产品策略实操指南 | Chandra Janakiraman(VRChat 首席产品官,前 Meta、Headspace)
An operator’s guide to product strategy | Chandra Janakiraman (CPO at VRChat, ex-Meta, Headspace)
Strategy Mysteries and Misconceptions
Chandra Janakiraman: I started noticing that there was a certain mystique and aura about product strategy. There was this perception that some people were intrinsically really good at strategy and others were not. It was almost as if there was a strategy gene you needed to be born with to be good at it.
Lenny Rachitsky: Say someone’s sitting down, okay, I’m going to start developing a strategy for our product. Where do you begin? What does this process look like?
”Small s” vs “Big S” Strategy
Chandra Janakiraman: In terms of what product strategy is? There is a smallest flavor of it which focuses on solving problems, they’re called present forward, and it typically operates in a two-year horizon. We use a five-stage process to get there and it takes about eight to 12 weeks. The reason I think this process works is there is a ton of alignment built in. It goes back to human psychology of just something that comes from you, feels a lot more familiar and easy to accept.
Introducing the Guest
Lenny Rachitsky: Let’s talk about big S strategy. When should you approach strategy this way?
Chandra Janakiraman: There’s this interesting quote by Elon Musk, which is-
Elon Musk: “Life’s got to be about more than just solving problems.”
Chandra Janakiraman: I think this is true of every sort of company. There needs to be an aspirational and cool component to strategy. What does the product look like in five to 10 years? Why is the world better in 10 years? And what is the most exciting version of that view?
Origins of the Episode
Lenny Rachitsky: Today my guest is Chandra Janakiraman. Chandra is chief product officer and executive vice president at VRChat. He was a product leader at Meta, chief product officer at Headspace, a GM at Zynga, and a senior PM at Amazon. And the way this podcast episode happened was an avid podcast listener, Karthik Suresh, told me about Chandra at a community meetup. And when I connected with Chandra, it was clear that I needed to get him on the podcast.
Chandra is a student of strategy and has spent his career developing what he calls an operator’s guide to strategy, which essentially pulls together the best ideas from Good Strategy, Bad Strategy, Playing to Win, Michael Porter and others to create a very clear, reliable and easy-to-follow five-step process to develop a great strategy and a set of next steps for your product and company. After hearing Chandra walk through this in our conversation, I’m basically going to now point everyone who wants to get better at strategy to this episode and Chandra’s method. Strategy is at the heart of every great product and team and business, and it’s also the source of so much pain if you do it badly. This episode is meant to help you avoid that. A big thank you to Karthik for making this connection. If you enjoy this podcast, don’t forget to subscribe and follow it in your favorite podcasting app or YouTube. It’s the best way to avoid missing feature episodes and it helps the podcast tremendously. With that, I bring you Chandra Janakiraman.
Chandra, thank you so much for being here and welcome to the podcast.
Chandra Janakiraman: Pleasure to be here, Lenny.
How I Got Interested in Strategy
Lenny Rachitsky: I want to share actually the context and how this conversation happened. I was at a meetup of my readership, of my community and someone came up to me and they’re like, “Lenny, you need to get this guy Chandra on your podcast. He’s the most amazing playbook for developing a strategy.” He’s gone through it with you at a company he worked at with you once, and he’s just like, “People need to learn this because it’s so good.” And to me, if someone can get better at strategy, it feels like it just makes so much of the way the company operates and the way that people work better. So we chatted, we met, I was like, “I completely agree. We definitely need to get you on this podcast to share your approach to the strategy.” So we made this happen, and so we’re here. So again, thank you for doing this and sharing.
Minimum Viable Strategy and 8-12 Week Process
Chandra Janakiraman: Thank you. Thank you, Lenny.
Lenny Rachitsky: First of all, I wanted to ask just you’re very passionate about strategy and developing a way to consistently create great strategies. What got you so interested in this stuff in the first place? What kind of sparked your interest in this area?
The Strategy Working Group
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, yeah, it’s a very interesting story. It goes back all the way 10 years ago, but I remember it vividly like it happened yesterday. And I was a relatively new VP of product at Headspace, and we had this amazing company vision and mission that the founders had laid out, and I had come in and established goals for the team in terms of our key metrics, and we had a very buttoned up roadmap in my mind that fed into that company mission and vision. And I was feeling pretty good about how things were shaping up.
And on a particular Monday, the founder, CEO pulled me aside, and in his usual disarming style, he sort of made a short but profound statement. He said that, “Hey, CJ, I’m hearing that a lot of people don’t really understand why we are working on what we are working on,” and that was it. That was really the extent of what he shared. And it was a little bit of a bubble bursting moment for me because we obviously had spent a lot of time building the plan and I was feeling relatively good about the plan.
And so I spoke to a few people. I sort of wanted to understand it a little bit deeper, like, “Hey, what’s happening?” And he was right. He was right. A lot of people didn’t really understand why we were working on the things we were working on, and it led to some soul-searching. And basically I was lucky because there was actually a board member of Headspace who had a product background, kind of knew what good looked like, and I came to the conclusion, “Hey, we needed a strategy for Headspace.”
So with extensive work with her, with the board person, we built the first written product strategy for Headspace. And that, and the subsequent actions on the product led to a complete re-imagination of the product. And basically we were able to create a new product, we call it the Next Generation Headspace, which on one hand it could support a comprehensive library of content, not just meditation, but non-meditation content as well. It had the sort of home experience where everything was incredibly personalized for the individuals, and there were several motivational elements built into the whole product experience. And it was very transformational for the company and the product because it changed the product from being a meditation app to a broader health and wellness service and really put the company on a different trajectory. It led to my promotion to the first CPO at Headspace.
And most interestingly, I had a chance to, while going through it almost in a sort of out of body way, observed the process of like, okay, how did we put this thing together? And what actually went into it? What really started as almost a personal crisis moment of finding this need to create a strategy for a product and a company led to a bigger sort of quest for me, which is I started noticing that there was a certain mystique and aura about product strategy, and there was this perception that some people were intrinsically really good at strategy and others were not. And it was almost as if there was a strategy gene that you needed to be born with to be good at it. And that bothered me a lot, and I sort of wanted to ask myself, is it possible to break that divide between the haves and the have-nots and make this capability widely accessible through a procedural approach. And I have news for you. The answer is yes, anybody can build product strategy through a clear understanding of what it is and through a friendly and repeatable playbook.
Leadership Interviews and the Fruit Story
Lenny Rachitsky: Amazing. That’s exactly what I want to do here. The point you made about the why, I think everyone listening to this that’s been in product for long enough has heard that of just, “Your team doesn’t understand why we’re doing this.” I’ve heard that a number of times, as much as you think you’re killing it, there’s always that, you forget sometimes to do that or you aren’t doing it great. And I love that basically the solution to that is the strategy solves that problem of helping people connect the dots and understand why this is the roadmap, why this is the strategy. Okay, so before we get into it, just one more context question, what’s just the best way to think about what you’re about to share and also who’s it for? Who needs to hear this briefly?
Competitor Analysis and Adjacent Roadmaps
Chandra Janakiraman: So the way to think about this, the substance is that this is not a new framework or theory that I’m going to be talking about. There are plenty of excellent materials on strategy from ancient texts like The Art of War from Sun Tzu, all of Michael Porter’s work, Good Strategy Bad Strategy by Richard Rumelt, who’s been on your podcast, Playing to Win Lafley and Roger Martin. So there’s a ton of extensively researched and well-founded materials out there. So the way I would think about this is, it’s more of an operator’s interpretation of all the stuff that’s out there and are able to package it into something that’s friendly and repeatable, particularly for product people who think they are weak at strategy or perhaps have received such feedback.
And just in terms of the battle-tested nature of it, I personally use this playbook about five to six times tweaking and optimizing it each time based on what I thought worked, what people thought worked and didn’t work, including several times at Meta and usually leading to strong results, both for me achieving senior leadership alignment as well as driving business results for the company.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, I’m getting more and more excited. Let’s get into it, let’s get into this playbook. People hear this word strategy a lot. They’re told be more strategic, build a better strategy. What’s the simplest way to understand what is a strategy?
Conducting User Observations
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, let’s start with some basic definitions, which is as you asked, what is product strategy? And if you think back to the Headspace example, this sort of comes to life as well. So product strategy, strategy sits between the mission and vision and the plan. It could be at the company level or at the team level, but it’s usually sitting between the mission and vision and the plan. And the plan, you can call the plan the roadmap, which is basically an ordered list of things that you want to get done and the mission and vision is basically sort of the purpose of existence, what does it look like when you achieve your purpose of existence? So it sits between the two and it forces choice to deploy scarce resources to generate maximum impact.
And I want to borrow an analogy from the world of physics. There is this concept called resonance, and the concept of resonance is really interesting, and it’s actually very close to the concept of strategy. So the concept of resonance works as follows, when you apply a certain frequency to an object and you get pretty close to its natural frequency, you see a disproportionate increase in the amplitude of how that object vibrates. And so it’s very interesting, if you apply any other frequency, there’s very little effect on the object, but if you get close to its natural frequency, there’s this exponential increase in the vibration of the product. So this concept of resonance is interesting.
So the way to think about it in the context of strategy is, it is selecting that frequency to achieve resonance between the product and the market. And so when you get close to that frequency, you should see tremendous impact in terms of the product landing well in the market. And so that’s how I would think about it. It sits between mission, vision and the plan. It forces choice to deploy scarce resources to generate maximum impact, so using resonance as a sort of an example, and it ideally includes three components. The first is a handful of areas to focus on and I call these strategic pillars and then a whole bunch of areas that are explicitly not the focus. And the third component is why. So why are the focus areas, A, B and C? Why are these whole bunch of areas not the focus? And that’s the three components. That’s really it in terms of product strategy.
Synthesizing Research Findings
Lenny Rachitsky: I love it. And I love the things we aren’t doing as a core part of this, that comes up a lot on this podcast of being clear is what we’re not going to do. We know these could be things we could do, but we’re deciding we’re not doing these things.
Okay, so let’s just talk through how you go about developing a strategy using this method. Say someone’s sitting down, “Okay, I’m going to start developing a strategy for our product.” Where do you begin? What does this process look like? Let’s start talking through it.
The Strategy Sprint
Chandra Janakiraman: So I sort of want to first explain this concept called smallest strategy, and I’ll sort of talk about what that is and how it’s different from another kind. But the basic sort of strategic process I would say takes about eight to 12 weeks long. It’s something that I think people often underestimate how long it takes and eventually end up taking a lot more time. But when they start off, they think, “Oh, I could probably stand this up in a couple of weeks,” but usually through iteration it actually ends up taking 8 to 12 weeks anyway. So it’s good to start with setting clear expectations that it takes about eight to 12 weeks. And the way to justify the ROI on that is typically a strategy like this can be leveraged for about a couple of years. So relative to that sort of payback period, I think the investment is relatively small. So it’s pretty healthy from that sense to manage expectations and say that that’s how long it’s going to take.
So within that period, there are five phases. There’s the preparation phase, there’s a strategy sprint, the design sprint, the document writing and the rollout. And those are the five phases, which I’ll explain how one would go through. And basically each of them has a certain sort of time recommendation. For example, the preparation phase I would say is probably about four weeks. The strategy sprint is up to about one week. The design sprint is another one week, document writing maybe one to two weeks, and the rollout is maybe two to three weeks. So that’s how you get to that range of eight to 12 weeks.
Reliability of the Strategy Sprint
Lenny Rachitsky: Essentially it’s like a quarter of work to get to a final great strategy. And of these five phases, the biggest bucket is preparation, which to me sounds like it’s not like a full-time team thing. It’s starting to gather data and user research-
Design Sprint: Visualizing Strategy with Concept Maps
Chandra Janakiraman: Totally.
Writing the Strategy Doc: Weaving a Story
Lenny Rachitsky: As you talk through this, I’m curious just how much of the team is involved in each of these steps. But I think it’s an important point, if you want a really good winning strategy, you need to give a time. You can’t just say, “In a month or a week, we need to develop a strategy, go figure it out, write this document.” Great. Cool. So let’s talk about step one preparation.
Chandra Janakiraman: That’s correct, Lenny. And I think you, if I forget, remind me that sometimes there is pressure. There’s just business pressure, like the CEO might still want a strategy in two weeks, how do you respond to that? And I think we can find some clever shortcuts there, but I think to the extent possible, the leader should push for [inaudible 00:18:39] to make something really great.
Strategy Document Structure Guide
Lenny Rachitsky: And I think part of it is that as a leader, you can start on this before… you know this is coming, so you should get started before it’s even asked for.
Chandra Janakiraman: That’s correct.
Executing the Strategy Rollout
Lenny Rachitsky: Yeah, awesome. Okay, let’s get into it.
Manager Syncs During the Strategy Sprint
Chandra Janakiraman: So I think you sort of touched on this in terms of the preparation phase being the longest phase, but also not being sort of like a full-time thing. So that’s absolutely right. So the preparation phase is really… The way to start this, which is a little different from other approaches I’ve seen from people is to actually form a strategy working group. This is an important concept. So the strategy working group is sort of a small team. It typically consists of engineering, product design and data at a minimum. And in certain cases, there’s a luxury to have other functions like product marketing, user research, that’s also part of the strategy working group. But the minimum quorum, I would recommend is engineering, product design and data because design in some ways represents both sort of product design and user research. So you do get the voice of the user from that perspective. And typically the PM is driving the strategy working group and the process, but that working group is actually the team that’s going to collaboratively create the strategy doc.
And so in the preparation phase, there’s usually a kickoff meeting where the PM pulls the team together, talks about the purpose of the process, lays out the different phases, and gives everybody a feel for what’s going to happen in the next 8 to 12 weeks. And basically then creates a list of very discrete action items and deliverables for each of the stakeholders in the working group. So specifically, there’s an action item around aggregating all the behavioral insights that the team might have around the product. And usually this is a combination of previous analysis that the team has run on the data side and potentially also feature launches and how they have done. So all kind of analytical analysis.
The ask is really to create a meta analysis of all of the analysis. So the data person on the strategy working group has to scan the historical archives at the company and sort of synthesize and condense that into a very sort of digestible macro themes and learnings about users. So that’s sort of one preparation phase item.
The second is UXR insight. So again, there’s probably a lot of soft hard signals about users, not just based on research that’s run by user researchers, but also potentially from the customer service team, social channels, and basically a meta analysis of all of that into one very actionable and synthesized deck on all the insights on users. That’s usually led by the design person and with support from their research team. And that’s sort of the second action item.
The third action item is leadership interviews. So I sort of have this fun story of the fruit with leadership strategy reviews, which I want to share. So imagine, this is sort of how sometimes strategy reviews go, which is you bring a fruit to the reviewer and say, “Hey, here’s a mango, what do you think?” And the reviewer says, “I actually don’t like mangoes.” And you’re like, “Oh,” you’re sort of sad. You take it back, you bring an apple and you show, “Hey, what do you think of an apple?” And then the leader says, “I actually stopped eating apples last year.” And so you’re disappointed again. You go back, you bring a banana. “I hated bananas since I was a kid.” And so it’s a bit of a silly caricature of reviews, but there’s a bit of grain of truth there, which is, imagine how frustrating that is for both the reviewer and the person who’s reviewing.
And so it could be made so much better if you just engage with your leaders before you actually build a strategy. It’s amazing how few people actually do that. And so the fruit story tells you, hey, imagine if you just asked the reviewer, “Do you even like fruits?” How much better the experience would’ve been for both parties. And so leadership interviews are a very important part of a strategy formulation process. So you can divide and conquer, there’s several leaders, like you assign different leaders to different people on the strategy working group and each of them sort talks to that leader. And there are a few questions that I would recommend asking, and it’s basically, what does success feel like for the leader? What does failure look like? What is the measure of success? What are principles to keep in mind while going through this process?
Lenny Rachitsky: And these are centered around the product that you’re working on?
Why This Process Works
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: For Headspace, it’d be like, what do you think success looks like for Headspace or the specific feature of Headspace? [inaudible 00:24:03].
Case Study: Zynga’s Strategic Clarity
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, cool.
Strategy Failure and Environmental Shifts
Chandra Janakiraman: That’s right, yeah. And also I think ask them for their favorite or better ideas. It’s actually what I’ve found through this process is a lot of leaders have these better ideas, they just feel shy to share it because they don’t want their teams to think of them as micromanage-y. They want their teams to figure out the answer themselves, but then when you ask them, they actually have a pet idea always.
And so asking them just takes the mystery out of it. And it also gives them a creative avenue. So some people feel nervous about engaging senior leaders in these conversations in the sense that, hey, is it a waste of their time? What I’ve found is the exact opposite, senior leaders are, they welcome this because one, it’s actually a more fun conversation for them than the other meetings that they have in their day because they’re getting a little bit of their creative juices going, and they actually feel happy that somebody actually asked them what they’re feeling and thinking about. And so it’s actually very, very positive energy when you ask leaders just what they want. And it’s also not a sign of weakness. It’s actually a sign of strength and humility to ask your leaders what you want. And so keeping that fruit story in mind, I want to just say that this is a very, very positive thing, a very powerful thing.
