
So truly understanding what drives willingness to pay in your product is critical. And I think people call it the MVP. I think we should change the definition of MVP. It shouldn’t be minimum viable product, it should be the most valuable product. And be thoughtful about what are you actually giving out as your early products I think is key. That’s the 20-80 axiom.
Probably my second one is the price paralysis axioms. So what that means is your reluctance to do a price increase is often internal and emotional and it’s not external and logical. This goes back to the same prayer session to actually do a price increase. If you’re holding hands, you have a terrible business. So it’s mostly internal and emotional, and how do you be thoughtful about price increases become important.
Probably my third favorite one is stopping churn before it happens, so stopping churn axiom. So to stop churn, you need to attract customers who won’t leave. That sounds counterintuitive, but that’s the best way to actually stop churn. What does this actually mean? Most companies will try to stop churn when someone actually says, “I want to go.” It is too late, and you’re being reactive. At the most, you’ll throw some offers. They will stay for another six months, and they will leave. They’ve already made that determination.
The way to stop churn is to start acquiring customers who won’t leave. And that is the most important thing. So if you look back at your data and say, “Who are the types of customers who actually tend to stay longer? What are their characteristics? How can I focus my acquisition dollars in getting more of those?” then you stop churn before it happens. And that’s the key.
Lenny Rachitsky: That’s interesting. I’m surprised you didn’t say what was my favorite, which is… I think it’s like, “If you land, make sure to expand.”
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yeah.
Lenny Rachitsky: That one really stuck with me.
Madhavan Ramanujam: That’s a good one, too.
Lenny Rachitsky: Maybe talk about that one. Yeah.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Sure. I mean, so if you land, you need to also make sure you’re expanding, in the sense that if you give the farm away in your entry-level product, you don’t have much to actually monetize later. So being thoughtful about what is the fence between your land product. Is it a free experience? What is the getting? And the getting is typically based on are you getting based on features? Are you also getting on usage? And how do you be thoughtful about that? So you leave stuff for the expansion.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay. So zooming out even further, to kind of wrap up, what would you say is the biggest lesson you want founders to take away that they think they understand but they probably don’t?
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yeah, I think this comes back to what you started with. I think intuitively people get it that they need to think about market share and wallet share if they’re growing. And even if you ask them, they’ll say like, “Yeah, yeah, I’m thinking about wallet share,” but have they really thought about it equally and paid equal attention? Have they postponed one of them? Are they operating in a single-engine strategy consciously or subconsciously? I think that’s the key takeaway I have.
So the contrarian take is not to put equal effort on both the engines at the same time. In certain stages of your company, you might need to be more market share dominating. In certain stages you might need to be wallet share dominating. It’s not equal effort, but it’s equal attention and really developing that mindset of being a true profitable growth architect. And that is the main takeaway that I have for people. And if you are not in that mindset already, there’s a book for you.
Lenny Rachitsky: I’ll point them to it. So just so folks know what to do when they’re like, “Okay, I need to focus on wallet share more,” is the main focus figure out a pricing model that aligns well with pricing power, what’s in the bucket of work to do to invest more in wallet-share thinking?
Madhavan Ramanujam: So it’s actually all of those. Market share, wallet share, acquisition, monetization, retention are all kind of correlated. You can’t think about them in isolation. So I wouldn’t say only for wallet share what do you need to do. If you want to grow on both the market share and wallet share… Let’s say, for instance, you need to have the right land-and-expand strategy. The land helps you with acquisition. The expansion helps you with wallet share.
If you have a pricing model, then you need to have a pricing model that lets you acquire faster because it’s intuitive, but it should also help you recover value, which is like your monetization. And if people understand your pricing model, they’re actually going to stay. So it’s all sort of goes hand in hand. So I wouldn’t isolate thinking one way or the other. That’s why the nine strategies actually are very powerful. Because if you follow those strategies, you are not going to fall into the single-engine strap. These are tried and tested strategies of how to build businesses in such a way that you’re being thoughtful and paying equal attention to both market share and wallet share.
Lenny Rachitsky: All right. That is a very reasonable answer. Madhavan, is there anything else you wanted to share or leave listeners with before we get to a very exciting lightning round?
Madhavan Ramanujam: Read the two books in sequence, Monetizing Innovation and Scaling Innovation. Because it’s one thing to build a great product, it’s yet another thing to build a great business. You cannot build a great business with a not-so-great product, and you cannot do it the other way around either. So I think it’s thinking about pricing early, especially for AI companies, being thoughtful about it, price before product, and then thinking about how to actually scale, developing a profitable growth mindset. All of these things become critical. And I’m looking forward to the feedback from the audience.
Lenny Rachitsky: I feel like your books are in the staple of founder reading. There’s all these things you just don’t know what you’re doing. And there’s a few of these books that are like, “Okay, here’s all this advice that’ll answer so many questions and save you so much heartache.” And so I’m really excited you’re adding something to that bookshelf. With that, we’ve reached our very exciting lightning round. Are you ready?
Madhavan Ramanujam: Okay. Let’s go.
Lenny Rachitsky: Let’s go. What are two or three books that you find yourself recommending most to other people?
Madhavan Ramanujam: The first one that comes to mind is Business Model Canvas by Alex Osterwalder. It’s a classic and one of my favorite books. I recommend a lot of people to read that because I think it nicely ties a lot of what we are also seeing from a more strategic business model angle.
I like this book, Thinking Fast, Thinking Slow. I think that’s also a classic because, again, there’s always a human element to things. And understanding the customer psychology is important whether you’re in B2C or in B2B. Because if you’re in a B2B situation, it’s humans having a human conversation. So it’s as much behavioral as it’s actually numbers. So I love that book, and there’s a lot of nuggets in there, so I recommend a lot.
And probably the third one that I recommend is a book called Contagious by Jonah Berger. I love that. He was in the PhD program at Stanford in marketing, and he actually wrote this book on how to make messages viral. And he’s actually seen the best viral messages and boiled it down to a framework. And if you follow that, then you can make those messages viral. And I’ve tried to use some of those in my own outreaches and things of that nature, so I think it’s a fantastic read.
Lenny Rachitsky: Wow.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Have you read it?
Lenny Rachitsky: Got to check this out. I have not. I haven’t even heard of it. All right. We’re going to go viral because we got the playbook.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Contagious. That’s the name of the book.
Lenny Rachitsky: Contagious. Okay. We’ll link to that. Is there a recent movie or TV show you’ve really enjoyed?
Madhavan Ramanujam: I guess a movie. Sure, let’s pick a movie. Definitely enjoyed Mission Impossible, the final one, eighth in the sequence. I think I find that a whole… I love those, the entire genre, one through eight. But what I kind of like about it is my willingness to pay has constantly increased over a period of time. They could have charged me whatever they wanted for the eighth movie. I would’ve probably gone and seen it, when I wanted to. So I thought that’s an interesting example of a durable brand where your monetization power actually increase over a period of time. So I think I enjoyed the movie. It was great. Yeah.
Hey, by the way, I just realized MI stands for Monetizing Innovation and also Mission Impossible. Maybe subconsciously that’s why I liked it, too.
Lenny Rachitsky: And you’re the Tom Cruise character.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Yeah, exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: I love how you’re the only person in the world that thinks of Mission Impossible through a monetization, willingness-to-pay lens.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Exactly. I think there’s too many of these dinner conversations also gravitate towards pricing and monetization. I think it’s become my life.
Lenny Rachitsky: Oh, man. We need a version of this movie, like a Mission Possible of Madhavan.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Sure.
Lenny Rachitsky: I’d pay anything for that. All right. Next question. Do you have a favorite product you’ve recently discovered that you really love?
Madhavan Ramanujam: I would probably talk about two products. The first one is Delphi, the Digital Mind representation. There’s a Lennybot that you actually, I think, put out. I find that product fascinating, and I also love the founders, Dara and Sam there. I truly believe that that is going to be the future for thought leadership and how thoughts are consumed by consumers.
And I’ve used your Lennybot. I really enjoy it, like if I can co-create some thought leadership piece with talking to you, but it’s not you, your AI, and it’s actually living and breathing your brain. How cool is that? And I think that I really love the product category. There’s a lot of different use cases, longevity, extension, use cases, things of that nature. I’m excited about the product. I think it’s been great. I plan to, taking inspiration from you, plan to create a Delphi of myself-
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay. I was going to ask.
Madhavan Ramanujam: … at some point.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay.
Madhavan Ramanujam: I think it should be [inaudible 01:05:17]-
Lenny Rachitsky: So that one would… Yeah.
Madhavan Ramanujam: … the book maybe. I’ll try to. That’s the promise. Try to keep it ready. So I think if you want to talk more about the book or things of that nature and talk pricing, you can talk to my AI, too, right? I mean, I find the product fascinating.
The second one I would probably say that’s been super useful in terms of just productivity is Granola. We love that product. I think just the ability to take notes and during all the meetings and organize it and being able to query things, et cetera. I think it’s been a great product that we recently started trying and we’ve been really liking it.
Lenny Rachitsky: Cool. That’s been the most mentioned product recently. How cool is that? Love Granola. Get a year free of Granola if you’re a paid subscriber to my newsletter, lennysnewsletter.com. Click bundle, one year free for not just you, your whole team. What an offer they offered. It’s crazy.
On Delphi, what’s interesting about LennyBot is it’s not just my knowledge, it’s every single podcast guest’s insights and lessons also fed into it. What an oracle of knowledge this thing’s become. And it’s free at this point, completely free. Lennybot.com. No, I get nothing from it. It’s just out there.
Okay, next question. Do you have a favorite life motto that you often come back to and find useful in work or in life?
Madhavan Ramanujam: Create value in everything and anything that you touch. Everything else will follow. That’s my life motto.
Lenny Rachitsky: That resonates deeply. Okay, last question. You recently moved into investing. So what’s cool is it used to be very expensive to work with at Simon-Kucher, I think it was called. Very expensive. A lot of big company stuff. Now a lot of more founders have access to you because you’re investing in startups. So just talk about that. Talk about what you’re doing these days.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Sure. I mean, at Simon-Kucher, I got to work with over 250 companies. And my co-GP now, Josh Bloom, he also had an opportunity to work with our 250 companies. So combined, we worked with our 500 companies, more than 50-plus unicorns. It was a great ride.
And often, we were actually working with them in much later stages when series D or pre-IPO, post-IPO, private equity companies, et cetera. But the two of us actually now started a venture firm with an explicit goal of working with early-stage AI founders. And it goes back to the topic that we started with. AI companies needs to deal with monetization from day one. But for those kind of companies, fee-for-service transaction model doesn’t necessarily work. And that’s also why we pivoted to venture.
So our business model is pretty standard right now. You get access in the cap table. We roll up our sleeves and work with the founders in all things monetization. So we are invested in their success and we will partake in the value creation. There’s no fee for service, no friction on those kind of manners. But on the flip side, we get to concentrate our efforts in fund one and probably 20 to 25 companies, and that’s where we will be spending our time.
Lenny Rachitsky: What a deal. Madhavan, two final questions. Where can folks find you if they want to reach out and talk about this offer? And how can listeners be useful to you?
Madhavan Ramanujam: Ways to find out, I think just google for Monetizing Innovation and Scaling Innovation. You’ll probably land in a lot of pages. You can also go to Amazon, I think, if you want to purchase the books. Actually, Scaling Innovation is now available in pre-order. I think we’ll have the pod released before the book is actually out. The book is going to be out on August 5th. So there’s an opportunity to pre-order.
And maybe I will take an inspiration from your master bundle, which I really think is the world’s best bundle, and come up with my own bundle for getting users to pre-order. So if you love Monetizing Innovation, I can tell you you would really love Scaling Innovation. So go buy it for your teams. Buy it for yourself.
And here’s the offer. So for anyone who’s able to buy more than five copies, send us a screenshot of your purchase pre-order, right? Send us a screenshot of your purchase to promo@49palmsvc.com. So that’s promo, as in promotion, @49 P-A-L-M-S-V-C .com.
And here’s the bundle offer that I have. 10 people will get access to bundles as a raffle, and the bundle is going to include a signed copy of Scaling Innovation, a 30-minute ask-me-anything session, an exclusive invite for a Scaling Innovation book launch, and also a Scaling Innovation t-shirt. So that’s my coming up with a bundle. I didn’t get Granola and others to put in for me just yet, but I think this hopefully suffices and is exciting for folks to buy.
And, yeah. I mean if you like the book, please do leave a review on Amazon. That always is helpful. Because if more people review it, the book takes a life of its own. And I’m really thankful for also the support that I got over the years from founder community, from the venture community for Monetizing Innovation. I think there’s been, over the last eight years, thousands and thousands of fans of the books. They’ve done a whole lot talking about it, writing reviews, posting on LinkedIn, and making things like price before product or product market price fit and things as a part of founder vocabulary. So I’m very passionate that people actually did that and very thankful for them. So there’s also probably an equal measure. If you’re excited about Scaling Innovation, I would love for you to talk about the book.
Lenny Rachitsky: Amazing. And I think the reason people do that is because you give away so much for free. You just shared so much wisdom for free that is going to help so many people, so it all comes back to you.
Madhavan Ramanujam: I just tried to plan my give and get right there.
Lenny Rachitsky: There we go. Oh my God. A good callback. Madhavan, this was incredible. Thank you so much for being here.
Madhavan Ramanujam: Thank you so much, Lenny. Was a pleasure.
Lenny Rachitsky: Same. Bye, everyone.
Thank you so much for listening. If you found this valuable, you can subscribe to the show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite podcast app. Also, please consider giving us a rating or leaving a review, as that really helps other listeners find the podcast. You can find all past episodes or learn more about the show at lennyspodcast.com. See you in the next episode.
Glossary
| English | 中文 |
|---|---|
| 20-80 axiom | 20-80 公理 |
| acquisition | 获取 |
| agentic AI | 智能体 AI |
| Alex Osterwalder | Alex Osterwalder(人名,保留原文) |
| AMA (Ask Me Anything) | AMA(问我任何事) |
| attribution | 归因 |
| attribution problem | 归因问题 |
| autonomy | 自主性 |
| beautifully simple pricing | 极致简洁的定价 |
| Bill Gurley | Bill Gurley(人名,保留原文) |
| Business Model Canvas | Business Model Canvas(书名,保留原文) |
| cap table | 股权表 |
| churn | 流失 |
| Clay | Clay(人名,保留原文) |
| community builder | 社群建设者 |
| consumption model | 用量模型 |
| Contagious | Contagious(书名,保留原文) |
| cross-selling | 交叉销售 |
| Dara | Dara(人名,保留原文) |
| Delphi | Delphi(产品名,保留原文) |
| disruptor | 颠覆者 |
| GP | GP(普通合伙人,保留原文) |
| Granola | Granola(产品名,保留原文) |
| human in the loop | 人类在环 |
| hybrid pricing model | 混合定价模型 |
| Jonah Berger | Jonah Berger(人名,保留原文) |
| Josh Bloom | Josh Bloom(人名,保留原文) |
| land and expand | 着陆与扩张 |
| Lenny Rachitsky | Lenny Rachitsky(人名,保留原文) |
| Lennybot | Lennybot(产品名,保留原文) |
| Madhavan Ramanujam | Madhavan Ramanujam(人名,保留原文) |
| monetization | 变现 |
| Monetizing Innovation | 《创新变现》(书名) |
| moneymaker | 赚钱者 |
| MVP | MVP(最小可行产品) |
| outcome-based pricing | 基于结果的定价 |
| packaging strategy | 打包策略 |
| pay-for-what-you-consume | 按用量付费 |
| POC (Proof of Concept) | POC(概念验证) |
| price paralysis | 价格瘫痪 |
| price premium paradox | 价格溢价悖论 |
| pricing power | 定价权 |
| profitable growth architect | 盈利增长架构师 |
| Rahul | Rahul(人名,保留原文) |
| retention | 留存 |
| Sam | Sam(人名,保留原文) |
| Scaling Innovation | Scaling Innovation(书名,保留原文) |
| seed-based pricing | 按席位定价 |
| Simon-Kucher | Simon-Kucher(公司名,保留原文) |
| single-engine strap | 单引擎陷阱(strap 疑为 trap 的口误) |
| Superhuman | Superhuman(公司名,保留原文) |
| Thinking Fast, Thinking Slow | 《思考,快与慢》(书名,使用公认中文译名) |
| tire kicker | 随便看看的人 |
| upsell | 向上销售 |
| usage-based model | 按使用量计费的模型 |
| wallet share | 钱包份额 |
| Warren Buffett | 沃伦·巴菲特 |
| willingness to pay | 付费意愿 |
Reformatted by reformat_english.py
定价的艺术与科学 | Madhavan Ramanujam(《创新变现》,Simon-Kucher)
开场精选
Madhavan Ramanujam: 优秀的创始人需要同时主导市场份额和钱包份额。这不是一道选择题,你需要在两方面都做得更好。
Lenny Rachitsky: 感觉现在每家公司都想成为一家 AI 公司。AI 的定价有什么不同?
Madhavan Ramanujam: AI 领域的赢家需要从第一天起就掌握变现能力。如果你为客户带来了大量价值,却从一开始就训练客户习惯每月 20 美元的预期,把自己锚定在一个低价位上,那你就麻烦了。你构建的功能中,20% 驱动了 80% 的付费意愿。但讽刺的是,这 20% 往往是最容易构建的部分。
Lenny Rachitsky: 你最想让创始人从中带走的最重要一课是什么?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 如果把市场份额和钱包份额看作一个二乘二矩阵,你真正想进入的是基于结果的定价模型所在的象限——右上角,那里拥有很高的自主性和可归因性。大约只有 5% 的公司真正采用了基于结果的定价模型。如果你想在 AI 领域获胜,就得想办法进入那个象限。
Lenny Rachitsky: 你觉得那些热门的 IDE 创业公司,日后会遇到麻烦吗?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 其中一些会的,我不点名了。
嘉宾介绍
Lenny Rachitsky: 今天的嘉宾是 Madhavan Ramanujam。Madhavan 是我认识的在定价和变现策略方面最聪明的人。作为 Simon-Kucher 的管理合伙人,他与超过 250 家公司合作过,其中包括 30 家独角兽企业,帮助他们确定如何定价、打包和增长产品。
他也是一本关于定价的著作《创新变现》的作者。现在他带着一本新书回来了——一本续作,名为 Scaling Innovation,教你如何架构企业以实现长期盈利增长,以及如何避免团队掉入那些阻碍他们建立真正持久、可持续业务的常见陷阱。
Bill Gurley 为这本书写了序言。我有幸读到了一本早期样书,非常喜欢。这是每位创始人都需要读的书。在这一期中,Madhavan 分享了书中的许多重要经验,包括 AI 公司的定价策略有何不同、为什么在当今市场你需要从一开始就把定价模型搞对、一个非常简单的二乘二矩阵来帮助你选择定价模型、如何获得定价权、大量关于更有效谈判的实操建议、创始人最容易掉入的陷阱,以及更多内容。
好消息是,Madhavan 现在更容易接触了。他离开了 Simon-Kucher,现在用自己的基金全职做投资,专注于早期 AI 公司。如果你想与他合作,可以在 49palmsvc.com 了解更多。
如果你喜欢这档播客,别忘了在你喜欢的播客应用或 YouTube 上订阅和关注。接下来,有请 Madhavan Ramanujam。
对话开始
Lenny Rachitsky: Madhavan,非常感谢你能来。欢迎来到播客。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 很高兴再次回来,Lenny。感谢你再次邀请我。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这是非常罕见的第二次做客播客。你的新书马上要出了。我这里有一本非常早期的样书。如果你在 YouTube 上看的话,这就是你寄给我的那本。大概 200 页。顺便问一下,这是你自己打印机打出来的吗?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 是的,我想打完之后打印机墨水应该用完了吧。
Lenny Rachitsky: 感谢这本早期样书,太棒了。我们这次对话要做的是梳理你在书中分享的一些最重要的经验,让大家了解你分享的许多内容,以及你在写第一本书之后学到的许多东西。先从这个问题开始:你为什么决定再写一本书?Scaling Innovation——这本新书的书名,和《创新变现》——第一本书的书名,之间有什么区别?