The next area is competitive analysis. So if there is a product marketing person, they can do it for you. If there isn’t, the PM should do it themselves. And basically the idea is you try to understand who are the comparables or the competitors in the space, and you sort of build a little bit of a head-to-head and sort a stack chart of where’s everybody going and what are of the angles of investment for different people based on the explicit signals, which is what are they releasing?
You don’t really know what their strategies are, but you can kind of tell when you look at the features they’re putting out that, oh, they seem to be focusing on this particular area. And so that’s sort of competitive analysis. And bigger companies, there’s also another important input, which is adjacent roadmaps. Are the teams adjacent to you and what are they investing in? Because oftentimes that can have a rub-off effect on your team, and if you’re not aligning with other key teams, it’s going to be important. So adjacent roadmaps and a summary of that.
And last but not least, is what I call user observation. So I like the strategy working group to actually either interview a user or watch a video and report key learnings. And the idea is not to action those insights, it’s really to build empathy. When you get somebody in the room with a user, it just changes their mind, it softens them a little bit. It gets them out of their own preconceived notions of what to build, what the strategy should be and…
… their own preconceived notions of what to build, what the strategy should be, and it humanizes the whole process. That I think is the purpose, but you still give them the homework of writing down what they learned because it’s a little bit of a forcing function.
The output of all of this is what I call the comprehensive preparation readout. It is a single master deck where you sort of have the behavioral insights meta analysis, you have the UXR insights meta analysis, you have a download of the leadership interviews, you have the competitive stack charts, you have the adjacent roadmaps, and you have a section on user observations. It’s a lot of work, but to your point, it can be done in parallel with your day jobs. You can multitask, and that’s why you take about four weeks to do that. That sort of concludes the preparation phase. You get the deck, and that rolls into the strategy sprint, which is the next phase. I want to pause and see if you have any questions.
Lenny Rachitsky: Yeah, I have a million questions, but I’m going to keep myself contained. Just to quickly summarize. Basically you kick off, we’re going to start developing strategy for this product, and you were going to touch on this, but it may help just to talk about this right now. I know you have big S Strategy, small S strategy. This process, what’s an example of the level of product scale that this process is for? Because I know you have another approach for a larger scale of a product, basically for a company. What’s the best way to think about small S strategy, which is what we’re going through?
Implicit Knowledge in Strategy
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, I think it’s a good question, Lenny. I would say that the process works well at sort of a growth stage company or in a vertical within sort of a larger company. I think it scales pretty well. The main difference between this small S and big S is the time horizon aspect and the aspirational component, which we’ll get to.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, so this is a process you can use for entire company strategy of not a large company, not a massively, and then also just a product within a company?
Strategy at Meta: Oculus and Portal
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah.
True Value of Strategy is Execution
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, perfect. Okay. Hey, we’re kicking off strategy for this thing. Let’s say VR Chat 2.0. You have this kickoff meeting with your working group. You assign action items and there’s six things you ask everyone to do. Gather all the behavioral insights, all the user research insights that you’ve had, leadership interviews, interview people, ask what they want and see what they’re hoping for, what success looks like, competitive analysis, adjacent roadmaps across other teams and user observations, just like watch users, see what’s happening. You assign each of these tasks to different people in this working group. You set a deadline. We have to present this in say, four weeks. People go work on it. You meet ongoing as it’s coming together, and then the output is a deck that you share. Do you share this deck with just that working group, or who do you share this deck with and read it out to?
Moving from Small S to Big S
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah. The deck is an output of the first phase, and then it flows into the second phase, which is a strategy sprint. You don’t share the deck with anybody yet.
Collaboration Rhythm Between Small and Big S
Lenny Rachitsky: Got it. This is our secret.
Emotional Journey of Making Strategy
Chandra Janakiraman: In the strategy sprint, it’s like a key thing. Yeah.
Lenny Rachitsky: Awesome. Okay. I love how very concrete and actionable this is with time boxes and action items and the exact output you’re looking for. I love this. Okay, cool. Basically what you’re trying to do here is gather all of the input that will inform the strategy.
Choosing the Right People
Chandra Janakiraman: That’s correct.
Lenny Rachitsky: It’s giving yourself time to do this, because if you think about it, the output is determined by the quality of your input. I love, it feels like a core component of this method is spend time creating, gathering all the input, all the best input, actually spend time there. Don’t just make it a half-assed last minute thing. Okay. Amazing. Okay, let’s talk about step two, which is the strategy sprint.
AI’s Impact on Strategy Formulation
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, so the strategy sprint is the heart of the process. This is sort of where you make the decision. If you recall, the definition of strategy is it forces choice to deploy resources into a few areas for maximum impact. The core of strategy is really picking those areas and the areas you’re not going invest in. That happens in the strategy sprint, so really it’s the heart of the process.
Typically, it’s like a three to five day process. The first day is the share out date. Everybody has done some great work. They go in, they share what they’ve collected, what they’ve sort of learned. It brings everybody in the working group to the same state of understanding, the same state of consciousness on the state of the union. That’s a great process where what I encourage people to do is write down things that you are, as you’re listening, write down things that you find are problems for our users, things that are coming in the way of our growth and things that are sort of suboptimal for the business.
People take a lot of notes during that time and the people who are presenting are sharing everything they’ve learned. That’s really day one. It’s just absorbing a ton of information and writing down a ton of notes so people can kind of understand where all the problems are. It’s a very problems focused process, and that’s an important point. I’ll get back to it when we talk about big S, which is different. Once people have that common awareness, shared knowledge of all the problems, day two is literally the most important day in the entire 8 to 12 weeks because that’s where you actually make the choice. The way to flow through it, it’s actually really important to flow through it correctly. The first step is really generating a whole bunch of problems, because people have been taking notes the previous day.
You start the day with, “Hey, let’s collect everybody’s thoughts on what the problems are that are holding us back.” It’s a free flowing session. Everybody throws out their observations on what’s holding us back, and you just capture all of that in a Google Sheets, for example. Over even an hour, you start to see these patterns emerging of like, there’s these clusters of problems that are really holding us back. The next step is you do a joint clustering of related problems and you create these potentially, typically in my experience, I’ve seen about 10 to 15 clusters form of very related problems. The beauty of it is each of those bigger cluster, you actually know what the sub problems are within that cluster because you sort of generated it very organically.
Then you have, let’s say 10 to 15 clusters. What you then do is you, because remember, because it started as a problem generation exercise, each of the clusters also has a name that is a problem, and so the next step is to flip it into an opportunity framing. Let me give you a couple of examples.
Let’s say there’s a bunch of problems around people don’t really know where to find different things in our product, and they don’t really know where to go, where to find a certain feature or a certain experience. There’s let’s say a lot of problems in that area, so difficulty finding things becomes the cluster, the problem cluster and discovery becomes the opportunity sort of framing of it. It’s sort of the more positive framing of it.
Another example could be that people get a lot of content that they don’t like. They see a lot of stuff that they don’t like, and so they disengage with the product. The opportunity framing of that would be relevance. It’s basically stuff that really matters to me. Maybe if it’s a social product, then maybe people are finding it difficult to find friends and they are lonely because of that. The opportunity framing would be social connection.
Flipping all of those problem clusters into positive framing and opportunity framing is the next step. Then you’re in a great spot because now all you have to do is you have to down select from those 10 to 15 opportunity areas into ideally three, maybe five, but I would recommend three because it creates more clarity and focus. The way to do that is really sort of ranking them on, I would say four or five key dimensions or criteria, and the first is expected impact.
Let’s say you actually tackle that area. What is the expected impact to whatever matters to you as a company, as a business, as a product? The second dimension is certainty of impact. Certainty of impact is basically how concrete is the evidence that this is a problem? Sometimes you have really hard data, sometimes you have more anecdotal evidence, and so the confidence really depends on how big the problem’s sizing and frequency is. Expected impact, certainty of impact. The third one is also very important, which is clarity of levers.
Do you actually have an idea of how you would solve it? If you don’t, it’s going to be really difficult to move the needle on it because you should kind of know that, okay, I can imagine these solutions could actually move the needle. I can actually launch this sort of nudge system that can help people find things. I can recommend people. I can recommend friends so that people can form friends quicker on the platform. You should have a sense of how you would solve that particular space. Is there clarity on levers? That’s the third dimension.
The fourth dimension is super important, which is are the levers unique and differentiated to that particular team or company? Which is that if another team or company could build it better than this particular team or company, then it’s probably not that differentiated. It’s probably going to be pretty generic once you launch it. It’s a combination of sort of like, is there a lot of impact here? How confident are we of the problem? Do we have a sense of the solutions? And basically, are we the team or company that has the capabilities and the skills to uniquely build it where other teams cannot?
Once you have that, and sometimes what happens is you don’t have too much data, and so it’s okay to have qualitative scores on this like high, medium, low, T-shirt scores, whatever that is. The key is you’re doing it together as a strategy working group, and you’re debating the scores and you’re reasoning why it should be higher versus lower. There’s a ton of alignment and collision that’s happening when you’re doing that, which is very healthy for the eventual outcome.
Once you do that, basically you can do a simple sort of addition of the scores and a sort, and what you have is basically the top three and you have the remaining 7 or 12 that are basically not the focus. That’s the core of the process, is getting those opportunity areas and getting to a shared sense of how do we prioritize them and why?
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, and this is all done in a week. I know there’s more to it. There’s a couple more items that help you move from what you just said to the next step, but I love that this is the core of the biggest element of the process, and you do it in a week and you’re only able to do it in a week because of the work you did ahead of time. Again, highlighting the importance of that prep step.
Just to share what you’ve shared so far, and then we’ll finish the strategy sprint step. It’s basically do the share out so everyone’s on the same page about all the information that, all the inputs essentially. Enumerate all the problems, like individual small problems and then cluster them into 10 to 15 problem clusters. Flip it from here’s the problem to here’s an opportunity we have. Rank them based on, basically there’s these four attributes you shared, which I’ll actually, I wrote these down. Impact potential, confidence that it will have the impact, clarity of levers and are they differentiated unique levers? Is there something different from what other folks are doing? Those are ways to rank these ideas and problem clusters. You essentially come up with, here’s three bets basically we potentially should take. Okay, and then I think that’s where you stopped. Is that right?
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Chandra Janakiraman: That’s totally right, Lenny.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, cool.
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Chandra Janakiraman: Those three that are at the top of that pile are basically our strategic pillars. We’ve sort of gotten our strategic pillars and they basically hold up the strategy. That’s why they’re called strategic pillars. The idea is once you have the strategic pillars, we basically translate that into a few how might we’s? Let’s say it’s a relevance thing. How might we find the best content for a particular user? How might we surface it in the right place? There’s a few how might we’s, and the how might we’s are basically intended to help the next phase of the process, which is the design sprint.
You generate these areas, these strategic pillars, you generate the how might we’s. How might we’s are typically pretty straightforward. Once you have the strategic pillars, it takes probably an hour to generate some how might we’s for each of them, maybe two or three for each strategic pillar, and then you’re done with that stage.
Lenny Rachitsky: I just want to highlight real quick, this phrasing is really important. I used exactly the same phrasing. I had a PM that I worked with and his name was Andrew Chen, but not the Andrew Chen people know about, that’s an investor, who had this concept of fertile questions that create ideas and spark ideas and solutions. This phrase, “How might we”, is actually really powerful as a way to come up with ideas to solve problems. It’s just like, how might we increase discoverability in our app? How might we improve relevance? There’s something magical about that phrasing that it opens up your mind to, how might we? Let’s think about it. Versus like, how do we improve discovery? That’s a different, your brain works differently hearing this. That is a really powerful phrasing. Just wanted to highlight that.
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Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, that’s awesome. It’s also something that designers are familiar with, Lenny, so it flows really well into sort of a design sprint.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, so you have these how might we’d. You have three pillars, maybe three or four or five how might we’s to solve these opportunities/problems, and then what happens after that?
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Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly. Then the third day is it’s good to start fresh. The team’s accomplished a lot.
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Lenny Rachitsky: This was all the first two days.
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Chandra Janakiraman: This is the first two days, yeah.
Lenny Rachitsky: Wow. Okay. So much done in two days.
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Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, exactly. The second day is particularly intense on the team, so it’s good to give them a break, because it’s a lot of really mental sort of wrestling, and so give the team a bit of a break. Then the third day is when people are a little bit refreshed, we get to winning aspiration. Winning aspiration is super interesting because it’s a very creative exercise. You basically imagine in two years, because that’s the typical time horizon of a smaller strategy, is like 18 months to 24 months. This is what I tell the team. Imagine two years there’s a newspaper, there’s a journalist that covers this work, and there’s a newspaper article that comes out. I want you to imagine the progress on all these strategic pillars and what the headline of that newspaper article looks like. It’s called a newspaper headline approach.
Basically, everybody generates a newspaper headline in parallel. It’s interesting because you often see there’s these common themes that sort of form when people generate these headlines. The forcing function with the headline is also that it has to be somewhat simple and plain speak. It’s not too technical. You have to get to a more simple layperson’s language and you have to get to the key benefit that ultimately, the impact it has on the world. Those kinds of themes come up often.
Then you do a little bit, you put them all into a blender, you put all of those headlines from the team into a blender, and you mash them together and create the winning aspiration, which is ultimately what does progress on the strategy look like in a couple of years time? That comes from the working group, it’s not like one person writing.
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Lenny Rachitsky: What’s an example of an aspiration that you’ve come up with on a project you worked on, a winning aspiration?
Chandra Janakiraman: We did this process for the privacy team when I was at Meta. Really the strategic pillars were around a lot of features that we would build, but the winning aspiration was really like, could we move consumer trust? The newspaper headline is something like, “Facebook has moved the needle on consumer trust by investing in these areas.” That’s how you create the bigger impact.
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Lenny Rachitsky: That’s a great example. Obviously this is similar to the PR Amazon method and what I love about your approach, as you said early on, is you’re just pulling together all of these awesome ideas from all these different methods of strategy work to a very methodical step-by-step process. Taking all the best ideas into, and as you described, an operator’s playbook for doing this. I love that. Okay. When you say blender, by the way, I was thinking as you were talking, put them into a blender, what I’m inferring is you just take everyone’s headlines and you come up with one that kind of covers the gamut of all three pillars being successful.
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Chandra Janakiraman: That’s exactly right. More tactically what I typically do is I put them all on a slide and start, it’s almost like a word cloud, and then you start to see these common words. Then you converge those words as the key elements of the final winning aspiration. Then you try to create a nice statement out of that. It also symbolically, everybody sees their own statement on the deck, and that’s how you get to the final model.
Lenny Rachitsky: Awesome. I feel like AI could help with that now.
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: Just put in all your headline ideas and it comes up with some suggestions. Okay, cool. Is that the end of the sprint or is there more to the sprint?
Chandra Janakiraman: That’s it for the sprint.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay. At the end of the sprint, what do you have? What are the outputs?
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, this is a great progress on strategy because now we have the three strategic pillars. We have the how might we associate it with the strategic pillars. You also have the why. Why did you get to those three strategic pillars and what are you not focused on and what are the reasons for it? You also have the winning aspiration. It’s great progress. The team’s done a great job. I think now we sort of move on to the design sprint.
Lenny Rachitsky: In your experience, how often are these three the correct three that you end up going with versus you learn something over the course of the rest of the sprint and adjust?
Chandra Janakiraman: It’s a very good question. We’ll speak about an example that I had in Meta where typically during the strategy sprint, you don’t change it once you go through the strategy sprint, but eventually there are a lot of signals you get through execution where you sort of have to course correct. We’ll talk about one very interesting example of how that sort of changed things here.
Lenny Rachitsky: Awesome. Okay. Basically, you’ve developed your strategy at this point, and in your experience it ends up being… Until you hit the market and test, you don’t really know what’s going on.
Chandra Janakiraman: Correct.
Lenny Rachitsky: But there’s kind of an implication that in your experience doing this, I think you said five or six times, it has been correct and as good as doing it any other approach.
Chandra Janakiraman: I would say it’s not sort of an empirical study, obviously because of the small sample size, but I would say that it’s really opened people’s eyes and it’s led to really good alignment and eventually good results. Even when it has not, it has led to good organizational buy-in on why and how we are approaching things.
Lenny Rachitsky: This reminds me of, Tomer Cohen was on the podcast, he’s CPO of LinkedIn and he has this phrase that always says he says, which is, “We may be wrong, but we’re not confused.” I love that a core part of this is everyone is completely on the same page, not from the beginning, but once you start this process of here’s all the inputs, here’s step by step we are working together on narrowing down, so at least everyone understands the why. Which is what sparked your interest in this in the first place, everyone understanding. I know there’s a whole rollout at the end too to solve that.
Okay, cool, so we have the sprint. We have basically the three pillars that you’re going to invest in, this headline of what it might look like if you’re to launch and some solution ideas with how might we’s. What comes next?
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah. The next phase is the design sprint, and the design sprint can be led by the design person who’s in the strategy working group. If you remember, there’s engineering, product design and data, so the design person can lead it and the PM can sort of take a bit of a backseat during this process. The input to the design sprint is sort of the three strategic pillars and the how might we’s associated with it.
The goal of the design sprint is not to sort of come up with these are the features we should build. That’s not the purpose of the design sprint. The design sprint is to generate a lot of illustrative concepts that bring the strategy to life because a picture is worth a thousand words. Oftentimes, even though you might have the right words in your strategy doc, people might still scratch their head like, “What do you exactly mean? What are you going to build?” The illustrative concepts really sort of give people something to latch onto, “Oh, okay, I get it. This is what you’re going to build at the end of the day with this strategy.”