为什么写续作
Madhavan Ramanujam: 《创新变现》其实是八年前写的,时间飞逝。那本书的核心论点是,如何构建不仅仅是酷炫的产品,而是人们真正需要、看重并且愿意付费的产品。我觉得那本书有了自己的生命力。
这些年里,创业者们不断向我们提出另一个问题:“我们做出了一个好产品,我们知道存在付费意愿,但怎么才能打造一家伟大的企业?怎么才能规模化?“残酷的现实是,即使你有一个好产品,你也可能真的找不到快速且盈利增长的方法。所以我们写了 Scaling Innovation,试图解决这个难题。
你可以把它看作《创新变现》的续作。《创新变现》讲的是如何构建好产品,Scaling Innovation 讲的是如何构建好企业。写书需要有一个目的。对我来说,写书的理由是基于我所知的,给创始人一些回馈。写书很难,写一本好书更难。
和《创新变现》一样,Scaling Innovation 不是营销套话,里面全是真正可操作的内容,你周一早上就能开始实施。我们写这本书是为了回馈我们所知的,帮助企业实现规模化,构建盈利增长的架构。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我特别欣赏像你这样的人——做了不知道多少年,几十年如一日地从真实经验中反复学习,然后把这些东西全部分享出来。这是最高 ROI 的学习方式,让你替我们做所有这些工作,学到所有这些知识,然后把你找到的答案分享给我们。这也是我喜欢这些书的原因。
如果你不得不把这本书的核心论点浓缩成一个简单的想法,好让我们直接植入创始人的脑海中,那会是什么?
核心论点:市场份额与钱包份额
Madhavan Ramanujam: 如果要浓缩这本书的核心论点,基本上就是:如果你想建立一家持久的企业,你必须能够为盈利增长搭建架构。这意味着你需要驾驭两个引擎:市场份额和钱包份额。
听起来很简单,但实际上相当复杂。因为拆开来看,要获取市场份额和钱包份额,你需要在获取、变现和留存三方面都做得好——也就是获取客户、从客户身上赚到初始收入,同时还能持续赚钱,并让客户真正去推荐更多客户。
实际上很多公司的做法是采用单一引擎策略,只专注这两个话题中的一个,基本上忽略了另一个。这会导致各种问题。你会看到一些公司说”不惜一切代价增长,变现以后再说”;你会看到一些人说”我要尽早变现”,但他们可能因此错失获取客户的机会;还有一些人过于专注于一小批忠诚客户群体,既没有好好变现,也没有在获取新客户。
优秀的创始人需要能够同时主导市场份额和钱包份额。这不是一道选择题,你必须在两方面都不断提升。但这并不意味着你要在所有时间点对市场份额和钱包份额投入同等的精力,而是你要对这两个话题给予同等的关注,认真权衡取舍,说”我怎样才能把这两个话题放在一起考虑,从而为盈利增长搭建架构?“这就是这本书的核心论点。
我们实际上展示了九种策略,帮助企业为盈利增长搭建架构。每一章的结尾都会说明这一特定策略如何规避单一引擎的问题,帮助你同时关注市场份额和钱包份额。书中还有 CEO 问题和领导层问题,供人们在为盈利增长搭建架构时反思自己是否走在正确的轨道上。可以这样想:如果你在驾驶一架飞机,你不会想只用一个引擎飞行。那你为什么要在企业经营中这样做呢?
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。我想很多创始人或正在考虑创业的人并不觉得自己属于某一个类别。直觉上你不会说”哦,当然,我们就一直只关注增长,其他都不重要。“你提到了创始人会陷入的一些陷阱,能再聊聊你发现的常见陷阱吗?让人们能意识到”糟糕,我可能正在这样做”的那种。
创始人的常见陷阱
Madhavan Ramanujam: 让我们来拆解一下与各个原型相关的陷阱。如果你是颠覆者原型,可能会掉进两个陷阱。第一个是:你可能成功着陆,却无法扩展。也就是说,在急于获取客户的过程中,你可能以很低的价格给了太多东西,把农场都送出去了,却没有什么可以用来扩展。这是你可能掉进的第一个陷阱。
第二个陷阱是:赢得的市场份额和实际守住的市场份额是两回事。如果你过于关注获取,只专注于不断获取更多客户,却没有花足够的时间陪伴已经获取的客户——留住他们、向上销售、让他们满意等等,你就可能掉进这个陷阱。
如果你是赚钱者,也会掉进两个陷阱之一。第一个是:你可能对客户锱铢必较,把客户榨干。因为你专注于变现,可能设计出一套非常复杂的差异化定价模型——不同等级、隐藏费用、对各种东西收费——给人留下的印象就是在对客户锱铢必较。
赚钱者掉进的第二个陷阱是陷入价格溢价悖论:你认为高价代表价值,但你的价格高到开始伤害客户获取,对大多数人来说就变得无关紧要了。
如果你是社群建设者,通常会掉进两个陷阱。第一个是:你过于专注根基,以至于错过了前沿——你太专注于忠诚客户群体,忘记了吸引不同类型的客户,没有在获取新客户。
社群建设者掉进的第二个陷阱是:你训练了你的客户,让他们习惯了花更少的钱得到更多。因为你太渴望满足忠诚用户群体,开始给他们越来越多的东西,把你最好的客户群体训练成了”花更少、得更多”的期望。
这六个陷阱在这些原型中非常常见。成为一个盈利增长架构师,意味着你要避免这些陷阱。换句话说,你要同时扮演颠覆者、赚钱者和社群建设者。关键在于你如何拥有那个正确的原型和策略来开展业务。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的,以上是你不应该做的事。你提到有九种策略来指导人们如何正确地处理定价、变现、规模化、变现和创新。能分享其中几个吗?两三个就好,也许是你的最爱。
策略一:极致简洁的定价
Madhavan Ramanujam: 当然。我来展开几个策略。也许第一个要讲的就是我们所说的”极致简洁的定价”。在早期阶段,拥有真正简洁、不会在销售对话中制造过多摩擦的定价,远比其他任何事情都重要。我建议你周一早上回去就做的一个快速测试是:找一些早期潜在客户或现有客户,让他们把你的定价策略复述给你听。如果他们要替你销售,他们会如何描述你的定价策略?如果他们无法以简单的方式将其语境化并解释清楚,那你就没有一个简洁的定价策略。就这么简单。
拥有简洁的定价策略也意味着你的定价需要能够讲述一个价值故事——也就是说,你需要根据你实际提供的价值来为你的价格赋予语境。
这里一个很好的例子是 Superhuman。他们起步时,实际上是在与免费的电子邮件产品竞争,同时提供一种高级的邮件体验。你怎么为这个定价?我觉得 Superhuman 的团队,包括 Rahul 和其他人,做得相当不错。他们推出了一个每月 30 美元的价格点,非常简洁。但他们讲述这个故事的方式是:你每天花一美元,就能在每周找回四个小时的生产力,这样一看定价就不觉得离谱了。就好比一周买一杯拿铁的钱,换回四个小时,何乐而不为呢?
定价的语境化与价值故事
Madhavan Ramanujam: 定价的语境化和价值故事并不只适用于高端产品。再举个例子,Subway 的 5 美元一整英尺三明治,就是另一种用定价讲述故事的方式——5 美元,你实际上获得了很大的价值。所以,极致简洁的定价真正的含义是:提出一个客户立刻就能理解的简洁定价策略,你的定价本身就在讲述一个价值故事,并且让客户清楚地知道如何获得这些价值。在书中,我们提供了一个包含 10 项内容的清单,帮助你逐一检查自己的定价是否足够极致简洁。
Lenny Rachitsky: 在介绍这些策略的过程中,你的建议是把这些都试一遍,尽可能多地采用这些策略,还是说挑几个适合自己的就行,或者只用一个就够了?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 一共有九个策略。我们将它们分为了适用于创业阶段的策略——也就是你刚起步的时候——和适用于扩张阶段的策略。创业阶段需要做四个策略,扩张阶段需要做五个,所以还是比较容易掌控的。我认为创业阶段的四个都适用,扩张阶段的五个也都适用,但你不需要从第一天起就同时关注九件事。
Lenny Rachitsky: 所以第一个是创业阶段的策略?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 对,极致简洁的定价就是创业阶段的。没错。
掌控谈判
而在扩张阶段,我认为最重要的策略之一就是掌控谈判,真正提升自己在谈判中的表现,尤其是在 B2B 场景下。具体怎么做呢?因为你需要能够在对话中谈论价值,并基于这些对话来为你的价格赋予语境。
要掌控谈判,归结起来其实有三件事:掌握给予与索取(gives and gets)、擅长价值销售(value selling),以及拥有正确的谈判策略。我们逐一来拆解。
先说给予与索取,为什么这件事很重要?因为在谈判中,通常你在不断给予——你在做出让步,对方在提要求。如果你没有得到任何回报,你本质上是在向对方释放一个信号:他们可以持续压价,而你需要不断让步。但如果你在给予的同时要求对方也给予某些东西作为交换,你就把真实性带入了谈判,因为这意味着你的让步对你来说确实有价值,所以你才要求回报。这会让谈判变得高效得多。
在书中,我们专门讨论了 B2B 中排名前 10 的索取项和 B2C 中排名前 10 的索取项。在 B2B 场景中,我最喜欢的索取项之一是我所说的”价值审计”(value audit)。具体意思是,如果你要做出让步,就要求对方以价值审计作为交换——每六个月,客户内部的一个团队会被指派对你的产品进行一次价值评估,使其成为客户自己的商业案例,你和他们共同创建,量化产品实际创造了多少价值。这非常有效,因为如果客户真的参与了进来,你就获得了巨大的定价权,可以用于后续的重新谈判,因为这是他们自己的商业案例,他们在内部推动了这件事,而且你的产品也变得非常具有粘性。这是一个成本很低的索取项,但对未来的谈判可能非常强大。所以说,擅长——
Lenny Rachitsky: 这个真的很聪明。
Madhavan Ramanujam: ——给予与索取确实非常……谢谢。擅长给予与索取是至关重要的。
价值销售
掌控谈判的第二件事是擅长价值销售。要做到这一点,你需要做三件事。第一,你需要能够创造需求。第二,你需要能够创建确认循环(affirmation loops)。第三,构建一个好的 ROI 模型。我们逐个来谈。
创造需求非常重要,因为很多创始人出现在客户面前时,试图理解客户的需求是什么。这是一种思路。但你需要能够主动创造需求,而不仅仅是发现需求。
举个例子,如果你是一个营销自动化 AI 产品,你能够节省大约三周的工作量——这些工作本来需要人工将数据整理到仪表板中,才能让营销经理进行分析。你创造需求的方式是询问客户现有的流程,然后说:“好,据我理解,所有这些工作实际上需要你们花三周时间来整理数据,才能为营销经理提供有意义的仪表板来采取行动。如果这些数据能瞬间呈现给你呢?“看,你刚刚就创造了一个需求。所以关键在于建立一种主动创造需求的思维模式,而不只是被动地发现需求。
第二件事是创建确认循环。这一点非常重要。我见过很多创始人进入谈判环节后,急于介绍自己的产品,不停地讲,却完全没有任何来自对方的确认。你需要学会暂停,创建确认循环——比如:“好,到目前为止,你已经看到了这些功能。这在你公司实际落地时会是什么样子?你认为它有价值吗?这个仪表板你具体喜欢哪里?”