The more generative, the better. Then there’s the ability to, sometimes if you do the Google Ventures design sprint, you can even test some of it with users and get a little bit of sharpening of things. The goal here is not to build feature-ready designs, it’s more to generate concepts. Once you have that, basically the design sprint, and there’s different flavors of design sprints, which I won’t go into. You can lean on your design lead to decide what’s the appropriate way, but the input and the output is what needs to be very emphasized. The input needs to be the strategic pillars. The output needs to be a ton of illustrative concepts to explain each strategic pillar. You could almost have a section where you talk about each strategic pillar and insert those concepts in that section. That’s the idea.
Lenny Rachitsky: We’re going to go through a couple examples to make this very real. You mentioned the design sprint method, which we had the authors on the podcast. They actually didn’t go through the design sprint method. They have another book called Make Time that’s about productivity. We also had their colleague from Google Ventures that designed a bullseye sprint, which is also an interesting sprint. It’s a new thing that helps you figure out your ICP and who to focus your product on and how that informs your product.
Chandra Janakiraman: Oh, that’s right. Interesting.
Lenny Rachitsky: It’s another type of sprint you could use here. The input is here’s the three things we’re going to invest in, say discovery, relevance, privacy. The output is here’s concepts of what this could look like to get people’s minds going. Is it just a bunch of mocks basically in a deck at this point?
Chandra Janakiraman: That’s correct. Yeah.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, cool. Okay, amazing. That’s a week. That’s another sprint. PM could maybe take a little bit of a break.
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: And designers take the lead.
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: The engineers are kind of inputs and thought partners in this, I imagine.
Chandra Janakiraman: They’re optional. Yeah.
Lenny Rachitsky: Optional, but yeah, ideally they’re involved because you want all the best ideas in there.
Chandra Janakiraman: Yep.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, cool. What comes next?
Chandra Janakiraman: Then the next step is the document writing. This is sort of a solo activity that the PM should take on, but the great news is the PM is not starting from scratch. There’s so much great stuff to write. If you remember, there’s a ton of user insights, a ton of behavioral insights, a ton of competitive analysis. There’s the three strategic pillars, how might we’s, winning aspiration. There’s a whole bunch of illustrative concepts.
Oftentimes, product leads have this sort of creator’s block. That is solved here completely because you have a ton of great material. I have to tell you, it doesn’t make the job easier. You still have to weave together a good story. That’s why I think it takes a week or two. I think it’s really about combining, connecting and editing at this point and telling a cohesive story from all those components, but I think the building blocks are really solid and defensible.
Lenny Rachitsky: Is there a template or kind of sections you like to include in your strategy doc? As someone sits down and is trying to write this out, what do you want to see there as headings?
Chandra Janakiraman: I think you could almost take the building blocks as a little bit of a steer for the template. You start with the broader context where you talk about what the leaders kind of want from this overall effort. Then you get into key insights and analysis where you have user insights, behavioral insights, competitive analysis. Then you get into the strategic pillars and you explain them. You also explain why. In the appendix, you include the full table that you generated on day two of your strategy sprint. You include the full table in the appendix, including the criteria. That’s going to be really important because most people are going to ask, “Why did you pick these?” That’s basically sort of the defensibility.
Then you have the winning aspiration that’s very bold. It’s a big part of the heart of the deck, and you sort of embed the illustrative concepts into the actual each of the strategic pillars so that it flows well. Then finally, you end with some kind of alignment questions like, “Hey, do these feel right? Are there things we are missing?” So that it creates that framework for alignment in the subsequent meetings.
Lenny Rachitsky: I’m excited to chat with Christina Gilbert, the founder of OneSchema, one of our longtime podcast sponsors. Hi, Christina.
Christina Gilbert: Yes. Thank you for having me on, Lenny.
Lenny Rachitsky: What is the latest with OneSchema? I know you now work with some of my favorite companies, like Ramp, Vanta, Scale and Watershed. I heard that you just launched a new product.
… and to scale and watershed, I heard that you just launched a new product to help product teams import CSVs from especially tricky systems like ERPs.
Christina: Yes, so we just launched one scheme of file feeds, which allows you to build an integration with any system in 15 minutes, as long as you can export a CSV to an SFTP folder.
We see our customers all the time getting stuck with hacks and workarounds, and the product teams that we work with don’t have to turn down prospects because their systems are too hard to integrate with. We allow our customers to offer thousands of without involving their engineering team at all.
Lenny Rachitsky: I can tell you that if my team had to build integrations like this, how nice would it be to be able to take this off my roadmap, and instead use something like OneSchema, and not just to build it, but also to maintain it forever?
Christina: Absolutely, Lenny. We’ve heard so many horror stories of multi-day outages from even just a handful of bad records. We are laser focused on integration reliability to help teams end all of those distractions that come up with integrations.
We have a built-in validation layer that stops any bad data from entering your system, and OneSchema will notify your team immediately of any data that looks incorrect.
Lenny Rachitsky: I know that importing incorrect data can cause all kinds of pain for your customers and quickly lose their trust. Christina, thank you for joining us, and if you want to learn more, head on over to oneschema.co. That’s oneschema.co.
I pulled up Playing to Win, which I know you also pull ideas from, and actually Roger Martin was on the podcast talking about this stuff. And one way I think about it as you’re describing a way to break up your strategy doc, is he has these five questions that you ask.
The first is actually what’s your winning aspiration? So I love that you’re pulling that in. This is one approach your doc would be. What’s your winning aspiration? Where will you play? What market are you going after? How will you win? What capabilities must be in place for you to win? And then what management systems are required?
We’ll link to this framework just in case people want that as a crutch in their thinking strategy, but is there anything that we could link folks to that describe how you like to think about this doc? And if not, it’d be cool if you make a template that folks could borrow.
Chandra Janakiraman: I’m happy to share of the flowchart of the process and the template as well.
Lenny Rachitsky: Awesome. Okay. So this is how long of a process, this writing of the document?
Chandra Janakiraman: It’s about one to two weeks, and I think it’s mostly solo work and hopefully by the end of it there’s a very tight doc, and that’s what we use to roll out.
Lenny Rachitsky: And by solo work, I imagine you’re looping in this working team to get their feedback as you’re pulling it together, or is it just you sit there in a room and then…
Chandra Janakiraman: I would minimize pulling them in, because they’ve all contributed so much to the process already. So, I would say that at the end of it, obviously, once you have a draft, it’s good to share with them, but I wouldn’t tap their cycles too much at this point, because they’ve given a lot already.
Lenny Rachitsky: I see. Okay.
And how many pages do you see this doc being, roughly? What’s a heuristic?
Chandra Janakiraman: It’s not too long. I would say probably three or four pages and then an appendix has a lot of additional… Like, the table I spoke about and a lot of additional maybe illustrative concepts. Maybe you can only use a few illustrative concepts in the main section so that there could be others there.
I think usually there’s a desire from leaders to say, “Okay, what are we building next?” And it’s important not to include a roadmap as part of a strategy doc, because a strategy doc is meant to be separate from the roadmap. It’s meant to be a companion to your roadmap. And even though there’s interest, maybe sometimes you can include a illustrative roadmap in the appendix, but I would try to keep it clean and try to keep it focused on just the strategy.
Lenny Rachitsky: So at this point you basically developed your strategy, the next step, I think you call rollout, where you just start actually rolling this out, so let’s talk about that. But it’s important to note how many weeks in this is. This is like six-ish weeks of work and you’ve got a strategy for your company/product?
Chandra Janakiraman: That’s exactly right. So I think you’re probably in the last two to three weeks of the process, and pretty important final step is the rollout, and I would start with what I call gatekeepers. And these are people who are absolutely… You have to get their one-on-one alignment and blessing on this before it moves forward. And it’s probably not too many, probably two or three people. So I would pre-flight it with them and get their alignment.
Lenny Rachitsky: So these are one-on-one meetings with these gatekeepers?
Chandra Janakiraman: These are one-on-one meetings. Exactly.
And then there’s a larger group of what I call key stakeholders, people who are impacted by it, different functional leaders, et cetera. And that can be done either async or through a group review. And then there’s probably a rolling of list of team roadshows. There’s different ways to do this, but the one that I feel is most effective is the roadshow where you have about eight to 10 people in each session, so people feel more comfortable to ask questions and it’s more conversational.
So the purpose of this stage is to land it. It’s not to seek too much feedback, so it’s a delicate balance. At the same time, you don’t want to appear just being too inflexible. So it’s a very delicate balance. When people ask questions, you can clarify it, and you can add clarifications to the doc, but I wouldn’t change… The most important thing, three strategic pillars, I wouldn’t change that. I would defend it using the framework, but if people are like, “there’s really good arguments about the criteria that led to your ranking,” then it’s okay to reconsider it. I’ve not seeing it happen in my five to six attempts, but it’s possible, theoretically possible.
Lenny Rachitsky: The core of this approach it sounds like, is you’ve done a lot of the pre-work where you land in a generally correct place.
Okay, so this is the rollout. So what I’m thinking as you talk, say you’re like a PM on a team, say you’re working on privacy, it’s like an IC, your ICPM, working on strategy. How do you think about including, say, your manager because through this process, when do you start to like, “Hey, here’s what we’re planning, here’s what we’re thinking,” making sure they’re on board? Because I could see this working team off to the side working, working, working. “Okay, we’re ready to roll it out.” Oftentimes there’s like, “No, wait. There’s all this other stuff happening at the company, we don’t have resources.” Where do you loop them in? How do you think about that kind of stakeholder?
Chandra Janakiraman: The the more attuned PMs who understand organizational dynamics, probably keep the manager pretty in sync through the process. I think, definitely, the manager becomes a person who you interview as part of the leadership interviews, so you know what the manager’s looking for from the effort.
And then once you get to the strategic pillars on day two of the strategy sprint, you probably want to just quickly pre-flight it with the manager and say, “Hey, look, this is how it’s trending, and these are the things we are probably not going to do” and any issues with that. And then eventually you actually want your manager to support you in some of these bigger meetings, so you enlist their help. So I would say that it’s probably each individual style, but I would keep them pretty aligned through the process. But you don’t have to be too heavy [inaudible 01:01:23], just be super light.
Lenny Rachitsky: Great. Makes a lot of sense to me. There’s like a…
We’re not going to solve everyone’s problems with this one framework, maybe just quickly touch on resourcing. As you think about this. Like a part of a strategy includes like, oh, we also need these resources. Just any thoughts on how to include that? And then I want to get into some examples of how you’ve actually implemented this.
Chandra Janakiraman: So I actually don’t recommend thinking about resources in the strategy phase, because what you’re saying is, “these are the areas of focus” and the resourcing question becomes more relevant from a road mapping standpoint.
Because then you say, “Okay, what percentage of our engineering do we put on strategic pillar A, versus B, versus C? And what are the specific things we build?” So it becomes a road-mapping question as opposed to a strategy question.
Lenny Rachitsky: And so by the end of this, the rollout, the part of the rollout is developing the actual roadmap. We’re not going to get deep into that. That could be part two, solve every PM’s problems, teach them all the steps of the process, but we’re going to cut it off at, here’s you have a strategy that is starting to be rolled out.
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: Cool.
Let’s go through a couple examples where you actually move into this to make this even more real. I know there’s a couple companies you were thinking about sharing, strategies you worked on.
Chandra Janakiraman: I think there’s just three quick notes to close off this process and I’ll share two examples, Lenny.
Lenny Rachitsky: Perfect.
Chandra Janakiraman: So the reason I think this process works, the first is because there is a ton of alignment built in within team alignment and leadership alignment built in. And it’s not seen as, “Oh, this PM went off and wrote this strategy doc and I don’t agree with most of it.” And part of this is actually very…
It goes back to human psychology of just something that comes from you, feels a lot more familiar and easy to accept. So this doc is actually not from the PM, the PM is facilitating it, but it’s actually from the strategy working group. And the strategy working group are the leads of the team. And so it’s actually… And the leadership inputs have been baked in, so it’s actually very team representative. And so hopefully there isn’t too much misalignment when you roll it out. And I have seen that, I’ve seen that work out.
The second is there’s just better results. You get to better problem articulation, you get a better strategic pillar, because there’s just more minds on it than if it was just a product lead.
And the third thing is you have clearly defensible criteria and outputs, and if you want to change it, like I said, you have to go back to the criteria and the scoring and then say, “Okay, why do we believe this has to be changed?” And even a change is easy to justify once you do that. So it creates a lot of benefits, but ultimately, and we’ll get to this a little bit more, it has to be tested with execution, and that’s the most important thing.
Lenny Rachitsky: I think it’s important to highlight, no framework playbook [inaudible 01:04:26] method is going to guarantee you have the correct strategy that will win and your company will thrive. It’s always just the best effort at plan.
As the quote, “no good plan survives first contact with the customer.”
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: Cool. Let’s talk through some examples.
Chandra Janakiraman: so the first example I wanted to talk about is at Zynga. I was at Zynga a very long time ago, and this was the heyday of social gaming on Facebook. The thing that I was extremely impressed about Zynga was the strategic clarity and strategic encoding at the company. And this was not attributable to me, by the way, this was already there when I got there as a entry-level PM, but the kind of strategic clarity there was really, really impressive and it was very evident and observable from all the games.
So if you look at all the games, there were three elements that were very common across all the games. The first was viral game loops. There’s these game loops that just required you to have a social and active social network to be successful and play, and it was very tightly and fictionally integrated into the core of the gameplay. That was the first one.
The second one was there was this idea of paying to complete things. So you’re not paying to skip a whole experience, what you’re paying is just to complete it. So what happens then is different people, depending on how much time they have, complete different percentages of a progression task, or a part of the gameplay, and you only had to pay the rest to get through the experience. And it was this interesting experience where people put a lot of investment into it, and they didn’t mind paying for the last 20% or 30%, which was very interesting, because it created this market for different elasticity of spend, different times that people had in their lives. And it was very, very clever. So that was again, very common across all the games.
And then the third was network. So all of Zynga games had this cross-promotional component at the top of the game and they would promote other games, and it’s like the Zynga network was the most important thing, and not an individual game. And those were the three in our parlance now strategic pillars, and there were non-focus areas. It wasn’t like…
The focus wasn’t on high-fidelity graphics, it wasn’t on complex game mechanics, and this was extremely clear and hard-coded into the company culture and operations. And it was perfectly tuned to the environment at the time. Facebook platform afforded strong support with social graph, and channels, and basically the game studios contributed through different games in a very network accretive way.
So for example, I was at Zynga San Diego, and we took the company into net new game genres like action strategy, match three puzzle games, but we stayed true to the strategic pillars of the company, and we had to invent new mechanics so that the strategic pillars would work in the new genres that we introduced to the company. And what was fascinating is the company actually had systems to reinforce these strategic pillars.
And, for example, the data infrastructure was very incredible at the time, and really reinforced these strategic pillars. There was this function called Central Product Management, which basically propagated best practices, made sure that games were network accretive and all these things worked in harmony to enhance those strategic pillars and reinforce it, and it worked really well. The company, if I remember right, got to a billion dollars, it was the fastest to get to a billion dollars in the history of companies at the time.
Lenny Rachitsky: In revenue.
Chandra Janakiraman: In revenue.
And it worked really well until the environment changed and there was a shift to mobile. And temporarily… Basically, if you go back to that resonance concept, that deep resonance between the product and the market was temporarily lost once that shift happened to mobile.
Lenny Rachitsky: So there’s a lot here. I think one interesting note here is, as you said, the strategy work you’re doing, which sounds like a lot of time, eight to 12 weeks potentially, this lasted a long time for Zynga. And so I think it’s important to remember the work you’re doing here, even though…
On the one hand it feels like a long time, on the other hand, it feels like very little time to come up with the things that will most help your business grow. In this case, these three elements for Zynga. And by the way, these three pillars, they didn’t emerge from this method, but it helped you see the power of being very clear…
Chandra Janakiraman: Clear, exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: And having everything centered around, we all agree, these are the three ways we win. Okay, cool. And then I think the number three, again, I just want to highlight the power of just very few bets in investments. So it’s always three. I’ve always suggested three as well. Some people are like, “three to five,” but I think it’s… You just find, in general, three is the right number as much? Try very, very hard to make it three?
Chandra Janakiraman: I agree.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, cool.
And then I think there’s also this element of differentiation being really important. So these three elements you shared for Zynga are just like they’re unique and differentiated for Zynga. Network, powers of apps driving other apps, paying to complete, these are things Zynga has figured out, “this is how we” win versus other products in the market.
Chandra Janakiraman: Totally.
Lenny Rachitsky: Sweet. Anything else along those lines with Zynga?
Chandra Janakiraman: That was in hindsight reflection, Lenny, I was pretty naive when I was there, and I realized how… And this was, in fact, what led to my blind spot when I joined Headspace from Zynga, that you even need a strategy. That’s the story I said at the beginning.
The reason is because Zynga had it figured out so well that I didn’t actually have a need to exercise that muscle at Zynga, and we just had to come up with new games that applied that strategy. And so it was a net new muscle I had to develop when I got to Headspace.