当你问出这些问题,客户开始复述他们在你产品中看到的实际价值时,你就在创建确认循环。这些确认循环在最终进入产品销售阶段时会变得极为有用。因为如果客户已经认可产品能创造价值,你们的商业对话也会更加顺畅。
第三件事是构建一个好的 ROI 模型。我见过很多创始人做一个 POC,POC 结束后才拿出一个 ROI 模型来为价格辩护。那时你其实已经输了。没有人会相信你临时拼凑出来的 ROI 模型,所有人都会质疑你的假设。
正确的做法是从第一天起就与客户共同创建 ROI 模型——也就是说,对假设和输入参数达成共识并进行验证。比如:“嘿,这个流程目前需要多长时间?你们有多少工程师?“你提出的问题都应该是 ROI 模型的输入参数。如果你完成了这个过程,并且客户对所有输入参数都表示认同,他们就不太可能对 ROI 模型的输出结果提出异议。所以 POC 的目的应该被定义为:建立商业案例,我们将在 POC 过程中与客户共同创建一个 ROI 模型——而不是把 POC 当作一个技术和产品功能的测试,然后才拿出一个 ROI 模型。
ROI 模型的三个关键要素
在构建 ROI 模型时,有很多方面可以关注,但有三个至关重要。第一个是,基于客户正在追踪的 KPI 和指标,你实际带来了哪些增量收益?这可以是增量收入、流失率降低等——这些都是你的产品直接带来的、对业务线立竿见影的、清晰可见的影响。
第二个是成本节约。你是否减少了人员编制?是否降低了许可证费用?哪些是有形的成本节约?
第三个,也是最常被忽视的,是机会成本。比如,如果你为一个团队节省了 10 个小时的时间,他们用这 10 个小时做了什么?这也是可以量化的。当你把这三者综合在一起,你就能构建一个完整的 ROI 模型,在价值销售中用它来为合理的价格进行辩护。
谈判中的选项策略
前面我们谈到掌握谈判的三个步骤。第一步是给予与索取,第二步是提升价值销售能力。第三步是切实提升谈判能力,以及你实际应该采用哪些策略。我们发现有几种策略确实非常有效。
第一种策略是带着选项去谈判。许多创始人急于带着单一产品和单一价格去谈,说:“好吧,这个产品十万美元,我们就要卖这个价。“不可避免的是,对话的焦点会立刻集中在价格上,你只会围绕价格进行讨论。
但如果你把多个选项摆在桌面上——比如提供一个好、更好、最好的方案——假设你的产品是十万美元,再准备一个二十万和一个三十万的选项,那你就不是在谈价格,而是在谈价值。因为如果你的客户在意预算,他们会说:“嘿,我喜欢十万这个价位,但我其实更喜欢你二十万产品中的功能。“那你紧接着的问题就是:你具体喜欢哪些功能?为什么这对你有帮助?这样你就把对话重新拉回到价值上,而不是仅仅讨论价格。我们发现,通过这类对话,你的谈判结果远远好于只展示一个产品和一个价格。
展示选项不一定要是不同的产品,甚至可以是定价模式的选择。我想分享一个大家可以周一早上就尝试的简单技巧。我曾和一位创始人聊天,他说:“我觉得预算大概十万,这是我从关键利益相关者那里了解到的,但我的产品确实带来了巨大的价值,我甚至可以收五十万,但我没有勇气去开这个口,因为我大致知道预算就是十万。我该怎么办?“对于这种情况,答案就是在定价模式上提供选项。
定价模式中的巧妙设计
我们指导他带着两个方案去谈:一个是十万起步,加上对任何增量价值收取 10%;另一个是固定五十万。这样一来,谈判的局面就非常有利了。因为如果对方对价格敏感,他的关注点会在十万上——这是一个较低的入门费用。但对话自然会转向:“那个 10% 是什么意思?怎么衡量价值?“这就是一场极好的对话,因为你们在讨论的是:你如何创造价值?价值在哪里产生?你该拿多少比例?
然后你会看到两种结果之一。要么客户说:“太好了,你愿意共担风险。我们就按十万加 10% 来吧。“要么——大约 80% 的情况——作为买方你可能想避开这种基于结果的定价,但到那个时候你已经不再纠结于五十万这个数字了。你支付的实际上是为确定性付出的溢价。因为桌上摆着十万的选项,没有人在意那五十万,而你只是鼓起勇气把它放了上去。在这个具体案例中,五十万最终被谈到了四十万,他们直接把交易额做到了原本的四倍。所以在谈判时把选项摆在桌上至关重要。
锚定与递减让步
我们在书中还介绍了一些其他技巧,比如锚定效应很重要。如果你从高处起步,最终结果也会更高。还有递减让步——你如何做出让步?最差的谈判者一开始给一个小让步,然后在对方施压时越给越多……你先给了 5% 的折扣,采购人员说”不够”,“好吧,再给你 10%”,“还是不够”,“那我给 15% 吧”。你在向对方传递什么信号?你基本上在告诉对方:我可以被持续压价,你想要多少折扣就能拿到多少。
而最优秀的谈判者会递减让步。他们会说:“我可以给你 15%”,“我需要更多”,“我再加 5%”,“还要更多”,“我最多再加 2%“。你在自动向对方传达一个信息:谈判已经接近尾声了。所以如何递减让步同样非常重要。
当你把这三件事综合起来——如果你精通给予与索取,擅长价值销售,并运用正确的谈判策略——你就能从每一笔交易中获取全部价值。这在规模化阶段尤为重要。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这建议太棒了。而这只是你书中一个小章节的内容。它可能决定你公司的成败。有趣的是,在一本关于 Scaling Innovation 和公司增长的书中,你专门用了一整章来讲谈判。这背后的假设是不是:定价和变现深受谈判能力的影响,因为它会改变你整个定价结构和收入水平?这就是你在这一部分投入这么多篇幅的原因吗?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 正是如此。在 B2B 场景中,你可以随意设定价格,设计出精美的定价模式。但至少在当下,那仍然是一个人与另一个人坐下来进行谈判。如果你无法把你提供的东西置于具体语境中,不知道如何围绕价值进行谈判,不知道如何让你的价格有据可依,你就会在桌面上留下大量金钱。
所以对我们来说,谈判本身就是一个变现话题——你把它看作从每一笔交易中获取全部价值的过程。这不仅仅是谈判技巧——比如”把老板留在外面”之类的套路——而是植根于价值销售、给予与索取、以及专注于从每笔交易中获取全部价值的真正谈判策略。
Lenny Rachitsky: 非常实用。抛出一个更高的第三选项——比如五十万——这个想法真的很有意思。因为我通常听到的建议是”直接把数字翻倍报出去……”直接把数字扔出来碰碰运气,但开口说”那五十万怎么样?“真的很吓人。而这个方法就没那么可怕——“好的,但我们还有这个五十万的选项,这是你能得到的。“然后他们可能会说:“哦,这正是我们想要的。“你就心想:“哇,居然管用了。”
Madhavan Ramanujam: 没错,这是一个帮你鼓起勇气的非常简单的技巧。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太妙了。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 放一个好价格上去。
Lenny Rachitsky: 哇,太精彩了。这简直是金矿中的金矿。好的,你一共有九大策略,我们已经讲了两个。剩下的我们不去深入展开,但你能不能再列举几个,让大家知道还能学到什么?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 当然。我们谈到了如何落地与扩展(land and expand)——即如何设计你最好的免费产品,使你既能完成落地又能实现扩展。我们谈到如何制定正确的包装策略(packaging strategy),如何在流失发生之前就加以阻止,以及如何有效地进行提价。因为在规模化的过程中,你迟早需要提价,但怎样做才合理?
AI 定价有何不同
我们涵盖了各种策略,既适用于初创阶段也适用于规模化阶段。但把这些结合起来,它们能帮助你清晰地表达并架构出通往盈利增长的路径。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太好了。好,我们来聊聊 AI。你的书中有很多篇幅讨论 AI 定价与传统定价策略之间的显著差异。如今似乎每家公司都想成为 AI 公司,所以我认为这部分内容对很多人都适用。AI 定价到底有什么不同?
Madhavan Ramanujam: AI 定价与之前那一代公司截然不同。为什么会这样?因为 AI 创始人需要从非常早期就开始考虑变现问题——从第一天开始,在种子轮甚至 pre-seed 阶段就要着手,而这可能不是之前 SaaS 公司的焦点。原因有两个。
第一,第一次出现了需要应对的成本动态。所以你必须从第一天就开始考虑变现。但还有一个更关键的原因,那就是价值捕获。因为 AI 产品确实在创造大量价值,如果你不从第一天就进行捕获,那你就是在训练客户以更少的价格期望获得更多。
举例来说,如果你正在构建一个切入劳动力预算的智能体(agentic)AI 产品,劳动力预算是软件预算的 10 倍。如果你还用旧的玩法,那你从第一天起就在变现不足,同时在训练客户以更少的价格期望获得更多。那么,你如何构建一套基础的模型,真正让你能够捕获自己创造的价值?
为什么这一点变得如此关键?因为有了 AI,创始人终于能够真正解决归因问题。在之前的年代……比如拿 Slack 来说,你可以说生产力提升了、效率提高了,但你无法衡量它、监测它、将其归因于 Slack。这可能就是他们采用按席位定价模式的原因。但在如今的情形下,你会看到一些公司说:“在一家财富 100 强企业中,我将吞吐量提升了 10%,将废品率降低了 5%。“当 AI 正在创造核心价值、且这份价值可以归因于 AI 时,你就拥有了极大的定价权。
所以 AI 创始人经常问我们的两个问题是:第一个,“我该如何设定正确的定价模型?“即”我该怎么收费?“这比”我该收多少钱”重要得多。因为底层商业模式已经改变了。我们已经从软件按访问付费,转变为按交付的工作成果付费。所以变现模型变得至关重要。这是人们问我们的第一个问题。
第二个问题是,“我该如何在早期就推进 POC 和商务讨论?“因为另一边的买家也想在进入商务讨论之前看到价值。这两个话题变得非常关键,我们在书中展示了大量相关内容。
POC 的正确打开方式
Lenny Rachitsky: 我们来聊聊 POC 这块,因为我认为这是很多人都面临的问题。然后我想谈谈你书中的那个 2×2 矩阵,我把它调出来。先聊 POC。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 谈到 POC,很多创始人把 POC 视为技术功能的验证——产品在客户环境中是否真正能跑通。他们设定的预期是:“我们将部署产品,看看它是否真的有效。“他们可能会问:“POC 该不该收费?“我们稍后会展开讨论该不该收费的问题。
但这其实是一种完全错误的框架方式。POC 应该被框架为——整个 POC 的目标是创建一个商业案例,句号。它不是用来展示产品功能适配度或客户环境中的集成能力的。所有这些都是商业案例建立之后的自然结果。
所以,如果你这样来框架它,你可以说:“这是一个为期 30 天的试点,用于与客户用户共同创建 ROI 模型并构建商业案例。如果在 30 天结束时我们基于商业案例看到了价值,我们就可以进入商务讨论。“这样一来,你实际上没有谈到你的价格,你只专注于与客户共同创建商业案例。而基于商业案例,你可以制定出合理的商务协议。如果他们看到了价值,他们会为此付费。这就是思考 POC 的正确方式。
POC 定价的策略
人们经常问我:“POC 应该收费吗?“答案是肯定的,但要聪明地收。我们来谈谈为什么收费很重要。你需要对 POC 收费的原因是,这样可以筛选掉那些只是随便看看的人,留下真正的买家。它变成了一种线索筛选机制。如果你没有这个门槛,就会吸引大量对 AI 只是好奇的看客。他们只想看看能不能用,会说”好的,我参与 POC”,然后占用你 30 天、60 天、90 天的时间,消耗大量资源,最后却从不购买。你纯粹在浪费时间。时间至关重要。所以给 POC 设定一个价格标签,实际上表明了双方的认真态度,你应该收费。
但具体怎么收?你需要聪明地定价。这意味着你需要确保你的 POC 价格并不代表你实际的商务合同。比如,如果你只是说一个 1 万美元的 30 天试点,但你没有说明这跟正式的商务讨论是两码事,那么你就设定了一个锚点——对方会认为 POC 跑通了大概就是每年 12 万美元的合同。所以你必须明确,这 1 万美元仅用于构建商业案例,正式的商务讨论在此之后进行,它不代表实际的商务定价。
但你的买家可能仍然会追问:“说得都很好,但我需要一个价格或预算,否则我不会推进。“有两种方法可以应对这类问题。第一种是将价格锚定在价值上。当被追问价格时,你可以说类似这样的话:“对于像贵司这样的客户,在非常类似的场景中,我们已经能够解锁至少 1000 万美元的价值。而我们的定价……ROI 是 1 比 10 倍。“所以你实际上等于说起步就要 100 万美元,但你并没有直接说出来。你只是说:“价值是 1000 万,我取其中十分之一作为回报。“这样你给了买家一个参考,但你的框架方式让它变得合理——1 比 10 的 ROI。这是第一种方法。
POC 定价的第二种方法
他们可能仍然会说:“说得都很好,但我需要一个预算。“这时候不要直接给他们一个数字说”大概是 20 万美元的方案”,千万别这么做。这其实是你能做的最糟糕的事情。给他们一个区间。你可以说类似这样的话:“最终的定价会在 50 万到 100 万之间。根据我们与贵司共同构建的商业案例,我们可以在该区间内选择一个能够体现我们所带来价值的价位。“所以你给出的是预算区间。这是处理 POC 定价的另一种方法。
所以如何经营早期成功案例、选择哪些客户,在你快速、大规模地构建 AI 公司时非常关键,因为这实际上决定了你未来的命运。选择那些早期成功案例极其重要。要有认真的买家,做好线索筛选,建立正确的 POC 流程,并且要把 POC 不仅仅看作是验证你的产品是否能正常运作、能否交付价值,而是一个绝佳的商业测试与学习实验——去探索你能带来什么样的价值,以及你能从中获取多少份额。
Lenny Rachitsky: 所以这里的核心要点是,对于 AI 公司来说,你不能再先增长、之后再考虑变现了。你的建议是,你一开始设定的就是最终会得到的结果,而且很容易变现不足,因为人们没有意识到他们现在是在帮助节省实际的劳动力,而不仅仅是让 SaaS 软件让人们稍微高效一点。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 完全同意。我坚信 AI 领域的赢家必须精通变现,而且必须从第一天就开始精通。当我们与早期创始人交流时,这是一个让很多人夜不能寐的话题,但这也是我们撰写 Scaling Innovation 及其他资料的原因,让他们能够获得从第一天就正确思考定价的勇气。这对 AI 公司来说已经变得至关重要。
Lenny Rachitsky: 你觉得那些热门的 IDE 初创公司——我不点名了——你觉得它们是否变现不足,未来会遇到麻烦?
变现不足的隐患
Madhavan Ramanujam: 其中一些肯定是的。我认为他们可能会陷入困境,因为他们可能展示了大量的——比如说——快速的收入增长,但那是持久的收入吗?用户真的会留下来吗?会不会有流失?所以实现盈利增长涉及很多方面。不仅仅是快速增长,还要有利可图地增长,拥有持久的业务。所以确实有一些公司存在这个问题,虽然不点名。但正因如此,审慎思考市场份额和钱包份额才如此重要。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这两者是不同的。我想你在这里说的是,其中一些公司的留存可能有问题。但另一方面,它们真的很便宜。每月 20 美元就能让你的工程师效率潜在提升 10 倍,这笔交易是不是太划算了?你觉得它们应该定更高的价格吗?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 当然。我的意思是,如果你带来了巨大的价值,却从一开始就训练客户期望每月 20 美元,把自己锚定在低价位上——我认为确实有公司这么做了。他们试图通过推出更复杂的、价格更高的产品来弥补,这是纠正这种局面的一种方式。
市场份额与钱包份额的权衡
所以这本质上是在获取更多客户和同时赚钱之间的权衡。这正是那本书的核心——市场份额与钱包份额,以及如何同时主导两者。所以如果他们审慎地思考这两者,并且有一个愿景——不仅仅是增长市场份额,还要有明确的着陆与扩张策略来提高钱包份额——那么这些策略对于这类公司可能会奏效。如果你只是推出一个 20 美元的产品,指望仅仅加速市场份额的增长,那你就有麻烦了。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好。这恰好可以引出这个矩阵图,它对这个话题有更深入的探讨。说”你不应该这样做”很容易,但你对于到底该怎么做的建议是什么。我现在要把你书中的这个矩阵图放到屏幕上。如果你在 YouTube 上观看,应该能看到。
来谈谈这个。这本质上是如何找到最佳定价模型,以及你在哪里拥有最大的定价权。
定价模型框架:归因与自主性矩阵
Madhavan Ramanujam: 谈到 AI 公司和变现模型时,我们经常被问到这个问题:“我应该按使用量计费吗?应该按结果计费吗?应该是 copilot 模式吗?我到底该怎么思考我的定价模型?“所以我们提出了这个框架,它相对简单直接,但非常强大。
这里有两个轴。一个是归因(attribution),另一个是自主性(autonomy)。当你同时拥有高归因和高自主性时,你就拥有了高定价权,我们稍后再回到这一点。
先看左下角这个象限。这是归因低、自主性也低的象限。在这种情况下,最合适的定价原型实际上是按席位定价或订阅模式,因为你没有太多别的选择——你无法将自己带来的价值进行充分归因,而且你处于 copilot 模式,不是自主模式,所以按席位定价是合理的。
但如果你处于那个象限,紧接着要思考的是:你如何构建更强的归因能力,向右移动,从而获得更大的定价权?来看右下角象限,那些就是已经做到了这一点的公司。它们能够对自己带来的价值证明更强的归因,但仍然不是完全自主的模式——也就是说仍然有人类在环(human in the loop)。