Lenny Rachitsky: It’s like that parable of the fish swimming in the water where the older fish swims by and he’s like, “How’s the water?” And they’re like, “Hmm?” And then he leaves and he’s like, “What’s water?” You just don’t realize what you’re in. You don’t realize what you’re surrounded by until it’s gone.
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: Maybe one other thing I just want to highlight while we’re on this topic is just the power of focus. In the case of Zynga, just this focus on everything we do needs to get these things, these three things, everything we do, we need to do in order to win. And I think that’s a recurring theme in what you’re talking about, is just focus. The steps of the process are focus on this one part for now. So I think that’s a really interesting thread is just the power of focus.
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, cool.
And now you have another example of your time at Meta.
Chandra Janakiraman: At Meta there’s this fascinating example, which I think illustrates a different point, which is…
Basically I was standing up the product strategy for a couple of product growth teams in Reality Labs, Oculus, which was coming up with the Quest II at the time. This is a standalone headset, and then Portal, which was our video conferencing product. And we stood up these teams to go after product growth, which is basically driving hardware sales through software features. And we went through this process that I just described. We stood up strategic pillars, and the strategic pillars were fairly similar for both Portal, which is our video conferencing product, and Oculus.
Lenny Rachitsky: I love Portal by the way. I was a big fan of… Sad that it’s no longer around.
Chandra Janakiraman: And that led to features that are known to everybody, like the Oculus Referrals Program, the Portal Memories Integration, where you see one of your Facebook memories on the Portal, sponsored ad in your Facebook feed. And also we had this section on the Facebook app, which is also from Facebook at the time, and then eventually also from Meta, which is these other products from the Facebook ecosystem. And all those came out of that effort.
And about 18 months into it, they actually had very different outcomes. So on one hand the Oculus effort was incredibly successful, and we graduated it into the VR division at Meta, and till today it continues to be an incredibly successful effort. The Portal effort actually didn’t move the needle as much as we wanted to, and we sunset it, and we basically redeployed that team to other initiatives. And that’s super interesting. Basically it was like the same strategy process. We got the nearly identical strategic pillars, but eventually completely different outcomes.
And I think that that illustrates the most important point about strategy, which is intrinsically strategy has no business value. It’s basically a document with a few words. And I think it starts accumulating value as you generate business impact and results. And that happens when you actually test strategy with execution.
And so ultimately any strategy is only as good as the results it produces. And so one has to have the intellectual honesty, and the humility, and the courage to say when it’s working and when it’s not. And sometimes what happens is parts of your strategy might work, parts might not, and you have to pivot away from some and double down on some. But I do think there’s that evaluation that’s really critical and testing strategy with execution.
Lenny Rachitsky: Such a great point. Just a strategy sitting there in a doc is worthless, where the worth comes from, is it actually having impact and being successful. Makes me think about a product manager also, just a PM is not worth anything until they help you drive impact.
I think an important, to trickle down from that point, is that you don’t want to spend too long just thinking about strategy, you want to spend as little time as possible to get to a strong hypothesis, basically to start learning if this is the right path. And so I love that your approach is like this middle ground between give it real time, but don’t spend three, four or five months working on this one document that just maybe one day you’ll use.
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
And there is room for a six-month process, which we’ll get to in a moment. But for small S I wouldn’t recommend more than two or three months.
Lenny Rachitsky: And again, small S strategy is for a couple of years out, not like Exactly. It’s like a timeframe. Okay, cool.
Okay. Anything else along those lines of the examples of Meta or Zynga?
Chandra Janakiraman: Those are pretty good lessons I would say.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay, sweet.
So, let’s talk about big-S strategy. When should you approach strategy this way and what are just the steps of it?
Chandra Janakiraman: So everything we’ve spoken about so far is what I would call small S, and it’s very problem focused. It’s basically what I call present forward.
It’s like you have something, you have a product out there, it has a bunch of problems. How do we make it better for… What are the areas we tackle for maximum impact? Typically led by product managers. And there’s this interesting quote by Elon Musk, which is, “Life has to be about more than just solving problems.” And he says it in the context of the aspiration to become a multi-planetary species, but I think this is true of every company, big or small. And there needs to be an aspirational and cool component to strategy. And I call this big-S strategy.
I’ll run through this at a higher level because I think this is a little bit more fluid in how you build the big-S strategy. And it typically takes longer, potentially up to about six months. The approach is a bit different from small S. And you start with the company mission and vision, and there is a little bit of groundwork that is done on long-term cultural trends, social trends, competitive trends, technological trends, and those are all the backdrop to trigger ideas. And what you do with that backdrop is you, again, do these leadership interviews, but with a different goal of generating long-term futures.
And some of the questions you can ask during these interviews are “What does a day in the life of a user look like in five years? What does the product look like in five to 10 years? Why is the world better in 10 years? And what is the most exciting version of that view?” And basically take all of that input and cluster it into I would say, three cohesive holes.
And what I mean by that is three, at least fairly distinct, descriptions of the future. So to give you almost a very simple example, imagine you doing big S for the future of travel. You could have a future that is talking all about fully autonomous travel, where there’s very little human involvement in going from A to B. You could talk about another future where there’s extreme speed, where you can get from A to B really fast across the world that is really fast. You could talk about a third where there is no travel, it’s virtual travel, and you still have the feeling of travel, and you accomplish the same goals.
But those are different futures, they have different properties, like different elements to them. And once you generate those distinct futures, you actually generate prototypes with learning goals. And think of these prototypes as concept cars. And the automobile industry uses this notion of concept cars. Concept cars, the interesting thing about concept cars is they’re never commercialized. They’re often produced for inspiration, and to potentially take some part of them, like maybe a technology or a feature, and that is brought into mainstream production.
So think of these prototypes as these concept cars that really drive inspiration and potentially give you some small nuggets that you can run with. And then you start doing research with them with potential users, you answer key questions, and you uncover certain elements that resonate with people. So you eliminate a whole bunch of stuff, you combine a whole bunch of stuff, and you establish some winning components that are interesting.
And then what you do is you push stuff that is winning into the product, live product, testing. So this is actually something that you actually want to start testing your way into and understanding if it works from a scalable standpoint. And this whole thing is typically led not by the PM team, but by design and UXR. And intentionally it’s a little bit more open-ended and green field. And it actually is a very different mind space that people have when they approach big. So the roadmap is really built through a combination of small-S and big-S work. And, for example, at VRChat, we are doing both small-S and big-S work, Lenny. And they are run as parallel work streams. The product management team is leading the charge of the small-S work, and the design team is leading the charge on the big-S work. And it’s really exciting stuff. What’s coming out of both work streams is really exciting and really different. And so we are building the bridge from both sides and both work streams ultimately flow into one roadmap. It’s almost like two tributaries that ultimately merge into one river. That’s how I would think about it.
Lenny Rachitsky: There’s so many things here that are so…
Chandra Janakiraman: That’s how I would think about it.
Lenny Rachitsky: There’s so many things here that are so interesting. One is we’ve had this conversation on the podcast a couple of times, this point that people think and see the world differently. Some people are very open-minded and creative, and think big, blue sky people. Some people, me, just like, “What are we doing next? How do we move this metric? Let’s talk about concrete things that we can do?” For this big S approach, I think what I’m hearing is make sure the people leading it are very open-minded, creative, blue sky type people. If you’re the person that’s like, “How will this move our metric?” Maybe you shouldn’t be leading it and give someone else the reins.
Cool. And then with these timelines of doing both at once, it’s probably hard to align them fully. So what I’m hearing is it’s like these are kind of ongoing sometimes.
Chandra Janakiraman: Correct.
Lenny Rachitsky: And they’ll both inform what you’re doing. You don’t need to have this perfect timeline of-
Chandra Janakiraman: I agree to this. Yeah.
Lenny Rachitsky: Sweet. And the big thinking I love, because sometimes, you may experience this, designers often are like, “Oh, we just work on all this boring, incremental optimization stuff. I want to think bigger.” Which is great, and this is a really good lever to allow for that in a contained environment. Cool. Let’s just go crazy. Let’s think about what this could be in the future. Still, let’s make sure we’re moving some metrics short-term, but let’s give us opportunity to think big. And oftentimes the biggest ideas come out of that. So I love it’s giving space for both types of thinking, thinking bigger and thinking long term.
Anything else about these two methods that might be interesting to share? Otherwise, I want to talk about AI a little bit, just how that impacts things and a couple other things.
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, yeah. I’ll end on one short sort of note on how this all feels when you do it, and then we can segue into AI-
Lenny Rachitsky: Great, great.
Chandra Janakiraman: … Lenny. So I think that whether it’s big S or small S, these are incredibly satisfying processes to go through in the end. So once you get to the end, they’re incredibly deeply satisfying. But with anything in life that is very deeply satisfying at the end, they have a ton of challenge, frustration, and dead ends while you go through it where you kind of get a lot of self-doubt like, “Hey, will you ever reach the end?” And I just want to sort of normalize that. That’s actually normal and I want people to expect that as they go through it. And I think that’s what makes it even more rewarding when you get to that sort of point where you start to see things connecting.
The second thing is I would say that the person who’s leading the charge on these efforts has to be really good at connecting diverse viewpoints and keeping them all moving forward. And it’s not easy, it’s very hard because sometimes you have people who take you in different directions and you have to keep it all hanging together.
So in terms of picking people who have that skill, who are good integrators, who are good connect the dots, I think it’s critical for these to be successful. And in some ways low ego because it’s not like… They do get to introduce their own ideas, but truly, it’s about bringing the team together. So that’s the skill that you should look for for these leads.
And then the third piece is I would say that I would just approach these with a little bit of a lighter touch and more playful sort of approach, because it’s an intensive process, it’s a long process. And people can get tired, they can find it grindy. So just having a little bit of playfulness along the way goes a long way in making it feel more tolerable for the people going through it. So those are some thoughts about either of these processes.
Lenny Rachitsky: That was really important context, especially this will be frustrating throughout. It sounds really beautiful and great and smooth as you describe it. In reality, there’s a lot of pain that goes into… Because you’re making hard decisions. A lot of people have opinions, they have perspectives, there’s data that’s… Rarely is there clear answer from the beginning, so I think that’s really important context.
I wanted to actually come back to your point you made about how Elon made this point about life shouldn’t just be about solving problems. I think part of that quote is just like we should work on things that are awesome and exciting and inspiring, that aren’t just immediately pain solvers. And he’s very good at that, just inspiring people to what could be, and we should be thinking much bigger than we are.
I was actually at an interview with Zuck where he said the same thing. He’s probably inspired by Elon. He’s like, “I’ve just gotten to a point in my career where I want to work on awesome stuff, stuff that is just awe inspiring, not just-
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: … another social feature.” so I think that’s a really important point. And there’s a lot of power in that. People get really excited about holy moly, I did not imagine this is what Headspace could become, what VRChat could become, what Meta could become. It’s just really powerful, getting people really inspired. And I love this process they shared of how to do that.
And I didn’t actually summarize it, so I have it right here in front of me. I’ll just share the five steps of the biggest process. So it’s preparation, mission, you figure [inaudible 01:26:10] mission, vision, trends, interview people about where they think things are going. Then you come up with three distinct futures of what the future might look like if you were to do the things you’re thinking. Then you build prototypes of what might this look like? And then you actually test these in your product, which I love, to start de-risking these ideas. That helps you converge to here’s actual plan we want to execute, and then you turn that into roadmap.
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, yeah. And the first testing of the prototypes is with UXR, so it’s more sort of concept testing or prototype testing with a handful of users. And then you use that as synthesizing to a live product test.
Lenny Rachitsky: Great. Basically, it’s like big ideas and then de-risking, validating them along the way-
Chandra Janakiraman: Exactly.
Lenny Rachitsky: … in various ways to like, “Okay, maybe this could actually work. Let’s try.” Sweet. Okay, so just two more things. One is I want to talk about AI briefly, of how that impacts this work. And then two, just maybe a recap of the framework for people that are listening, you’re like, “Oh my god, I have so much. I wrote all these notes.” Let’s give them a summary so they could remember to use it.
Okay, cool. So let’s talk about AI briefly. How has AI tooling helped you evolve this process? How can people use AI to make this easier?
Chandra Janakiraman: So the first disclaimer is I’m not sort of an AI futurist, but I read all the emerging stuff that’s coming out, most of the emerging stuff that’s coming out and use some of the tools. And it’s fascinating what’s happening. And I think it will definitely have an impact on strategy formulation. So what I’ll share is what resonates for me in the context of strategy formulation with AI.
So right away, I think the basic idea is everybody should be using assistance in the strategy formulation process with the basic tools that we have. And there are two ways to get AI to assist you in the strategy formulation process. The first is to support the preparation phase in terms of research. And this could be competitive analysis and, for example, you could do trend analysis from a vast library of competitors’ release notes. And you can sort of say, “Okay, what are the themes of investment of a competitor’s release notes?” Or you could do a reviews analysis of a competitor product and sort of understand what’s resonating for users, what’s not. And you could also ask a tool like ChatGPT to do a head-to-head comparison between a few players on a certain dimension and really give you a heat map of how they all stack up. And you could also ask an open-ended question like, “Hey, why is this new product so successful? Why is it getting so many users?” And there’s some good hypothesis that you usually get. So really leverage in sort of the preparation phase from a competitive analysis standpoint.
The second one is in this idea called generating mock strategies. And I know Claire Rowe at your summit spoke about this, and I think this is absolutely right and should be a critical input into the strategy process, which is asking these tools for a mock strategy. And I call this a mock strategy because it’s kind of almost the answer but not quite the answer. So what I’ve found is that these mock strategies, like let’s say I support VRChat now and I ask it like, “Hey, what should VRChat do? How should we grow?” And it generates a mock strategy.
What I’ve found is that it’s, one, surprisingly good. It’s incredibly well-informed and well-articulated. I’ve also found that its biggest strength is also somewhat its weakness, which is these mock strategies tend to be pretty comprehensive and extensive, and there’s an investment recommendation in a vast number of areas. So basically, if you remember, the core of strategy is really to be very targeted and to be very focused. So these mock strategies become an interesting input and the burden is still on the team to down-select into the most important areas for investment. So forcing that choice still, I think, is a human element and needs that layer of additional judgment, which is very context specific to the company. So this is sort of right away, I think people should be doing this.
I think more medium term and probably not too distant future and likely sooner than we all think, there’s probably going to be, sort of the model that resonates with me is sort of the multi-agent model, which is you probably have different components of the strategy workflow automated. So you probably have a strategy agent, you probably have a roadmap or feature agent, you have maybe a engineering agent, and these can communicate amongst each other to cycle through results and iterate. And I think Armand Ruiz from IBM has some good definitional frameworks on some of the stuff. He shares it often on LinkedIn.
But let’s take a simple example. I can easily imagine something like this for a topic like onboarding. So every company and product team obsesses about their onboarding experience. And today, there are advanced experimentation frameworks. So imagine you’re expecting a large surge in traffic. There’s these sort of experimental frameworks like multi-armed bandits that can really help you get to the optimal sort of variation very quickly in real time. And there are variations of that, like contextual multi-armed bandits, there’s combinatorial bandits.
But the interesting thing is they still rely on human design of the variations, the different variations that you test. Even though the experimentation framework is very sophisticated, the variations are still human generated. Now imagine if those variations could actually be generated through generative AI and could be plugged into the advanced experimentation frameworks. The possibilities become infinite. And really, you might be surprised by what you find is the winning onboarding experience that you couldn’t even have humanly imagined. And it might be different for every user, different for every sort of territory, etc.
Lenny Rachitsky: That is such a cool idea, I just want to say. This agent that’s just running, thinking about ways to optimize your onboarding, coming up with concepts that you probably review, like, “Cool, let’s try it.” And then it does it, ships an experiment to run it and just is constantly optimizing your onboarding. Holy shit, that’s an awesome idea. I think everyone will have this.
And then what that makes me think there’s going to be some company that’s built the best onboarding agent. That’s what you’re going to be paying for.
Chandra Janakiraman: Totally. Totally.
Lenny Rachitsky: Oh my god, that’s so good. Okay. Great. Great idea.
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, yeah. So then the question becomes, hey, what is our job? Our job becomes architecting bigger and bigger pieces of the product to take advantage of these agents. And there will be a sequential increase in the complexity of workloads that get automated over time. Onboarding is probably relatively on the easier side in terms of complexity of workload. And you get into deeper experiences, eventually AI will get there.
So funnily enough, when that happens, some of the manual processes I describe about will seem archaic. But I think the fundamentals will still have a long shelf life, and as you think about these automated frameworks as well.
Lenny Rachitsky: Man, this could be its own podcast. I have this whole post about how AI, how PMs are the best position, role in tech to thrive in a world of AI, which I’ll link to that makes people, I find, feel better when they hear you talk about how much might get done through agents in AI.
The other quick thought I had, and I want to get to the wrap up, is I have this ongoing debate with a friend about strategy in AI. My feeling is in theory, an AI tool will be incredibly good at coming up with your strategy for you because it’s just, here’s all the data, here’s everything you need to know, how do we win? And to me, that feels like the ultimate way AI is good, is just here’s data, here’s what I found as a path to a winning. But my friend’s also arguing that’s the one thing that AI will be least good at because that’s where we need people and context and discussion, all these things.