以 Cursor 为例,它确实提高了生产力,可以缩短编写代码的时间,归因是清晰的,但它仍然是 copilot 模式。在这种情况下,混合定价模型是最佳选择——你仍然对 copilot 类用例保留按席位定价的模式,但同时叠加一个用量模型,规定有一定数量的 AI 额度或 token 来体现使用量。所以如果你用得越多,按用量付的就越多。这就是混合模型在此的运作方式。
再看左上角象限,那些是自主性很强但归因能力不强的产品。这些往往是后端或基础设施类产品,对业务运营至关重要,可以自主运行,但不直接影响企业追踪的 KPI,因此无法有效证明归因。在这种情况下,你需要采用按用量付费的模式。按席位定价不适用,因为它是自主的,没有人类在环。所以你采用用量模型——用得越多,收费越多。使用量就成为你所带来价值的代理指标。
黄金象限:基于结果的定价
Madhavan Ramanujam: 你真正想要进入的象限,是黄金象限,也就是右上角那个。那就是基于结果的定价模型——你既有很强的自主性,又有很强的归因能力。我认为这正是 AI 能够真正展现魔力的地方。这意味着你不仅是在为交付的工作收费,而且是在为完全由 AI 交付、无需人类在环的工作收费。这就更接近基于结果的定价模式。
一个经典的例子是 Intercom 的 Fin 产品。他们的做法是根据 AI 解决的结果来收费——如果 AI 能够完全独立地解决工单,无需人类介入,他们就收费;如果需要人工干预,则不收费。所以他们更偏向基于结果的定价模型。或者像 ChargeFlow 这样的公司,会对成功追回的退单收取高达 25% 的费用,因为这是你的 AI 为客户带来的实实在在的成本节约——归因性极强,自主性极高,所以你可以走向基于结果的定价模型。
看看 AI 目前的状态——截至录制这期播客的今天,最主流的模式是混合定价模型。这其实也在意料之中,因为之前的 SaaS 模式通常是按席位定价,但现在大家至少都转向了混合模式,加入了 AI 额度和使用量等元素。目前大概只有 5% 的公司真正采用了基于结果的定价模型。但这些公司中,最优秀的那些能够回收他们所创造价值的 25% 到 50%。
在经典的 SaaS 场景中,我们常说如果你能收取价值的 10% 到 20%,那就已经很好了。但在 AI 时代,你实际上可以收取 25% 到 50%,因为它是自主运行的,由 AI 完成,没有人类在环。你在为企业指标创造增量价值,你在带来硬性成本节约,还有机会成本——这一切都可以论证,而且是可归因的。所以你确实可以拿走你所创造价值的 25% 到 50%。
许多基准研究和调研都表明——这也是我的信念——在未来三年内,那个 5% 的数字会变成 25%。这意味着,如果你想在 AI 领域取胜,就要想办法到达那个象限,因为那才是黄金象限。如果你能真正实现基于结果的定价,你就实现并释放了巨大的价值。
Lenny Rachitsky: 哇。好的,我不得不再次暂停一下。这太精彩了。Madhavan,非常感谢你。我喜欢的是,你花了多年、数十年研究这些东西,然后来到这里,告诉我们所有应该做的事情。这太不可思议了。
顺便说一下,给没有在 YouTube 上看视频的听众提一下,你放在黄金象限——基于结果的定价——里的公司有 Sierra、Fin 和 ChargeFlow。Sierra 和 Fin 的创始人很快也会上我们的播客,到时候我们会和他们深入聊这些话题。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 太棒了。
Lenny Rachitsky: 那么使用这个 2×2 矩阵来确定你的模型,正确的思路是什么?是像”好吧,我就像 Cursor,我就在这个象限”这样,还是说”不管怎样我都要走向基于结果的定价,那才是我需要到达的地方”?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 这是一个很好的问题。首先,你要根据自己目前的状况来确定你的正确原型。我认为这是最重要的。如果你急于进入基于结果的定价模型,却无法证明归因,你会失败的。所以关键是根据你今天的实际情况来选择正确的原型,但同时也要利用这个 2×2 矩阵来思考:我如何描绘一个走向基于结果的愿景?我能否接近那个目标?我能否完全采用基于结果的模型?我如何逐步演化到那个方向?
这意味着,我如何在产品中构建功能来展现归因,如何构建更多智能体能力将人类从环中移出、实现更高自主性,以及如何审慎地规划你的愿景和战略,使自己逐步朝基于结果的定价模型方向靠拢。当你考虑增强归因能力时,首先意味着要了解客户的 KPI 是什么——他们如何追踪业务表现?你能否影响它?你能否在产品中将这些能力产品化,展示你确实在正面影响那些 KPI?你能否构建仪表盘来展示价值归因?你能否定期进行我们之前讨论过的价值审计,来展示你正在带来大量可归因于你的价值?所以如何创建这些归因机制变得非常重要,同时还要通过构建更多智能体能力来实现自主运行。
所以,选择正确的原型,然后规划尽可能接近基于结果的定价模型的路径——这就是我使用这个 2×2 矩阵的方式。你实际上可以在某些行业中看到这种趋势。以编程这个品类为例——早年间 GitHub 出来的时候,大家都是从按席位定价的模式开始的。现在随着 Cursor 等产品的出现,已经转向了混合定价模型,但自然的演进方向会是更接近基于结果的定价模型——AI 智能体可以同时完成所有编码工作、调试工作,你几乎就像雇佣了一个 AI 开发者或 AI QA 人员。这实际上就更接近基于结果的定价模型,因为它是可归因且自主的。所以选择正确的原型,然后找到你的演进路径,是理解这个 2×2 矩阵的关键方式。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这解释了为什么大家都在推智能体——钱就在那里,这就是你告诉我们的。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 没错。这将是《黑客帝国》的时代。太多智能体了。
Lenny Rachitsky: 到处都是 Agent Smith。他们的下场可不太好。我听到的是,如果我是 Canva……Canva 在你的模型中是右下角,混合定价模型,有基础费用加用量费用。如果你来帮 Canva,你会做什么——你能否构建出更具自主性的产品,一个自主版的 Canva?并不是说你必须这样做,只是如果你能在那个方向找到突破口,你就能获得更大的定价权。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 完全正确。Intercom 的 Fin 产品就是一个很好的案例。因为传统上,所有这类公司都是基于客服人员数量来定价的——有多少客服人员在使用产品,过去是按席位定价的。但他们开发了 Fin,一个完全由 AI 解决支持工单的产品,这就使他们能够进入基于结果的定价模型象限。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太精彩了。假设你是一位 AI 创业者,你正在考虑自己的定价策略和长期变现策略。你的建议是:与设计合作伙伴一起工作,创建这些 POC,与他们一起做 ROI 模型,最终找到某种基于结果的定价策略。这个概括准确吗?你还想补充什么?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 是的。至少要能够把商业案例具体化。即使你不转向基于结果的定价模型,也要清楚你实际为客户创造了什么成果——通过这个商业案例——这将使你能够为那个成果收取一个合理的价格。如果你的客户认可这个商业案例,那你就可以从中提取一部分价值。
Intercom 的定价转型
Lenny Rachitsky: Fin 实际上现在是播客的新赞助商,我了解到……我之前都不知道这个。他们每解决一个支持工单收费 99 美分。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 通过 AI 解决的。
Lenny Rachitsky: 对,通过 AI。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 完全正确。如果需要人工介入,他们就不收费。
Lenny Rachitsky: 是的。就这么简单——你的客服人员要花 20 美元,这个只要 99 美分。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 没错。这同时体现了两个理念——极致简洁的定价和基于结果的定价模型。
Lenny Rachitsky: 有意思的是,他们最初是最令人讨厌的定价模式。我有一次在 Twitter 上做了一个调查,问”你为哪些产品付的钱最多?“答案总是 Intercom。所有人都讨厌他们的定价方式,然后他们找到了解决方案。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 我认为他们找到了一个很好的解决方案。
多产品阶段的打包策略
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。在继续其他话题之前,关于定价,你觉得公司——尤其是 AI 公司——还有什么需要思考的吗?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 我想我们已经涵盖了大部分话题。正如我们所说,认真对待 POC、选择正确的定价原型或定价模型,这些在早期阶段至关重要。但当你开始扩张规模,比如说成为一家多产品公司时,你就需要开始关注:我应该采用什么样的打包策略?是平台加附加模块的形式?还是像好、更好、最好这样的产品版本划分?是否应该针对不同用例进行拆分,因为现在我的 AI 既能解决保险场景,也能解决医疗场景?是否应该按不同用例进行产品化?这就是我的打包策略吗?还是应该保持完全模块化,让客户自行挑选组合?
这些问题变得更加关键,这就是为什么书中关于打破早期打包方式、为扩张阶段重新制定打包策略的那一章变得非常重要。我认为创始人们接下来会面临的挑战就是:当他们构建多个产品时,需要思考整套的打包、交叉销售、向上销售的运作体系。
定价策略的调整频率
Lenny Rachitsky: 这正好触及我接下来想问的问题——定价策略的变更。成功改变定价方式的可能性有多大?我知道我们在谈 AI 公司需要从一开始就做对。根据你的经验,如果有人听到这里心想”糟糕,我们已经有了一套定价策略”,那么成功转变定价方式需要付出什么代价?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 过去我们常说,至少每两年应该重新审视一次定价策略——整体的定价模型、收费水平。在 AI 时代,这个周期可能缩短了一半,因为公司建设和竞争的规模与速度都大大加快了。
所以我想说,这是一个持续的过程。不是你在第一天解决好、就可以抛诸脑后的。你必须从第一天就开始认真思考,同时也要准备好转向、迭代,你会在这个过程中不断学习。关键在于,要把定价也当作早期阶段的一个”测试与学习”的机会。
其中有些东西你会更频繁地调整,有些则不宜经常变动。比如定价模型,除非你的归因或自主性真的发生了变化,否则没有必要切换定价模型。待在原来的原型框架内,不要把事情搞复杂。
但像价格水平这类东西就是另一回事了。过了半年一年,我是不是应该提价?是的,应该。因为一年内你消费的所有东西价格大概都会上涨 3% 到 5%。但你如何真正提高价格并做到审慎周全?所以书中关于如何聪明地涨价的那一章,在扩张阶段就变得非常重要。
我认为沃伦·巴菲特对此总结得很好。他说,一家公司的真正定义就是定价权。如果你需要开一个祈祷大会才能决定涨价 10%,那你的生意就很糟糕。所以你必须能够在一段时间内逐步提高价格。但如何战略性地操作——既不会导致大量流失,又能将涨价作为价值交换传递给客户——这些就变得至关重要。
《Scaling Innovation》中的公理
Lenny Rachitsky: 太棒了。让我们稍微拉远一点视角。你这本书我很喜欢的一点是,你围绕一系列公理来构建内容。你有很多非常巧妙的公理,会印在脑海里,帮助你思考定价。能不能分享几个你最喜欢的,比如书里两三条最核心的公理?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 你之前提到过 Sierra 和他们的创始人。我不确定是不是 Clay,但这里要向 Clay 致个敬。Clay 确实读完了整本书并给了我反馈,就是《Scaling Innovation》这本书,他还留着那本样书。我在整本书中把这些内容称为 Scaling Innovation 公理。公理的核心思想是,如果你能把所有公理提取出来,打印一张纸放在办公桌旁边,那就是整本书的精华摘要。就像简短的声明,帮你记住该做什么。
他提出了一个想法,说与其只是笼统地叫它们”Scaling Innovation 公理”,不如给每一条公理都起一个独特的名字。我觉得这个想法非常棒。于是我开始着手为每条公理构思独特的命名,他甚至还贡献了一些名字。我们最终为每条公理都起了独特的名字。
还有一个有趣的事实。可能我太较真了,但当我数了一下公理的数量,正好是 42 条。我并不是刻意凑成这个数字的。如果你是《银河系漫游指南》的粉丝,你就知道 42 是关于一切的终极答案。
言归正传,让我展开讲几条公理。我最喜欢的第一条,我称之为 20-80 公理。尤其是在科技公司中,你构建的功能中有 20% 驱动了 80% 的付费意愿。但讽刺的是,这 20% 往往是最容易构建的部分。所以创始人做的就是把这 20% 做出来,几乎免费地推向市场,然后拼命去构建那只能驱动 20% 付费意愿的剩余 80%。如果你没有深思熟虑过这个问题,你就在不知不觉中把最有价值的东西拱手让人了。
所以真正理解你的产品中什么驱动了付费意愿至关重要。人们称之为 MVP。我认为我们应该改变 MVP 的定义。它不应该是最小可行产品(minimum viable product),而应该是最有价值产品(most valuable product)。认真思考你作为早期产品实际放出去的是什么,我认为这才是关键。这就是 20-80 公理。
我的第二条大概是价格瘫痪公理。它的含义是,你对涨价的抵触往往是内部的、情绪化的,而不是外部的、基于逻辑的。这又回到了刚才说的——需要开祈祷大会才能决定涨价。如果你需要大家手拉手祈祷才能涨价,那你的生意就很糟糕。所以这种抵触主要是内部的、情绪化的,如何审慎地推进涨价就变得很重要。
防流失公理
Madhavan Ramanujam: 我第三条最喜欢的,大概是在流失发生之前就阻止它,也就是防流失公理。要阻止流失,你需要吸引那些不会离开的客户。这听起来有点反直觉,但这才是真正阻止流失的最佳方式。这到底是什么意思呢?大多数公司会等到有人真的说”我要走了”的时候才试图阻止流失。那时候已经太晚了,你只是在被动应对。最多你抛出一些优惠,他们再留六个月,然后还是会走。他们早已做出了决定。
阻止流失的方法,是从获取那些不会离开的客户开始。这是最重要的事情。所以如果你回过头来看你的数据,问:“哪些类型的客户实际上倾向于停留更久?他们有什么特征?我怎样才能把获取预算更多地花在获取这类客户上?“这样你就能在流失发生之前阻止它。这是关键所在。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这很有意思。我很惊讶你没说到我自己最喜欢的那条,我觉得是——“如果你着陆了,就一定要扩张”。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 对。
Lenny Rachitsky: 那条让我印象特别深。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 那条也很好。
Lenny Rachitsky: 不妨聊聊那条吧。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 好的。我的意思是,如果你着陆了,你也需要确保自己在扩张,意思就是,如果你在入门级产品中就把所有东西都拱手送出,那你后面就没有什么可以变现的了。所以要深思熟虑你的着陆产品之间的围栏是什么。是一个免费体验吗?获取的方式是什么?而获取的方式通常取决于——你是基于功能来获取吗?还是也基于用量来获取?你如何在这件事上做到深思熟虑?这样你才能为扩张留下空间。
最大的教训
Lenny Rachitsky: 好,那我们再拉远一点,来收个尾。你会说你想让创始人带走的最大教训是什么——那个他们自以为理解但很可能并没有的东西?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 我觉得这又回到了你一开始说的。直觉上人们都明白,在增长过程中需要同时考虑市场份额和钱包份额。即使你问他们,他们也会说”对对,我在考虑钱包份额”,但他们真的同等程度地思考过、投入过同等的注意力吗?他们是不是推迟了其中一项?他们是有意还是无意地在用单引擎策略运营?我觉得这才是我的核心要点。
所以逆向思维不是说要在两个引擎上同时投入同等努力。在你公司的某些阶段,你可能更需要以市场份额为主导。在另一些阶段,你可能更需要以钱包份额为主导。努力不一定对等,但注意力要对等,真正培养出成为一个真正的盈利增长架构师的思维方式。这是我想传达给所有人的核心收获。如果你还没有进入这种思维模式,有一本书适合你。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我会指给他们。所以,当人们说”好的,我需要更多地关注钱包份额”的时候,主要的工作是不是搞出一个与定价权良好对齐的定价模型?在投资钱包份额思维方面,需要做哪些工作?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 其实所有这些都相关。市场份额、钱包份额、获取、变现、留存,它们都是相互关联的。你不能孤立地思考它们。所以我不会说只针对钱包份额你需要做什么。如果你想在市场份额和钱包份额两方面都实现增长……比如说,你需要有正确的着陆与扩张策略。着陆帮助你获取客户,扩张帮助你提升钱包份额。
如果你有定价模型,这个定价模型需要让你更快地获取客户,因为它直观易懂,但同时它也应该帮助你回收价值,也就是你的变现。而且如果人们理解你的定价模型,他们实际上会留下来。所以这一切是相辅相成的。我不会孤立地去想这一边或那一边。这就是为什么那九条策略其实非常强大。因为如果你遵循这些策略,你就不会掉进单引擎的陷阱。这些策略经过反复验证,教你如何以深思熟虑的方式构建业务,对市场份额和钱包份额给予同等的关注。
推荐书目与闪电问答
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。这是一个非常合理的回答。Madhavan,在我们进入非常令人兴奋的闪电问答之前,你还有什么想分享或留给听众的吗?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 请按顺序读两本书,《创新变现》和 Scaling Innovation。因为打造一款伟大的产品是一回事,打造一家伟大的企业是另一回事。你不可能用一款不那么好的产品建立一家伟大的企业,反过来也一样。所以我认为,尤其是对 AI 公司来说,尽早考虑定价、深思熟虑、先定价格再做产品、然后思考如何真正实现规模化、培养盈利增长的思维方式,所有这些都变得至关重要。我很期待听众的反馈。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我觉得你的书已经是创始人必读书单的一部分。有太多事情是你在做的时候根本不知道该怎么做。而有这样一些书,它们会说”好,这里有所有的建议,能回答你很多问题,让你少走很多弯路”。所以我很高兴你又往这个书架上添了一本。话说到这,我们到了非常令人兴奋的闪电问答环节。准备好了吗?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 好的,开始吧。
Lenny Rachitsky: 开始。你最常推荐给别人的两三本书是什么?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 第一本想到的是 Alex Osterwalder 的 Business Model Canvas。这是一本经典,也是我最喜欢的书之一。我向很多人推荐这本书,因为我认为它很好地将我们从更宏观的战略商业模式角度看到的很多东西串联了起来。
我喜欢《思考,快与慢》(Thinking Fast, Thinking Slow)这本书。我觉得这也是一本经典,因为事物之中总有人的因素。无论你是在 B2C 还是 B2B 领域,理解客户心理都很重要。因为如果你处于 B2B 场景中,那也是人跟人在对话。所以它既是行为层面的,同样也是数据层面的。我很喜欢这本书,里面有很多精华,所以我经常推荐。
第三本我推荐的大概是 Jonah Berger 写的一本叫 Contagious 的书。我很喜欢。他曾在斯坦福读营销学博士项目,他写了这本关于如何让信息病毒式传播的书。他实际研究了最好的病毒式传播信息,并将其提炼为一个框架。如果你遵循这个框架,就能让信息病毒式传播。我在自己的外联推广中也尝试运用了其中的一些方法,所以我觉得这本书非常值得一读。
Lenny Rachitsky: 哇。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 你读过吗?
Lenny Rachitsky: 得找来看看。我还没读过,甚至都没听说过。好,我们要病毒式传播了,因为我们拿到了秘籍。
Madhavan Ramanujam: Contagious,这就是书名。
Lenny Rachitsky: Contagious。好的,我们会附上链接。有没有最近你觉得特别好看的电影或电视剧?