I don’t know, it’s like one or the other. Either AI will be incredibly good at helping you figure out your strategy or the worst.
Chandra Janakiraman: Interesting.
Lenny Rachitsky: I’m curious. I’m curious, I guess, do you have any quick thoughts on that? Where do you side?
Chandra Janakiraman: I think there is a crossover point where the human judgment will be inferior to something that’s able to process multiple signals simultaneously. There’s an element of lateral thinking as well here, and I’ll sort of share a simple example.
For those who drive Tesla cars with the fully self-driving capabilities, when you make a turn, humans have this fairly narrow field of vision. So you have to look both ways and you have to make a decision combining both those signals, right? Whereas the car has six cameras, which is simultaneously processing and it can make a decision not in sequence, but in parallel. And it moves with confidence at turnings because of that. So there is this crossover point where some of these, the ability to hold multiple signals in the head, it’s going to be more… It’s going to be stronger.
Lenny Rachitsky: That makes total sense. What it makes me think about, there’s going to be a strategy agent just sitting around always looking for ways to improve your strategy and point you all in a different direction. Oh my god, future is wild, as I’ve said before.
Okay, let’s do a quick wrap up of the process for folks that are taking notes and they’re like, “Cool, here’s the overview.” So let’s just do that and then let’s go to get to the exciting lightning round.
Chandra Janakiraman: I think the quick recap of everything we’ve covered is that product strategy definitionally sits between mission vision at the top and plan at the bottom. So it sits between those two either at the company level or at the team level. What it does is it forces choice to deploy scarce resources towards maximum impact. And think about the frequency selection and resonance as an analogy, and it ideally includes three components. A handful of areas to focus on, which we call strategic pillars, and several areas that are explicitly not the focus and why. That’s really it in terms of what product strategy is.
There is a smallest flavor of it which focuses on solving problems. It’s what I call present forward, and it typically operates in a two-year horizon. We use a five-stage process to get there, and it takes about eight to 12 weeks. There is a biggest process that focuses on an aspirational future, is future backward and typically has a three, five, 10-year horizon, also a five-stage process, and can be ongoing up to a six-month period to give it enough space to generate something exciting.
And the roadmap for the company or the team is built from a combination of smallest and biggest work, which is like building a bridge from both sides of a river. And ultimately, any strategy is only as good as the results it can produce. So test and iterate through execution and double down on what’s working and pivot away from what’s not.
Lenny Rachitsky: Incredible. I’m glad we did that. Anything else that you want to share or leave listeners with before we get to our very exciting lightning round?
Chandra Janakiraman: Just all the best with strategy work and ultimately individual and business success.
Lenny Rachitsky: Amazing. And when I asked you at the beginning, before we started recording, what your goal was for this conversation, your answer was just to create a ripple of success across companies and teams, and I feel like we’ve done that.
Chandra Janakiraman: Thank you.
Lenny Rachitsky: Okay. With that, we’ve reached our very exciting lightning ground. Chandra, are you ready?
Chandra Janakiraman: Yes.
Lenny Rachitsky: Let’s do it. First question, what are two or three books that you’ve recommended most to other people?
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, I love books on creativity and innovation, Lenny, and some of my classic favorites are Walt Disney’s biography. And there’s several out there, but I think the one that I like the most is the Triumph of the American Imagination. And what’s interesting is it talks about how Walt Disney actually loved the theme parks more than the movies. And the reason for that was he could actually tinker with the theme parks. He could make changes to where the rides were, he could change rides in and out, and then he could observe real sort of changes to reactions of people flowing into the theme parks, which he couldn’t do with the movies because once it was produced, it was done, it was out of his control. And it was interesting, he was basically A-B testing long before the term was coined. And it’s just a fascinating look into how his brain worked, way ahead of its time.
The other classic is Ed Catmull’s Creativity Inc, and it talks about all the negative forces that eat away at creativity in an organization. How do you, as the leader, have to keep them at bay and make sure the team can innovate?
And then there’s this probably less popular book, but really good one from Tom Kelly of IDEO, which is The Ten Faces of Innovation. It talks about different archetypes that you need on the team that are essential for creating something special. And you actually need, I think there’s the devil’s advocate, you need the researcher, you need the ethnographer, you need the stage setter. There’s all these interesting personalities that you need to actually make something successful. So I would say those are some of the ones that I usually recommend, yeah.
Lenny Rachitsky: That’s a really cool… That third book is really interesting, I haven’t heard of that. And Creativity Inc, something I want to highlight real quick is to your point, that a lot of it is how to avoid killing good ideas. And my favorite metaphor from that book is the ugly baby metaphor where every new idea is an ugly baby that people just want to get rid of. Get rid of this ugly baby, we don’t want this around here. And just every new idea is ugly when it starts, and you need to protect the ugly baby, basically. Although I don’t know who’s hurting ugly babies, that’s not-
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, yeah, it feels a bit… Yeah.
Lenny Rachitsky: Feels aggressive.
Chandra Janakiraman: Harsh.
Lenny Rachitsky: Yeah, harsh. Yeah. But it’s memorable because I’ve never forgotten that.
Okay, next question. Is there a favorite recent movie or TV show you really enjoyed?
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, yeah. We watch a lot of animated films with the kids. But were a couple of good movies this year. We really liked If, Imaginary Friend, it’s about growing up and forgetting these memories of your younger days, is was a really nice movie. And then of course, we enjoyed Dune II as well. It was a fun watch. But most of our time is dominated by the kids sort of animated folks at home or the cinema.
Lenny Rachitsky: There’s a new Dune TV show, I don’t know if you’ve been watching it. It just started recently on HBO. It’s not the best thing in the world, but it gets you a little Dune fix-
Chandra Janakiraman: Interesting.
Lenny Rachitsky: … in between movies. I think there’s a third movie coming out.
Chandra Janakiraman: I see.
Lenny Rachitsky: Third question, do you have a favorite product you recently discovered that you really love?
Chandra Janakiraman: Yeah, yeah. I’ve been playing this cute little game for the last few days. It’s called Capybara Go! It’s a tab-based strategy RPG game. It’s got really humorous writing and this cute capybara that goes off on an adventure. It’s very well-paced and it’s a very well-produced game. It’s one game I’ve been playing recently.
I’ve also been poking around Bluesky. Bluesky is interesting. I haven’t gotten into a habit yet, but it’s super interesting concept of empowering the community with these community-generated feeds. It’s very different experience. But it’s also interesting, there’s a trade-off with the simplicity of the product and what you get with the additional complexity. It’ll be interesting to see how it plays out, how it scales.
Lenny Rachitsky: Do you have a favorite life motto that you often come back to, find useful in work or in life?
Chandra Janakiraman: So there was this 1995 interview of Steve Jobs where he talks about this idea of there’s a tremendous amount of craftsmanship between a great idea and a great product, and it sort of stuck with me over the years. And the simple way to think about that is it takes a lot of effort to make something special. And conversely, if it’s easy, it’s probably not that special or not that great. And it’s something that I sort of think about when we build product, is there sufficient pain here where it’s sort of a proxy for, are we creating something great, is interesting.
Lenny Rachitsky: Wow. It makes me think about founder mode a little bit. Like people talk about founder mode. The reason founder mode I think is important is the people that are most committed and passionate and driven to go through that pain and continue to make it… To take it from just an ugly baby idea to an awesome winning product oftentimes needs to be the founder. And that’s why I think it’s kind of emerged as a trend is it’s important to have that drive, to just-
Chandra Janakiraman: Surely. Yeah.
Lenny Rachitsky: … continue to refine it and not just like, “I had the idea, go build it now.”
Okay, final question. You have an amazing background behind you. [inaudible 01:44:31] if people are on YouTube, it’s just a beautiful book background, a bunch of objects and books. I’m curious if there’s an object on there or a book on there that might be fun to highlight that you’re especially into or proud of. And feel free to turn around if you want to look around. Curious if there’s one thing that stands out, like, “Oh, here’s this thing, [inaudible 01:44:48].”
Chandra Janakiraman: Oh, well, it’s the picture of my kids right in the center, which is without doubt the most important and memorable thing there. It’s also caught it a unique time when they were incredibly… They were sort of super embracing each other and it’s a phase where they’ve grown out of it. Now there’s a lot more, I think rivalry and then sibling tussles. But that moment is my favorite.
I also have a bunch of fun stuff, like a big sort of Snoopy fan, and so it is… Also a big Beetles fan, so that picture is actually an interesting blend between Snoopy walking, crossing the road and then the Beetles crossing the other way. And then a bunch of books that are more memorable over the years. You’ll see Creativity Inc there, you’ll see The Ten Phases of Innovation, all of that.
Lenny Rachitsky: Amazing. Thank you for sharing… Your kids’ photo’s blocked when you’re in the center, so it’s like a little Easter egg. Thank you for sharing that. Chandra, this was incredible. It was everything I was hoping it’d be. I think we’re going to create that ripple that you were hoping for.
Two final questions. Where can folks find you online if they want to reach out? And how can listeners be useful to you?
Chandra Janakiraman: A reasonable choice would be LinkedIn to reach me, and I really, like you and I discussed earlier, I’d be really happy if this creates that kind of ripple effect of successes, both for individuals and for products. And I want everybody to think of this, the stuff I shared as a bit of an open source model. So test some of the concepts, modify it, remix it, and share what worked or did not. And ultimately, that’s what makes it all interesting is the community owns it ultimately, and it doesn’t belong to one individual. That’s what would make me super happy.
Lenny Rachitsky: Amazing. Chandra, thank you so much for being here.
Chandra Janakiraman: Thank you so much for having me, Lenny, and thanks for your service to the product community.
Lenny Rachitsky: Same to you. Bye everyone.
Thank you so much for listening. If you found this valuable, you can subscribe to the show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite podcast app. Also, please consider giving us a rating or leaving a review, as that really helps other listeners find the podcast. You can find all past episodes or learn more about the show at LennysPodcast.com. See you in the next episode.
Glossary
| English | 中文 |
|---|---|
| alignment | 对齐 |
| Armand Ruiz | Armand Ruiz |
| Bluesky | Bluesky |
| bullseye sprint | 靶心冲刺(bullseye sprint) |
| Capybara Go! | Capybara Go! |
| Central Product Management | Central Product Management(中央产品管理) |
| Christina Gilbert | Christina Gilbert |
| Claire Rowe | Claire Rowe |
| CPO | CPO(首席产品官) |
| Creativity Inc | 《创新公司》(Creativity Inc) |
| creator’s block | 创作阻塞感 |
| design sprint | 设计冲刺(design sprint) |
| Ed Catmull | Ed Catmull |
| fertile questions | ”沃土问题”(fertile questions) |
| founder mode | 创始人模式(founder mode) |
| gatekeepers | 守门人(gatekeepers) |
| Good Strategy, Bad Strategy | 《好战略,坏战略》 |
| Google Ventures | Google Ventures |
| Headspace | Headspace |
| how might we | ”我们如何可能”(how might we) |
| ICP | ICP(理想客户画像) |
| IDEO | IDEO |
| illustrative concepts | 说明性概念 |
| key stakeholders | 关键干系人 |
| Lafley | Lafley |
| Make Time | Make Time |
| meta analysis | 元分析 |
| Michael Porter | Michael Porter |
| mock strategy | 模拟战略(mock strategy) |
| multi-agent model | 多智能体模型(multi-agent model) |
| natural frequency | 固有频率 |
| network accretive | 对网络持续增值的 |
| newspaper headline approach | 报纸标题法 |
| Oculus | Oculus |
| OneSchema | OneSchema |
| operator’s guide to strategy | 运营者的策略指南 |
| Playing to Win | 《Playing to Win》 |
| Portal | Portal |
| present forward | 当下向前推演 |
| Quest II | Quest II |
| Reality Labs | Reality Labs |
| resonance | 共振 |
| Richard Rumelt | Richard Rumelt |
| roadmap | 路线图 |
| roadshow | 路演 |
| Roger Martin | Roger Martin |
| rollout | 推广(rollout) |
| small S / big S | small S / big S(小写 s 战略 / 大写 S 战略) |
| smallest strategy | 最小化战略 |
| Steve Jobs | Steve Jobs |
| strategic pillars | 战略支柱 |
| strategy working group | 战略工作组 |
| Sun Tzu | 孙子 |
| The Art of War | 《孙子兵法》 |
| The Ten Faces of Innovation | 《创新的十张面孔》(The Ten Faces of Innovation) |
| Tom Kelly | Tom Kelly |
| Tomer Cohen | Tomer Cohen |
| Triumph of the American Imagination | 《美国想象力的胜利》(Triumph of the American Imagination) |
| UXR | UXR(用户体验研究) |
| viral game loops | 病毒式游戏循环 |
| VP of product | 产品副总裁 |
| winning aspiration | 制胜愿景(winning aspiration) |
Reformatted by reformat_english.py
产品策略实操指南 | Chandra Janakiraman(VRChat 首席产品官,前 Meta、Headspace)
产品策略实操指南 | Chandra Janakiraman(VRChat 首席产品官,前 Meta、Headspace)
文字记录
策略的神秘感与误区
Chandra Janakiraman: 我开始注意到产品策略被笼罩在一种神秘的光环之中。人们觉得有些人天生就擅长策略,而另一些人则不然,就好像你必须拥有某个”策略基因”才能在这方面做得好。
Lenny Rachitsky: 假设有人坐下来,说好,我要开始为我们的产品制定策略了。你会从哪里开始?这个过程是什么样的?
“小 s 策略”与”大 S 策略”
Chandra Janakiraman: 关于产品策略是什么,它有一种最小的形态,聚焦于解决问题,叫做 present forward(当下向前推演),通常在两年时间范围内运作。我们用一个五阶段流程来实现,大约需要八到十二周。我认为这个流程有效的原因在于其中内置了大量的对齐(alignment)机制。这回到了人类心理学的层面——来自你自己的东西,总是让人觉得更熟悉、更容易接受。
Lenny Rachitsky: 让我们聊聊”大 S 策略”(big S strategy)。什么时候应该用这种方式来做策略?
Chandra Janakiraman: Elon Musk 有一句很有意思的话——
Elon Musk: “生活的意义不应该仅仅是解决问题。”
Chandra Janakiraman: 我认为这对所有公司都适用。策略中需要一个令人向往的、很酷的组成部分。产品在五到十年后会是什么样子?十年后世界为什么会变得更好?那个愿景中最令人兴奋的版本是什么?
嘉宾介绍
Lenny Rachitsky: 今天我的嘉宾是 Chandra Janakiraman。Chandra 是 VRChat 的首席产品官兼执行副总裁。他曾在 Meta 担任产品负责人,在 Headspace 担任首席产品官,在 Zynga 担任总经理,在 Amazon 担任高级产品经理。这期播客的缘起是这样的:一位播客的忠实听众 Karthik Suresh 在一次社区聚会上向我介绍了 Chandra。当我和 Chandra 联系之后,我就清楚地知道必须请他上播客。
Chandra 是策略领域的学习者和实践者,他在职业生涯中逐步形成了自己所说的”运营者的策略指南”(operator’s guide to strategy),本质上是将《好战略,坏战略》(Good Strategy, Bad Strategy)、《Playing to Win》、Michael Porter 等人的最佳思想整合在一起,形成了一套非常清晰、可靠且易于遵循的五步流程,用来制定优秀的策略以及产品和公司的下一步行动。听完 Chandra 在我们对话中逐步讲解这个过程之后,我基本上打算把每一个想提升策略能力的人都指向这期节目和 Chandra 的方法。策略是每一个优秀产品、团队和业务的核心,但如果你做得不好,它也是无尽痛苦的根源。这期节目旨在帮助你避免那种局面。非常感谢 Karthik 促成这次连接。如果你喜欢这档播客,别忘了在你最喜欢的播客应用或 YouTube 上订阅和关注。这是避免错过后续节目的最好方式,也对播客有极大的帮助。好了,下面为你请出 Chandra Janakiraman。
节目的缘起
Lenny Rachitsky: 我想先分享一下这期对话的背景和来龙去脉。我当时参加了一个读者社区聚会,有人走过来对我说:“Lenny,你一定要请 Chandra 这个家伙上你的播客。他有一套非常棒的策略制定方法论。“他曾经和 Chandra 在一家公司共事过,他就说:“大家需要了解这些,因为真的太好了。“对我来说,如果有人能在策略方面变得更好,这会让整个公司的运作方式和人们的工作方式都变得更顺畅。所以我们聊了聊,见了个面,我说:“我完全同意,一定要请你来播客分享你的策略方法。“所以我们就促成了这件事,今天终于在这里了。再次感谢你来分享。
Chandra Janakiraman: 谢谢,谢谢你,Lenny。
对策略产生兴趣的起点
Lenny Rachitsky: 首先,我想问一下——你对策略非常有热情,而且一直在探索一种能持续产出优秀策略的方法。最初是什么让你对这些东西产生了兴趣?是什么触发了你对这个领域的关注?