电影与变现思维
Madhavan Ramanujam: 电影的话,我选一部吧。我确实很喜欢《碟中谍》最后一部,系列第八部。我发现自己对整个系列,从第一部到第八部都很喜欢。但让我觉得有意思的是,我对这个系列的付费意愿随着时间推移在持续增长。第八部电影他们收多少钱我都可以接受,只要我想看,我就会去看。所以我觉得这是一个很有趣的例子——一个持久的品牌,它的变现能力实际上会随着时间推移而增强。电影本身我也很享受,非常好看。
顺便说一下,我刚刚意识到 MI 既代表 Monetizing Innovation(创新变现),也代表 Mission Impossible(碟中谍)。也许潜意识里这也是我喜欢它的原因。
Lenny Rachitsky: 而且你就是里面汤姆·克鲁斯那个角色。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 没错,正是如此。
Lenny Rachitsky: 你是全世界唯一一个会从变现和付费意愿的角度来看《碟中谍》的人。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 确实如此。我发现很多饭局上的话题最后也都会绕到定价和变现上。我觉得这已经成了我的人生。
Lenny Rachitsky: 天哪,我们需要一个你版的这部电影,就叫 Madhavan 的”碟中可能”。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 当然。
最近喜欢的产品
Lenny Rachitsky: 我愿意出任何价钱。好,下一个问题。你最近有没有发现什么特别喜欢的产品?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 我可能会说两个产品。第一个是 Delphi,数字思维呈现。你其实也推出了一个 Lennybot。我觉得这个产品非常吸引人,我也很喜欢那里的创始人 Dara 和 Sam。我真心认为这将代表思想领导力未来的发展方向,也是消费者获取思想的未来方式。
我用过你的 Lennybot,体验很好。如果我能和你——不是你本人,而是你的 AI——一起共创某个思想领导力的内容,而它实际上承载着你大脑中活生生的思维,这多酷啊?我觉得这个产品品类我非常喜欢,有很多不同的应用场景——延续性、延伸性等各种各样的用例。我对这个产品感到兴奋,它做得很好。我打算从你这里获得灵感,也给自己创建一个 Delphi——
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。我正想问这个。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 在某个时间点。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 也许围绕着书来做。我会试试的。这是个承诺。尽量准备好。所以如果你想进一步聊书的内容或者定价之类的话题,你也可以和我的 AI 聊,对吧?我觉得这个产品非常迷人。
第二个我想说的是 Granola,在生产力方面超级有用。我们很喜欢这个产品。它能在所有会议期间做笔记并整理,还能查询各种内容。这是我们最近开始尝试的产品,非常喜欢。
人生座右铭
Lenny Rachitsky: 关于 Delphi,LennyBot 有意思的地方在于它不仅仅是我的知识,每一位播客嘉宾的洞见和经验也都输入了进去。这个东西已经成为一个多么强大的知识宝库。而且目前是完全免费的。lennybot.com。我从中得不到任何收益,它就在那里。
好,下一个问题。你有没有一个经常回想、并在工作或生活中觉得有用的人生座右铭?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 在你触及的一切事物中创造价值。其他一切自然会随之而来。这就是我的人生座右铭。
转型投资:面向早期 AI 创始人
Lenny Rachitsky: 这句话深有共鸣。好,最后一个问题。你最近转型做了投资。以前在 Simon-Kucher 找你们合作是非常贵的。很多都是大公司的项目。现在更多的创始人可以接触到你了,因为你在投资初创公司。聊聊这个吧,聊聊你最近在做什么。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 当然。在 Simon-Kucher 的时候,我合作了超过 250 家公司。我现在的联合 GP Josh Bloom 也合作了 250 家公司。加起来,我们合作了 500 多家公司,其中超过 50 家独角兽。那是一段很棒的旅程。
通常我们是在相当靠后的阶段才和他们合作——D 轮、Pre-IPO、Post-IPO、私募股权公司等等。但我们两个人现在创办了一家风险投资公司,明确的目标是与早期 AI 创始人合作。这回到了我们最开始讨论的话题。AI 公司需要从第一天就处理变现问题。但对于这类公司来说,按服务收费的交易模式并不一定适用。这也是我们转向风险投资的原因。
所以我们的商业模式现在很标准。我们进入 cap table(股权表),卷起袖子与创始人一起处理所有变现相关的事务。我们投资于他们的成功,也将分享价值创造。没有服务费,没有那方面的摩擦。但另一方面,我们可以在一期基金中集中精力,大约投资 20 到 25 家公司,这就是我们将投入时间的地方。
如何联系与购书优惠
Lenny Rachitsky: 多好的条件。Madhavan,最后两个问题。如果有人想联系你、聊聊这个合作机会,去哪里找你?听众怎样才能帮到你?
Madhavan Ramanujam: 联系方式的话,直接搜索 Monetizing Innovation 和 Scaling Innovation 就行,你会找到很多页面。也可以去 Amazon,如果你想买书的话。实际上 Scaling Innovation 现在已经开放预购了。我想这期播客发布的时候书还没出来。书将在 8 月 5 日正式发售,所以现在有机会预购。
也许我会从你的大师套装中获得灵感——我真的认为那是世界上最好的套装——然后为用户预购设计我自己的套装。如果你喜欢《创新变现》,我可以告诉你你也会非常喜欢 Scaling Innovation。所以给你的团队买,给你自己买。
这是我的优惠。任何人购买超过五本的,把购买的截图发给我们。把截图发到 promo@49palmsvc.com。就是 promo,promotion 的 promo,@49 P-A-L-M-S-V-C .com。
这是我的套装优惠。10 个人将通过抽奖获得套装,套装包括一本签名版 Scaling Innovation、30 分钟的”问我任何事”(AMA)环节、Scaling Innovation 新书发布的独家邀请,以及一件 Scaling Innovation T 恤。这就是我自己想出来的套装。我还没有拉 Granola 和其他人加入,但希望这些足够吸引大家去购买。
结束语与感谢
Madhavan Ramanujam: 还有,如果你喜欢这本书,请在亚马逊上留下评论,这总是有帮助的。因为评论的人越多,这本书就有了自己的生命力。我也非常感谢多年来创业者社区和投资界对《创新变现》的支持。在过去八年里,有成千上万的书迷,他们做了很多事情——谈论这本书、写评论、在 LinkedIn 上发帖,把”定价先于产品”、“产品-市场-价格契合”等概念变成了创业者日常词汇的一部分。人们对这本书的热情让我非常感动,也非常感谢他们。所以从同样的角度来说,如果你对 Scaling Innovation 感到兴奋,我也非常希望你能去谈论这本书。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太棒了。我觉得大家愿意这样做,是因为你免费分享了太多东西。你免费分享了这么多智慧,帮助了这么多人,所以这一切都会回馈到你身上。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 我刚才就是想规划一下我的给予与索取。
Lenny Rachitsky: 哈哈,好一个回应。Madhavan,这次对话太精彩了。非常感谢你的到来。
Madhavan Ramanujam: 非常感谢你,Lenny。很荣幸。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我也是。大家再见。
感谢大家的收听。如果你觉得这期节目有价值,可以在 Apple Podcasts、Spotify 或你喜欢的播客应用上订阅。也请考虑给我们评分或留下评论,这真的能帮助更多听众发现这个播客。你可以在 lennyspodcast.com 找到所有往期节目或了解更多关于节目的信息。下期再见。
术语表
| 原文 | 中文 |
|---|---|
| 20-80 axiom | 20-80 公理 |
| acquisition | 获取 |
| agentic AI | 智能体 AI |
| Alex Osterwalder | Alex Osterwalder(人名,保留原文) |
| AMA (Ask Me Anything) | AMA(问我任何事) |
| attribution | 归因 |
| attribution problem | 归因问题 |
| autonomy | 自主性 |
| beautifully simple pricing | 极致简洁的定价 |
| Bill Gurley | Bill Gurley(人名,保留原文) |
| Business Model Canvas | Business Model Canvas(书名,保留原文) |
| cap table | 股权表 |
| churn | 流失 |
| Clay | Clay(人名,保留原文) |
| community builder | 社群建设者 |
| consumption model | 用量模型 |
| Contagious | Contagious(书名,保留原文) |
| cross-selling | 交叉销售 |
| Dara | Dara(人名,保留原文) |
| Delphi | Delphi(产品名,保留原文) |
| disruptor | 颠覆者 |
| GP | GP(普通合伙人,保留原文) |
| Granola | Granola(产品名,保留原文) |
| human in the loop | 人类在环 |
| hybrid pricing model | 混合定价模型 |
| Jonah Berger | Jonah Berger(人名,保留原文) |
| Josh Bloom | Josh Bloom(人名,保留原文) |
| land and expand | 着陆与扩张 |
| Lenny Rachitsky | Lenny Rachitsky(人名,保留原文) |
| Lennybot | Lennybot(产品名,保留原文) |
| Madhavan Ramanujam | Madhavan Ramanujam(人名,保留原文) |
| monetization | 变现 |
| Monetizing Innovation | 《创新变现》(书名) |
| moneymaker | 赚钱者 |
| MVP | MVP(最小可行产品) |
| outcome-based pricing | 基于结果的定价 |
| packaging strategy | 打包策略 |
| pay-for-what-you-consume | 按用量付费 |
| POC (Proof of Concept) | POC(概念验证) |
| price paralysis | 价格瘫痪 |
| price premium paradox | 价格溢价悖论 |
| pricing power | 定价权 |
| profitable growth architect | 盈利增长架构师 |
| Rahul | Rahul(人名,保留原文) |
| retention | 留存 |
| Sam | Sam(人名,保留原文) |
| Scaling Innovation | Scaling Innovation(书名,保留原文) |
| seed-based pricing | 按席位定价 |
| Simon-Kucher | Simon-Kucher(公司名,保留原文) |
| single-engine strap | 单引擎陷阱(strap 疑为 trap 的口误) |
| Superhuman | Superhuman(公司名,保留原文) |
| Thinking Fast, Thinking Slow | 《思考,快与慢》(书名,使用公认中文译名) |
| tire kicker | 随便看看的人 |
| upsell | 向上销售 |
| usage-based model | 按使用量计费的模型 |
| wallet share | 钱包份额 |
| Warren Buffett | 沃伦·巴菲特 |
| willingness to pay | 付费意愿 |
此文档由 AI 分片翻译(translate_long_document)