Chandra Janakiraman: 这个故事很有意思,要追溯到十年前,但我至今记忆犹新,就像昨天发生的一样。那时我在 Headspace 担任产品副总裁,资历尚浅,公司有着创始人制定的非常棒的企业愿景和使命,我进来之后为团队建立了关键指标方面的目标,在我看来还有一套非常严密的路线图,与公司的使命和愿景一脉相承。我对当时的状况感觉很良好。
某个周一,创始人兼 CEO 把我拉到一边,用他一贯的随和口吻,做了一个简短却深刻的陈述。他说:“嘿,CJ,我听说很多人并不太理解我们为什么在做现在正在做的这些事情。“就这些,他分享的也就到此为止了。对我来说这有点像泡沫破灭的时刻,因为我们显然花了大量时间来构建这个计划,而我对这个计划也感觉相当不错。
Chandra Janakiraman: 于是我去找了一些人聊聊,想深入了解到底怎么回事。结果他是对的,他说得没错——很多人确实不太明白我们为什么在做手头这些事情。这让我开始深刻反思。幸运的是,Headspace 有一位具备产品背景的董事会成员,她知道好的产品应该长什么样。我由此得出结论:Headspace 需要一套战略。
在她的大力协助下,我们构建了 Headspace 的第一份书面产品战略。这份战略以及随后在产品上的系列行动,带来了对产品的全面重新构想。我们基本上打造了一个全新的产品,称之为”下一代 Headspace”——一方面,它能支撑一个涵盖冥想与非冥想内容的综合内容库;另一方面,它拥有一个高度个性化的首页体验,整个产品体验中还嵌入了几种激励元素。这对公司和产品来说都具有变革性意义,因为它将产品从一个冥想 App 转变为更广泛的健康与福祉服务,真正让公司走上了截然不同的发展轨迹。也正因如此,我被提升为 Headspace 的首任 CPO。
更有意思的是,在整个过程中,我几乎以一种旁观者的视角审视了这一切——我们是怎么把这套东西拼起来的?里面到底包含了什么?最初那几乎是个人危机时刻的发现——即需要为产品和公司创建一套战略——后来演变成了一种更大的追寻。我开始注意到,产品战略周围笼罩着某种神秘感和光环,存在一种观念:有些人天生就擅长战略,而另一些人则不然,仿佛你需要天生带着某种”战略基因”才能做好这件事。这让我非常困扰,于是我开始问自己:有没有可能打破这种”有”与”没有”之间的鸿沟,通过一套可操作的方法让这种能力变得广泛可及?我可以告诉大家,答案是肯定的——任何人都可以通过清晰地理解产品战略是什么,并通过一套友好且可重复的操作手册,来构建产品战略。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太棒了,这正是我今天想做的事情。你提到的关于”为什么”的观点,我觉得每个在产品领域待得足够久的人都听过——“你的团队不理解我们为什么要做这件事。“我自己也听过很多次。不管你觉得自己做得多么出色,总会有这样的时刻——有时候你就是忘了做这件事,或者做得不够好。而我很喜欢的一点是,解决这个问题的方法正是战略——它帮助人们把点连起来,理解为什么路线图是这样,为什么战略是这样。好的,在我们深入之前,还有一个背景问题:对于你接下来要分享的内容,最好的理解方式是什么?另外,这是给谁看的?简要说说谁需要听这些?
Chandra Janakiraman: 关于怎么理解它,首先要说的是,我今天要讲的并不是一套新的框架或理论。市面上已经有大量关于战略的优秀资料,从古老的典籍如孙子的《孙子兵法》,到 Michael Porter 的全部著作,再到 Richard Rumelt 的《好战略,坏战略》(他上过你的播客),以及 Lafley 和 Roger Martin 的《Playing to Win》。所以已经有大量经过深入研究和充分验证的资料存在。因此我想请大家这样理解:它更像是一份运营者对所有这些既有内容的解读,将其打包成一套对产品人友好且可重复的操作方法,尤其适合那些认为自己不擅长战略、或者收到过此类反馈的产品从业者。
就其实战检验的程度而言,我个人使用这套操作手册大约五到六次,每次都会根据我认为有效的部分、团队认为有效和无效的部分进行调整和优化,其中包括在 Meta 的多次实践,通常都取得了很好的成果——既帮助我获得了高层领导的对齐,也为公司推动了业务成果。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的,我越来越兴奋了。让我们进入正题,来聊聊这套操作手册。人们经常听到”战略”这个词,被告知要”更具战略性”、“构建更好的战略”。那么理解”什么是战略”最简单的方式是什么?
Chandra Janakiraman: 好,让我们从一些基本定义开始。正如你所问的,什么是产品战略?回想一下 Headspace 的例子,这个概念在那里也得到了体现。产品战略,或者说战略,位于使命愿景与计划之间。它可以是公司层面的,也可以是团队层面的,但通常都位于使命愿景与计划之间。计划,你可以称之为路线图,基本上就是你想要完成的事情的有序列表;而使命和愿景,则是存在的目的——当你实现存在目的时会是什么样子。战略坐落于这两者之间,它通过做出取舍,将稀缺资源配置到能产生最大影响的地方。
我想借用物理学中的一个类比。有一个概念叫做共振,共振这个概念非常有趣,而且实际上和战略的概念非常接近。共振的原理是这样的:当你对一个物体施加某个频率,并且这个频率接近该物体的固有频率时,你会看到该物体振动的幅度出现不成比例的增大。这非常有趣——如果你施加任何其他频率,对物体几乎没有影响;但一旦接近它的固有频率,物体的振动就会呈指数级增长。共振这个概念确实很有意思。
那么在战略的语境下,可以这样理解:战略就是选择那个能够实现产品与市场之间共振的频率。当你接近那个频率时,你应该会看到产品在市场上取得巨大的影响。这就是我对它的理解:它位于使命愿景与计划之间,通过做出取舍来配置稀缺资源以产生最大影响,以共振作为一个类比。理想情况下,它包含三个组成部分:第一,少数几个需要聚焦的领域,我称之为战略支柱;第二,大量明确不被聚焦的领域;第三,就是”为什么”——为什么聚焦领域是 A、B 和 C?为什么这大量其他领域不是聚焦点?就这三个组成部分,产品战略的本质也就这些了。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我很喜欢。我也很喜欢把”我们不做的事情”作为其中的核心组成部分——这在我的播客中经常出现,就是要明确说清楚我们不做的事情。我们知道这些可能是我们可以做的事情,但我们决定不做这些事情。
好的,那我们来聊聊你如何用这套方法来制定战略。假设有个人坐下来,说:“好,我要开始为我们的产品制定战略了。“你从哪里开始?这个过程是什么样的?我们开始往下聊吧。
最小化战略与八到十二周流程
Chandra Janakiraman: 我首先想解释一个叫做”最小化战略”的概念,我会聊聊它是什么,以及它和其他类型有什么不同。但基本的战略流程大概需要八到十二周。我觉得人们经常低估这个过程需要的时间,最终往往花的时间要长得多。但他们一开始会觉得:“我大概几周就能搞定。“可实际上经过反复迭代,最终还是需要八到十二周。所以一开始就设定清晰的预期很重要——告诉团队这大概需要八到十二周。要论证这个投入的投资回报率,通常可以这样看:这样制定出来的战略大概可以用两年左右。相对于那样的回报周期,我认为这个投入是比较小的。所以从这一点来看,管理好预期、说清楚需要多长时间,是很合理的做法。
在这八到十二周里,一共有五个阶段:准备阶段、战略冲刺、设计冲刺、文档撰写和推广落地。这就是五个阶段,我会逐一说明怎么做。每个阶段都有一个大致的时间建议。比如,准备阶段大概需要四周;战略冲刺最多一周;设计冲刺又是一周;文档撰写大约一到两周;推广落地大约两到三周。这样加起来就是八到十二周的范围。
Lenny Rachitsky: 基本上就是用一个季度的工作量来得到一份出色的最终战略。这五个阶段中,最大的一个部分是准备阶段,听起来这不像是一个需要团队全员全职投入的事情,更像是开始收集数据和用户调研——
Chandra Janakiraman: 完全正确。
Lenny Rachitsky: 在你讲解的过程中,我很好奇每个步骤有多少团队成员参与。但我觉得这是一个很重要的观点:如果你想要一份真正优秀的、能赢的战略,你需要给它时间。你不能只是说:“一个月或一周之内,我们需要出一个战略,去搞定它,写份文档。“好的,我们来聊聊第一步——准备阶段。
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错,Lenny。还有一点——如果我忘了的话请提醒我——有时候会存在压力,纯粹的业务压力,比如 CEO 可能还是想要两周内拿到战略,你怎么应对?我觉得我们可以找到一些巧妙的捷径,但我认为在条件允许的范围内,领导者应该尽量争取时间,做出真正优秀的东西。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我觉得其中一部分是,作为领导者,你可以在……你知道这件事迟早会来,所以应该在别人开口之前就开始着手。
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的,我们开始吧。
战略工作组
Chandra Janakiraman: 你刚才提到准备阶段是最长的阶段,但也不是全职投入的事情,这完全正确。准备阶段是这样启动的——这和我见过的其他方法略有不同——你要成立一个战略工作组。这是一个重要的概念。战略工作组是一个小型团队,通常至少包括工程、产品设计和数据三个职能。某些情况下,如果条件允许,还可以加入产品营销、用户研究等其他职能。但我建议的最低配置是工程、产品和数据,因为设计在某种程度上同时代表了产品设计和用户研究,所以从设计那里你也能获得用户的声音。通常由产品经理来推动战略工作组和整个流程,但真正协作产出战略文档的是这个工作组。
在准备阶段,通常会有一个启动会,PM 把团队召集在一起,说明这个流程的目的,介绍各个阶段,让大家对接下来的八到十二周会发生什么有一个整体感受。然后会为工作组中的每个利益相关方列出非常具体的行动项和交付物。具体来说,有一个行动项是汇总团队关于产品的所有行为洞察。这通常包括数据团队之前做过的分析,也包括功能上线后的表现情况,基本上就是各种分析结果。
核心要求其实是对所有分析做一个元分析。战略工作组里的数据负责人需要梳理公司内部的历史数据档案,将其综合、浓缩成易于理解的宏观主题和用户认知。这是准备阶段的一个事项。
第二个事项是用户研究洞察。同样,关于用户有大量软性和硬性信号,不仅来自用户研究员做的调研,还可能来自客户服务团队、社交媒体等渠道,要把所有这些综合成一份可执行的、经过提炼的用户洞察汇总。这通常由设计负责人牵头,研究团队配合支持。这是第二个行动项。
领导层访谈与”水果故事”
第三个行动项是领导层访谈。我想分享一个关于战略评审中”水果”的有趣故事。想象一下,战略评审有时候是这样的:你带一个水果给评审者看,说:“嘿,这是一个芒果,你觉得怎么样?“评审者说:“我其实不喜欢芒果。“你有点失落,拿回去,换了一个苹果,问:“你觉得苹果怎么样?“领导说:“我去年就不吃苹果了。“你又失望了,回去拿了一根香蕉。“我从小就讨厌香蕉。“这当然是对评审的一个有点夸张的讽刺,但里面确实有一点真实的成分——想想这对评审者和被评审者来说有多令人沮丧。
而这件事其实可以做得好得多,只要你在实际制定战略之前就先和你的领导们沟通。令人惊讶的是,很少有人真正这样做。水果的故事告诉我们:如果你一开始就问评审者”你喜不喜欢水果?“,双方的体验都会好多少。所以领导层访谈是战略制定过程中非常重要的一部分。你可以分头行动——有好几位领导,就把不同的领导分配给战略工作组里不同的人,每人去和对应的领导聊。我建议问几个问题:对这位领导来说,成功是什么样的?失败是什么样的?衡量成功的标准是什么?在推进这个过程中有哪些原则需要牢记?
Lenny Rachitsky: 这些问题都是围绕你正在做的产品来问的?
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 比如 Headspace 的话,就会问”你觉得 Headspace 或者 Headspace 某个具体功能的成功是什么样的?”
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的,明白了。
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错,是的。而且我认为还应该主动问他们自己最喜欢或更好的想法。通过这个过程我发现,很多领导者其实都有自己心仪的想法,只是不好意思说出来,因为他们不想让团队觉得自己在微观管理。他们希望团队自己找到答案,但当你主动去问的时候,他们其实总是有一个自己偏爱的想法。
所以,主动去问就能消除那种猜测。同时也给了他们一个创意表达的空间。有些人会觉得跟高级管理者进行这类对话有点紧张——会不会浪费时间?但我发现的恰恰相反,高级管理者非常欢迎这种对话。一来,对他们来说这比他们日常参加的其他会议更有趣,因为这能激发一些创造力;二来,他们也会因为有人真心问他们的想法和感受而感到高兴。所以当你问领导者他们想要什么的时候,实际上会产生非常非常正面的能量。而且这也不是软弱的表现,恰恰相反,主动去问你的领导他们想要什么,是一种实力和谦逊的体现。所以记住这一点,我想说这是一个非常好的做法,一个非常有力量的做法。
竞品分析与周边路线图
下一个领域是竞品分析。如果有产品营销人员,他们可以帮你做;如果没有,PM 就自己来做。基本思路是搞清楚这个领域有哪些可比的对象或竞争对手,然后整理出一个直接对比的图表,梳理清楚各家在往什么方向走,各自的投资角度是什么——依据的是显性信号,也就是他们发布了什么。
你其实并不清楚他们的战略是什么,但当你观察他们推出的功能时,大致能看出端倪——哦,他们似乎在重点发力某个特定领域。这就是竞品分析。在大公司里,还有一个重要的输入,就是相邻路线图。你周围的团队在投资什么?因为这往往会对你的团队产生影响,如果你不与其他关键团队对齐,那就会有问题。所以要做好相邻路线图及其摘要。
用户观察
最后,是我所说的用户观察。我希望战略工作组的人要么去实际访谈一位用户,要么去看一段用户视频,然后汇报关键收获。目的不是把这些洞察直接转化为行动,而是真正建立共情。当你让一个人面对面接触真实用户,这会改变他的想法,让他变得柔软一些。让他跳出自己对于该做什么、战略该怎么定的先入为主的观念……
……让他跳出自己对于该做什么、战略该怎么定的先入为主的观念,也让整个过程更加人性化。我觉得这才是目的所在,但你还是要给他们布置作业,让他们写下自己学到了什么,因为这算是一种推动力。
综合准备成果
所有这些的产出,就是我所说的综合准备成果。它是一份总 deck,里面包含行为洞察元分析、UXR 洞察元分析、领导者访谈的整理、竞品对比图表、相邻路线图,以及一个用户观察的部分。工作量不小,但正如你所说,这些可以和日常工作并行完成。你可以多线程推进,所以大概需要四周时间来完成。准备阶段到此基本结束。你拿到了这份 deck,它就会流入下一阶段——战略冲刺,也就是下一个阶段。我想先停一下,看你有没有问题。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我有一堆问题,但我克制一下自己。简单总结一下——基本上就是你启动,我们要开始为这个产品制定战略了。你本来也打算谈到这一点,不过现在先聊聊也许更清楚。我知道你有大 S 战略(Strategy)和小 s 战略(strategy)的区分。这套流程适用的产品规模大概是什么级别?因为我知道你对更大规模的产品,也就是公司层面,还有另一套方法。我们正在讲的这个小 s 战略,怎么理解它最合适?
Chandra Janakiraman: 好问题,Lenny。我觉得这套流程比较适合成长期公司,或者大公司中的一个业务线。它的可扩展性还不错。这个小 s 和大 S 之间的主要区别在于时间跨度和愿景的高度,这个我们后面会讲到。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的,所以这套流程既可以用于一家不算太大的公司整体战略,也可以用于公司内部的一个产品?
Chandra Janakiraman: 对。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的,明白了。好——我们要为这个东西启动战略了,假设是 VR Chat 2.0。你和工作组召开启动会,分配行动项,有六件事让大家去做:汇总所有行为洞察、所有已有的用户研究洞察、领导者访谈——去访谈各种人,问他们想要什么、期望什么、成功长什么样——竞品分析、其他团队的相邻路线图、用户观察——就是去看用户,看看发生了什么。你把这些任务分别分配给工作组里的不同成员,设好截止时间——比如四周后要呈现。大家分头去做,过程中持续碰面对齐,最终的产出是一份 deck。这份 deck 是只在工作组内部共享,还是你会分享给其他人并做汇报?
Chandra Janakiraman: 这份 deck 是第一阶段的产出,然后它会流入第二阶段,也就是战略冲刺。这时候你还不会把 deck 分享给任何人。
Lenny Rachitsky: 明白了,这是我们的秘密武器。
Chandra Janakiraman: 在战略冲刺里,它是一件核心物料。对。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太棒了。我非常喜欢这套方法的具体和可操作性——有明确的时间框架、清晰的行动项和确切的预期产出。很棒。好的,基本上你在这一步做的就是收集所有能影响战略的输入。
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 给自己留出时间来做这件事,因为想一想就会明白——输出质量取决于输入质量。我觉得这个方法的一个核心要义就是花时间去创建、去收集所有的输入、最好的输入,在这个环节真正投入时间。不要敷衍了事、临时抱佛脚。好的,太好了。那我们来聊聊第二步,也就是战略冲刺。
战略冲刺
Chandra Janakiraman: 好的,战略冲刺是整个流程的核心。这是真正做决策的地方。回忆一下,战略的定义是——它迫使你做出选择,将资源投入到少数几个领域以实现最大影响。战略的核心就是选定那些领域,以及明确你不会投资的领域。这些决策就发生在战略冲刺中,所以它确实是整个流程的心脏。
Chandra Janakiraman: 通常这是一个三到五天的流程。第一天是分享日。每个人都做了很出色的工作,他们依次分享自己收集到的东西、学到的东西。这让工作组的所有人都达到同等的认知水平,对当前全局状态形成一致的意识。这是一个很好的过程,我鼓励大家在倾听的时候,把那些你认为是用户问题的事情写下来,把阻碍我们增长的因素写下来,把对业务来说不尽如人意的地方写下来。
大家在那个环节会做大量笔记,分享的人也在分享他们学到的一切。第一天就是这样——大量地吸收信息,大量地记录笔记,让大家理解所有问题出在哪里。这是一个非常聚焦问题的过程,这一点很重要。后面谈到”大S”战略时我会再回到这一点,“大S”是不同的。一旦大家对所有问题有了共同的认知和共享的知识库,第二天就来了——这一天可以说是整个八到十二周流程中最重要的一天,因为真正的选择就在这里做出。推进这一天的流程,按照正确的方式推进,实际上非常重要。第一步是生成一大堆问题,因为前一天大家都在做笔记。
这天一开始就是:“好,让我们汇总一下大家的想法——哪些问题在拖我们的后腿。“这是一个自由讨论的环节,每个人把自己观察到的阻碍因素抛出来,你比如就用 Google Sheets 把所有内容记录下来。甚至在一个小时之内,你就会开始看到一些规律浮现——有那么几类问题,才是真正在拖我们后腿的。下一步就是把相关问题做联合聚类,根据我的经验,通常会形成大约十个到十五个高度相关的问题簇。美妙之处在于,每个更大的簇里,你实际上知道它下面的子问题是什么,因为你是非常有机地把它生成出来的。
现在你有了大概十到十五个簇。接下来你要做的——别忘了,因为这最初是一个问题生成练习,所以每个簇的名字本身也是一个问题——下一步就是把它翻转成机会框架。让我举几个例子。
比如说有一堆问题是关于用户不太清楚在产品里哪里能找到不同的东西,他们不知道去哪里找某个功能或某种体验。假设这个领域有很多问题,那么”难以找到东西”就成了这个簇,即问题簇,而”发现”就成了它的机会框架——也就是一个更正向的表述。
再一个例子,用户看到了大量他们不喜欢的内容,看到很多自己不感兴趣的东西,于是对产品失去了参与感。这个问题的机会框架就是”相关性”——也就是那些真正对我有意义的内容。如果是一个社交产品的话,也许人们发现很难找到朋友,因此而感到孤独。那么机会框架就是”社交连接”。
把所有这些问题簇翻转成正向表述和机会框架,这就是下一步。然后你就处于一个很好的位置了,因为你接下来要做的就是从那十到十五个机会领域中筛选出理想情况下的三个——也许五个,但我建议三个,因为它能带来更清晰的聚焦。方法就是沿着我认为四到五个关键维度或标准来排序。第一个是预期影响。
假设你真的攻克了那个领域,对你作为公司、作为业务、作为产品所看重的指标,预期影响是什么?第二个维度是影响的确定性。影响的确定性基本上就是——这个问题有多扎实的证据?有时候你有非常硬的数据,有时候更多是零散的轶事性证据,所以信心水平很大程度上取决于问题的规模和频率。预期影响、影响的确定性。第三个也非常重要,就是杠杆的清晰度。
你到底有没有关于如何解决它的思路?如果没有,那要在这一点上推动进展就会非常困难,因为你多少应该知道——好,我能想象这些方案可能真的能推动进展。我确实可以上线某种引导系统来帮助用户找到东西。我可以推荐朋友,让用户更快地在平台上建立友谊。你对该领域如何解决应该有一个大致的感觉。杠杆是否清晰?这是第三个维度。
第四个维度非常关键,就是这些杠杆是否对该特定团队或公司具有独特性和差异化?也就是说,如果另一个团队或公司能比你这个团队或公司做得更好,那它可能就不太有差异化。一旦上线,它可能就会相当同质化。它综合了这类考量:这里影响力大不大?我们对这个问题的信心有多大?我们对解决方案有没有方向感?以及,我们是否是那个拥有能力和技能、能够独一无二地构建它、而其他团队做不到的团队或公司?
一旦你完成了这些,有时候你的数据并不多,所以用定性评分也完全可以——高、中、低,或者用T恤尺码那种方式,什么形式都行。关键在于你是作为战略工作组一起在做这件事,大家在争论分数,阐述为什么应该更高而不是更低的理由。在这个过程中会发生大量的对齐和碰撞,这对最终结果是非常健康的。
完成之后,你基本上可以对分数做一个简单的加总然后排序,得到的就是排名前三的领域,以及剩下的七个或十二个——它们基本上不是聚焦的方向。这就是整个流程的核心——确定这些机会领域,并在”我们如何排列优先级、为什么这样排”上达成共识。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好,这一切都在一周内完成。我知道后面还有更多内容,还有几个环节帮助你从刚才说的过渡到下一步,但我很喜欢这一点——这是整个流程中最大环节的核心,而你在一周内就完成了。之所以能在一周内完成,正是因为你之前做的那些准备工作。这再次强调了准备步骤的重要性。
我来复述一下你到目前为止分享的内容,然后我们再完成战略冲刺这一步。基本上就是:先做分享,让所有人基于所有信息、所有输入达成共识;列举所有问题——一个个具体的小问题——然后把它们聚类成十到十五个问题簇;把它从”这是问题”翻转为”这是我们拥有的机会”;然后基于基本上就是你提到的四个属性来排序——我实际上记下来了:影响潜力、对影响能否实现的信心、杠杆的清晰度、以及这些杠杆是否有差异化和独特性——是否与其他人做的有所不同。这些就是对这些想法和问题簇进行排序的方式。最终你得出的是——基本上就是三个我们应该下注的方向。好,我想你就在这里停下来的。对吗?
Chandra Janakiraman: 完全正确,Lenny。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好,很好。
Chandra Janakiraman: 排在最前面的那三个,基本上就是我们的战略支柱。我们算是得出了战略支柱,而它们基本上就是支撑整个战略的。所以才叫战略支柱。思路是一旦有了战略支柱,我们基本上把它们转化为几个”我们如何可能”(how might we)的问题。比如说,如果是相关性的问题。我们如何可能为特定用户找到最好的内容?我们如何可能在合适的位置呈现它?会有几个”我们如何可能”的问题,这些问题基本上是为了服务于流程的下一个阶段,也就是设计冲刺(design sprint)。
你产出这些领域、这些战略支柱之后,再生成”我们如何可能”的问题。这些问题通常相当直接。一旦有了战略支柱,大概花一个小时就能为每个支柱生成几个”我们如何可能”的问题,每个支柱大概两三个,然后这个阶段就完成了。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我想快速强调一下,这个措辞非常重要。我用过完全一样的措辞。我之前共事过一位 PM,叫 Andrew Chen,但不是大家知道的那个 Andrew Chen——那位是投资人——他有一个概念叫”沃土问题”(fertile questions),能催生想法、激发创意和解决方案。“我们如何可能”这个说法,作为提出解决问题思路的方式,实际上非常有力量。比如就是,我们如何可能提升应用的发现性?我们如何可能改善相关性?这种措辞有一种魔力,能打开你的思路——我们如何可能?让我们想想看。而换一种说法,比如”我们怎么改善发现功能?“就不一样了,你的大脑听到这两种说法的运作方式是不同的。这是一个非常有力量的措辞。只是想强调一下这一点。
Chandra Janakiraman: 对,说得太好了。这也是设计师们熟悉的东西,Lenny,所以它能很自然地衔接到设计冲刺中去。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好,那你有了这些”我们如何可能”的问题。你有三个支柱,每个支柱可能有三到五个”我们如何可能”来解决这些机会或问题,接下来呢?
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。第三天的话,最好从头开始、让大家状态刷新。团队已经完成了很多工作。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这些都是前两天做的。
Chandra Janakiraman: 对,前两天。
Lenny Rachitsky: 哇,好吧。两天做了这么多。
Chandra Janakiraman: 对,没错。第二天对团队来说尤其高强度,所以给他们休息一下是好的,因为涉及大量思维上的角力,让团队稍微喘口气。然后第三天大家恢复了一些精力,我们进入”制胜愿景”(winning aspiration)。制胜愿景非常有意思,因为它是一个非常有创造性的练习。你基本上想象两年后——因为小型战略的典型时间跨度大概是 18 到 24 个月——我是这样跟团队说的:想象两年后有一份报纸,有一位报道这个领域的记者,写了一篇文章。我希望大家想象一下,在所有这些战略支柱上取得了怎样的进展,以及那篇报纸文章的标题会是什么。这叫做”报纸标题法”。
基本上,每个人并行地各自拟一个报纸标题。有意思的是,你经常能看到大家写出来的标题中会形成一些共同主题。标题这种形式的约束在于,它必须相对简单、用大白话。不能太技术化。你必须用更简单的、普通人能理解的语言,而且必须点出最终的关键收益——也就是对世界产生的影响。这类主题经常会出现。
然后你做一点——把它们全部放进搅拌机里,把团队的所有标题放进搅拌机,搅在一起,创造出版胜愿景,归根到底就是:在几年的时间里,战略的推进长什么样?这个产出来自整个工作组,而不是某一个人写出来的。
Lenny Rachitsky: 能举一个你做过的项目中的制胜愿景的例子吗?
Chandra Janakiraman: 我们在 Meta 的时候为隐私团队做过这个流程。战略支柱确实围绕着很多我们要构建的功能,但制胜愿景其实是:我们能不能推动消费者信任的提升?报纸标题大概就是这样的:“Facebook 通过投资这些领域,在消费者信任上取得了实质性进展。” 这就是你创造更大影响的方式。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这是一个很好的例子。显然这跟亚马逊的 PR/FAQ 方法类似,而我特别喜欢你的方法的一点,正如你一开始说的,就是你会从所有这些不同的战略工作方法中提取出最好的想法,整合成一套非常系统的、一步一步的流程。把所有最好的想法汇聚成一本——正如你所说的——运营者的实操手册。我很喜欢这个。对了,顺便说一下,你说搅拌机的时候,我一边听一边在想——把它们放进搅拌机里,我的理解就是你把每个人的标题拿来,然后合成出一个能涵盖三个支柱全部成功愿景的标题。
Chandra Janakiraman: 完全正确。具体操作上,我通常的做法是把它们全部放在一张幻灯片上,然后开始——有点像词云——你就会开始看到一些共同的关键词。然后把这些词收敛为最终制胜愿景的核心要素,再尝试用这些要素组织成一句漂亮的陈述。同时在象征意义上,每个人都能在幻灯片上看到自己的那句话,这就是你最终得出结论的方式。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太棒了。我觉得现在 AI 可以帮忙做这个。
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 把你所有的标题想法输入进去,它就给你一些建议。好,那这是冲刺的结束吗,还是冲刺还有更多内容?
Chandra Janakiraman: 冲刺到这里就结束了。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。冲刺结束的时候,你手里有什么?产出物是什么?
Chandra Janakiraman: 对,这在战略上已经是很大的进展了,因为现在我们有了三个战略支柱。有了与战略支柱关联的”我们如何可能”的问题。你还有了”为什么”——为什么你选了这三个战略支柱,你没有聚焦什么,以及原因是什么。你还有了制胜愿景。进展非常大。团队做得非常出色。我想接下来我们就进入设计冲刺了。
战略冲刺的可靠性
Lenny Rachitsky: 根据你的经验,这三个支柱最终被证明确实是正确的三个——这种情况有多常见?还是在冲刺后续过程中你学到了新东西然后做了调整?
Chandra Janakiraman: 这个问题问得很好。我们会讲一个我在 Meta 时的例子——通常在战略冲刺期间,一旦走完流程就不会再改动,但最终在执行过程中你会收到很多信号,不得不进行路线修正。我们会谈到一个非常有趣的例子,说明执行中的反馈是如何改变事情的。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太好了。好的。基本上,到这一步你已经制定了你的战略,而根据你的经验,它最终是……在你真正接触市场、进行测试之前,你其实不知道实际情况会怎样。
Chandra Janakiraman: 对。
Lenny Rachitsky: 但这里隐含的一个意思是,根据你做这件事的经验——我想你说过做过五六次——结果都是正确的,效果不亚于用其他任何方法做出来的。
设计冲刺:用概念图让战略可视化
Chandra Janakiraman: 我觉得这不算什么实证研究,毕竟样本量很小。但我会说,它确实开阔了大家的视野,带来了非常好的对齐,最终也产出了不错的结果。即使有时结果不够理想,它至少让组织内部充分认同了我们为什么要做这件事、以及怎么做的方法论。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这让我想到,Tomer Cohen 上过这个播客,他是 LinkedIn 的 CPO,他总爱说一句话——“我们可能错了,但我们不会困惑”。我很喜欢这个理念的核心:所有人完全在同一频道上,不是从一开始就如此,而是在你启动这个流程之后——这里有所有的输入,这里是我们一步步共同筛选的过程——至少每个人都理解了”为什么”。而这正是你最初对这件事产生兴趣的原因——让每个人都理解。我知道最后还有一个整体传达的环节来解决这个问题。
好,很酷。所以冲刺我们已经有了。基本上,你有了三个要投入的战略支柱,有了一个如果发布后会是什么样子的标题,还有一些带有”我们如何可能”(how might we)的解决方案思路。接下来呢?
Chandra Janakiraman: 对。下一个阶段是设计冲刺(design sprint),设计冲刺可以由战略工作组中的设计人员来主导。如果你记得的话,工作组里有工程、产品设计和数据,所以设计人员可以主导这个阶段,PM 在这个过程中可以稍微退居幕后。设计冲刺的输入就是三个战略支柱以及与之关联的”我们如何可能”(how might we)。
设计冲刺的目的不是得出”我们应该开发这些功能”。这不是设计冲刺的目的。设计冲刺是要生成大量说明性概念,把战略变得鲜活起来,因为一图胜千言。很多时候,即使你的战略文档里用了正确的措辞,人们还是会挠头——“你到底什么意思?你们要做什么?“而说明性概念确实能让人有一个抓手——“哦,我明白了。这就是你们最终要根据这个战略做出来的东西。”
生成力越强越好。有时候如果你做的是 Google Ventures 的设计冲刺,你甚至可以用用户测试其中一部分,稍微打磨一下。这里的目标不是做出可以直接开发的设计稿,而是生成概念。有了这些之后,基本上设计冲刺就完成了。设计冲刺有不同流派,我不展开讲了。你可以依赖你的设计负责人来决定最合适的方式,但输入和输出是需要特别强调的。输入必须是战略支柱,输出必须是大量说明性概念来解释每个战略支柱。你甚至可以为每个战略支柱设一个章节,把那些概念插入其中。思路就是这样。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我们接下来会过几个例子,让这一切变得非常具体。你提到了 design sprint 的方法,我们请过那本书的作者来上过播客。不过他们那次聊的不是 design sprint 本身,而是他们另一本关于生产力的书,叫 Make Time。我们还请过他们在 Google Ventures 的同事,他设计了一种靶心冲刺(bullseye sprint),也是一种很有意思的冲刺。这是一种帮助你确定 ICP、决定产品聚焦人群以及这如何指导产品方向的新方法。
Chandra Janakiraman: 哦,对。有意思。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这是你在这里可以用的另一种冲刺。输入是——这是我们三个要投入的方向,比如发现、相关性、隐私。输出是——这些概念图展示了它可能长什么样,让大家开始动脑子。到这一步基本上就是一组放在文档里的线框图?
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好,酷。太棒了。那就是一周。又是一个冲刺。PM 这可以稍微歇一歇了。
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 设计师来主导。
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 工程师更像是这个过程中的输入和思维伙伴,我猜。
Chandra Janakiraman: 他们是可选的。
Lenny Rachitsky: 可选的,但理想情况下还是让他们参与,因为你希望所有最好的点子都在里面。
Chandra Janakiraman: 对。
撰写战略文档:把所有素材编织成故事
Lenny Rachitsky: 好,接下来呢?
Chandra Janakiraman: 下一步就是写文档。这基本上是 PM 应该独立承担的工作,但好消息是 PM 不需要从零开始。有太多好的素材可以写了。如果你记得的话,有大量的用户洞察、行为洞察,大量的竞争分析。还有三个战略支柱、“我们如何可能”(how might we)、制胜愿景(winning aspiration),以及一大堆说明性概念。
很多产品负责人会有一种创作上的阻塞感。在这里这个问题完全被解决了,因为你手头有大量优质素材。但我必须说,这并不让这份工作变得更轻松。你仍然需要把一个好故事编织出来。所以我觉得这需要一到两周。这个阶段更多是组合、连接和编辑,用所有这些组件讲出一个连贯的故事。但这些构建模块本身是非常扎实且有说服力的。
Lenny Rachitsky: 你有没有一个模板,或者你喜欢在战略文档中包含的章节?当一个人坐下来开始写的时候,你希望看到哪些标题?
Chandra Janakiraman: 我觉得你几乎可以拿那些构建模块作为模板的指引。先从更宏观的背景开始,谈谈领导层对整个这项工作的期望。然后进入关键洞察与分析,包括用户洞察、行为洞察、竞争分析。接着是战略支柱,你要解释它们,也要解释为什么。在附录中,你要附上战略冲刺第二天生成的完整表格,包括筛选标准。这非常重要,因为大多数人会问,“你为什么选了这几个?“这基本上就是你的可辩护性所在。
然后你要有一个非常大胆的制胜愿景(winning aspiration),这是整个文档的核心之一。你把说明性概念嵌入到每个战略支柱的章节中,让整个文档读起来流畅。最后,你用一些对齐问题收尾,比如,“这些感觉对吗?有什么我们遗漏的吗?“这样就为后续会议中建立了一个对齐的框架。
战略文档的结构参考
Lenny Rachitsky: 我翻出了《Playing to Win》,我知道你也会从中汲取灵感,实际上 Roger Martin 也曾上过播客聊过这些内容。我觉得按照你描述的方式来拆分战略文档的话,他提出了五个需要回答的问题。
第一个其实就是你的制胜愿景(winning aspiration)是什么。所以我特别喜欢你把这个纳入进来。你的文档可以是这样的路径:你的制胜愿景是什么?你在哪里竞争?你要进入什么市场?你如何赢?要赢必须具备哪些能力?以及需要什么样的管理体系?
我们会附上这个框架的链接,以防大家在思考战略时需要一个辅助工具。另外,有没有什么我们可以链接给大家的资料,来展示你喜欢怎么构思这份文档?如果没有的话,你做一个可供大家借用的模板会很棒。
Chandra Janakiraman: 我很乐意分享整个流程的流程图和模板。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太好了。那写这份文档大概需要多长时间?
Chandra Janakiraman: 大约一到两周,我觉得主要是独立完成的工作,到最终产出一份非常精炼的文档,然后我们用它来推进推广。
Lenny Rachitsky: 说独立完成,我猜你会在整合过程中拉上战略工作组的人来获取反馈,还是说你就是一个人关起门来写,然后……
Chandra Janakiraman: 我会尽量少拉他们进来,因为他们已经在整个过程中贡献了很多。所以我会说,到最后当然可以——一旦你有了初稿,分享给他们看是好的,但我不太会在这一步占用他们太多时间,因为他们已经投入了很多。
Lenny Rachitsky: 明白了,好的。
那你见过这份文档大概有多少页?有没有一个经验法则?
Chandra Janakiraman: 不会太长。大概三到四页,然后附录里会有很多补充内容……比如我提到的那张表格,以及很多其他的说明性概念。也许你在正文里只用了少数几个说明性概念,其余的可以放在附录中。
我觉得通常领导者会有一个诉求:“好的,我们接下来要做什么?“但很重要的一点是,不要把路线图放进战略文档里,因为战略文档应该与路线图分离。它是路线图的配套。虽然大家会感兴趣,有时候你可以在附录里放一个示例路线图,但我会尽量保持文档的干净,让它专注于战略本身。
战略的推广(Rollout)
Lenny Rachitsky: 那么到这一步,你基本上已经把战略制定出来了,下一步——我想你叫它推广(rollout),就是你开始真正把它推行下去。我们来聊聊这个。不过值得注意的是,到目前为止已经花了多少周。大概六周左右的工作,你就有了公司或产品的战略方案?
Chandra Janakiraman: 完全正确。我想你现在大概处于整个流程的最后两到三周,而非常关键的最后一步就是推广。我会从我称之为”守门人”(gatekeepers)开始。这些人是你必须在推进之前逐一获得对齐和认可的。人数不会太多,大概两到三个人。我会先跟他们做预沟通,获得他们的认可。
Lenny Rachitsky: 所以这些是跟守门人一对一的会议?
Chandra Janakiraman: 是一对一的会议。没错。
然后还有更大一群我称之为关键干系人的人,受战略影响的各方、不同职能的负责人等等。这可以通过异步方式完成,也可以通过集体评审来进行。再然后可能还有一系列的团队路演。有很多不同的做法,但我觉得最有效的是路演形式,每场大约八到十人,这样大家更自在地提问,也更像对话。
这个阶段的目标是把战略落地,而不是去征求太多反馈,所以这是一个微妙的平衡。同时,你也不想显得太过僵硬。所以平衡非常微妙。当大家提问时,你可以做澄清,也可以在文档中加入澄清内容,但我不太会去改——最重要的东西,三个战略支柱,我不会改。我会用框架来捍卫它,但如果有人说,“你筛选标准导致排名结果的理由确实存在很好的反对意见,“那重新考虑一下也是可以的。在我五六次实践中没见过这种情况,但理论上是有可能的。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这个方法的核心,听起来就是你在前期做了大量的铺垫工作,让你最终落在一个大致正确的位置上。
好的,这就是推广。听你讲的时候我在想,假设你是一个团队里的 PM,比如你在做隐私方向,你是一个 IC 层级的 PM,在推进战略工作。你怎么考虑把你经理纳入进来?在这个过程中,什么时候开始跟他说”这是我们计划的,这是我们在想的”,确保他们认可?因为我可以想象这个战略工作组在旁边埋头干活、埋头干活、埋头干活。“好了,我们准备好推广了。“结果经常会出现,“等等,公司还有其他一堆事情在推进,我们没有资源。“你什么时候把他们拉进来?你怎么看待这类干系人?
Chandra Janakiraman: 那些更了解组织运作的 PM,大概会在整个过程中与经理保持相当同步。我觉得经理毫无疑问会成为领导层访谈中的一个受访者,所以你能了解经理对这项工作的期望是什么。
战略冲刺中的经理同步
Chandra Janakiraman: 然后到了战略冲刺第二天确定战略支柱的时候,你大概想快速跟经理做一个预沟通,说:“嘿,你看,目前的趋势是这样的,这些是我们大概不会去做的事情”,看看有没有什么问题。再往后,你实际上会需要经理在一些更大的会议上支持你,所以要争取他们的帮助。所以我觉得这很大程度上取决于每个人的风格,但我建议在整个过程中跟他们保持相当一致。不过也不需要太正式太重,保持轻量就好。
Lenny Rachitsky: 很好,对我来说很有道理。还有一点……
我们不可能用一个框架就解决所有人的问题,也许快速谈谈资源的问题。你在思考战略的时候,比如战略的一部分是不是应该包括”哦,我们还需要这些资源”?这方面有什么想法?然后我想进入一些你实际运用这套方法的具体案例。
Chandra Janakiraman: 实际上我不建议在战略阶段考虑资源问题,因为你在这个阶段说的是”这些是我们的重点领域”,资源分配的问题在路线图阶段才会变得更相关。因为那时候你才会说:“好吧,我们把工程资源的百分之多少放在战略支柱 A 上,百分之多少放在 B 上,百分之多少放在 C 上?具体要建什么东西?“所以这是一个路线图问题,而不是战略问题。
Lenny Rachitsky: 所以到整个流程结束的时候,推广的一部分就是制定实际的路线图。我们不会深入讲这部分。那可以是第二期内容,解决所有 PM 的问题,教他们流程中的每一个步骤,但我们就在这里截断——你有了一个正在推广的战略。
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好。我们来过几个你实际运用这套方法的案例,让它更加具体。我知道你有几个公司案例想分享,是你做过的战略。
Chandra Janakiraman: 在分享案例之前,我觉得还有三个要点可以总结一下这个流程,然后我会分享两个案例,Lenny。
Lenny Rachitsky: 完美。
这套流程为什么有效
Chandra Janakiraman: 我认为这套流程有效,首先是因为它内置了大量的对齐——团队内部的对齐和领导层的对齐。它不会被认为是”哦,这个 PM 跑到一边写了份战略文档,但大部分内容我都不认同”。这背后其实有一个很根本的……它回到人类心理学——来自你自己的东西,你会觉得更熟悉、更容易接受。所以这份文档实际上不是出自 PM 之手,PM 是在引导这个过程,它实际上来自战略工作组,而战略工作组的成员就是各团队的负责人。同时领导层的意见也已经融入其中,所以它确实很有团队代表性。因此在推广的时候,希望不会出现太大的分歧。我确实见过这种情况,见过它运作良好。
第二是结果更好。你能得到更好的问题定义,更好的战略支柱,因为参与思考的头脑比只有一个产品负责人要多得多。
第三是你有清晰的、可辩护的标准和产出。如果你想改变它,就像我说的,你需要回到标准和评分体系,然后说:“好吧,我们为什么认为这需要改变?“而且一旦你这样做了,即使是改变也很容易论证。所以它创造了很多好处,但最终——我们后面也会稍微提到——它必须通过执行来检验,这是最重要的事情。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我觉得有必要强调一下,没有任何框架、方法论或 playbook 能保证你拥有正确的战略、保证你的公司会成功。它永远只是尽最大努力做出的一个计划。正如那句话所说:“没有哪个好计划能在首次接触客户后还活着。”
Chandra Janakiraman: 完全同意。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好,我们来聊聊具体案例。
案例:Zynga 的战略清晰度
Chandra Janakiraman: 我想讲的第一个案例是在 Zynga 的经历。我很久以前在 Zynga,那是 Facebook 上社交游戏的黄金时代。Zynga 给我留下极深印象的一点是这家公司的战略清晰度以及战略的制度化编码。顺便说一下,这不是我的功劳——我去的时候作为一个初级 PM,这些东西已经在那里了。但那里的战略清晰度真的非常令人印象深刻,而且从所有的游戏中都能明显观察到。
如果你去看他们所有的游戏,有三个元素在所有游戏中都非常一致。第一个是病毒式游戏循环。这些游戏循环要求你必须拥有一个社交网络,而且是活跃的社交网络才能成功和游玩,它非常紧密地、而且以贴合游戏故事的方式融入了核心玩法。这是第一个。
第二个是”付费完成”的理念。你不是花钱跳过整个体验,你付的只是完成它的费用。这样一来,不同的人根据自己有多少时间,会完成一个进度任务或一段游戏内容的不同百分比,你只需要为剩余的部分付费就能通过整个体验。这就形成了一种有趣的体验——人们在其中投入了大量精力,他们不介意为了最后 20% 或 30% 付费。这非常有趣,因为它为不同消费弹性和不同空闲时间的人创造了市场。这个设计非常非常巧妙,而且同样在所有游戏中都非常普遍。
第三个是网络。Zynga 的所有游戏在顶部都有一个跨游戏推广模块,会推广其他游戏。Zynga 的网络才是最重要的东西,而不是单个游戏。这三点用我们现在的术语来说就是战略支柱,同时也有明确的非重点领域。重点不在于高保真图形,不在于复杂的游戏机制,这在公司文化和运营中被编码得极其清晰,而且与当时的环境完美匹配。Facebook 平台在社交图谱和传播渠道方面提供了强力支持,各个游戏工作室通过不同的游戏以一种对网络持续增值的方式做出贡献。
比如我当时在 Zynga 圣地亚哥工作室,我们带领公司进入了全新的游戏品类,比如动作策略、三消解谜游戏,但我们始终忠于公司的战略支柱,必须发明新的机制让这些战略支柱在我们引入的新品类中也能运转。最令人着迷的是,公司实际上有整套系统来强化这些战略支柱。
比如当时的数据基础设施在那个年代就非常出色,真正支撑了这些战略支柱。还有一个叫 Central Product Management 的职能,基本上负责传播最佳实践,确保各款游戏对网络有增值作用,所有这些环节协同运转来增强和巩固那些战略支柱,效果非常好。这家公司如果我没记错的话做到了十亿美元收入,是当时历史上最快达到十亿美元的公司。
Lenny Rachitsky: 是收入。
Chandra Janakiraman: 是收入。
战略失效与环境变迁
Chandra Janakiraman: 这套体系一直运转得很好,直到环境发生变化,市场转向了移动端。基本上……回到之前那个共振的概念,一旦转向移动端,产品与市场之间那种深层共振就暂时消失了。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这里面信息量很大。我觉得有一点很有意思,正如你所说,你们做的战略工作——听起来耗时不少,可能八到十二周——这套东西在 Zynga 持续了很长时间。所以我觉得需要记住,你做的这些工作,即使……
一方面感觉时间很长,另一方面,要找出最能帮助企业增长的关键要素,这点时间又显得很少。在 Zynga 的例子中就是这三个要素。顺便说一句,这三个支柱并不是从这个方法论中诞生的,但它让你看到了极度清晰的力量……
Chandra Janakiraman: 清晰,没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 让一切围绕一个共识展开——我们都同意,这就是我们获胜的三种方式。好的。然后我想说第三点,我还是想强调只做极少数赌注和投入的力量。所以始终是三个。我也一直建议三个。有些人会说”三到五个”,但我觉得……你就是会发现,三个通常是正确的数字,对吧?尽量、尽量努力地把数字控制在一个?
Chandra Janakiraman: 我同意。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。
还有一点,差异化也非常重要。你分享的 Zynga 的三个要素,就是 Zynga 独有且差异化的东西。网络效应、应用互相驱动、付费完成——这些都是 Zynga 想明白的,“这就是我们的制胜方式”,区别于市场上的其他产品。
Chandra Janakiraman: 完全同意。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。关于 Zynga 还有什么想补充的吗?
战略的隐性认知
Chandra Janakiraman: 这都是事后回顾,Lenny,当时在 Zynga 我其实相当天真,我意识到……事实上这正是我从 Zynga 加入 Headspace 时产生盲区的原因,就是意识到你甚至需要一套战略。这就是我一开始提到的那个故事。
原因在于 Zynga 把战略做得太好了,以至于我在 Zynga 时根本没有锻炼那块肌肉的需求,我们只需要想出新的游戏来应用那套战略就行了。所以到了 Headspace,我必须从零开始培养这块肌肉。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这就像那个鱼的寓言——一条老鱼游过来问”水怎么样?“小鱼一脸茫然,等老鱼走了之后说”什么是水?“你根本意识不到自己身处其中,直到它消失了才察觉。
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: 趁着这个话题我还想强调一点,就是聚焦的力量。在 Zynga 的例子里,就是这种聚焦——我们做的每件事都要服务于这三点,我们做的一切都是为了赢。我觉得你讲的这些中,聚焦是一个反复出现的主题。流程的每一步都是先把注意力集中在这一部分上。所以我觉得这是一条非常有趣的线索,就是聚焦的力量。
Chandra Janakiraman: 对。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。
现在你还有一个在 Meta 时期的例子。
Meta 的战略实践:Oculus 与 Portal
Chandra Janakiraman: Meta 有一个很有意思的例子,我认为它说明了一个不同的道理……
当时我在 Reality Labs 为几个产品增长团队搭建产品战略,涉及 Oculus——当时正在开发 Quest II,这是一款独立头显——以及 Portal,我们的视频会议产品。我们组建了这些团队来推动产品增长,基本上就是通过软件功能来带动硬件销售。我们走了一遍刚才描述的流程,建立了战略支柱,而且 Portal 和 Oculus 的战略支柱相当相似。
Lenny Rachitsky: 顺便说一句,我很喜欢 Portal。我是它的大粉丝……很遗憾它已经不在了。
Chandra Janakiraman: 这个工作产出了一些大家都知道的功能,比如 Oculus 推荐计划、Portal 回忆集成——你可以在 Portal 上看到一条 Facebook 回忆——Facebook 动态中的赞助广告。我们当时还在 Facebook 应用里有一个板块,展示来自 Facebook 生态系统的其他产品,后来也是来自 Meta 生态系统的产品。这些都出自那项工作。
大约过了十八个月,两者的结果截然不同。一方面,Oculus 的努力极其成功,我们把它并入了 Meta 的 VR 事业部,至今仍然是一个非常成功的项目。而 Portal 的努力实际上没有达到我们期望的效果,我们把它关停了,基本上将团队重新部署到了其他项目上。这非常有趣。基本上是同一套战略流程,我们得到了几乎相同的战略支柱,最终却是完全不同的结果。
战略的真正价值在于执行
我认为这说明了关于战略最重要的一点:战略本身没有业务价值。它基本上就是一份写了几个字的文档。我认为只有当你产生业务影响和结果时,它才开始积累价值。而这发生在你真正用执行去检验战略的时候。
所以归根结底,任何战略的好坏只取决于它产生的结果。因此,人必须具备智识上的诚实、谦逊和勇气,去承认什么时候有效、什么时候无效。有时候情况是你的战略中某些部分有效,某些部分无效,你必须从一些方向上撤出,在另一些方向上加倍投入。但我确实认为这种评估非常关键,就是用执行来检验战略。
Lenny Rachitsky: 说得太好了。战略放在文档里就毫无价值,价值来自于它是否真正产生影响并取得成功。这让我想到产品经理也是一样——一个 PM 在帮你推动成果之前没有任何价值。
顺着这个思路往下说,一个重要的推论是,你不想花太长时间只是在想战略,你想花尽可能少的时间得出一个强有力的假设,然后开始验证这是否是正确的方向。所以我很喜欢你的方法,它是一个中间地带——给它足够的时间,但不要花三四五个月去打磨一份也许有一天会用到的文档。
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
确实存在六个月流程的空间,我们一会儿会谈到。但对于 small S 来说,我不建议超过两三个月。
Lenny Rachitsky: 再次强调,small S 战略面向的是未来几年,而不是……
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错,它有一个时间范围。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。
关于 Meta 或 Zynga 的例子还有什么想补充的吗?
Chandra Janakiraman: 我觉得这些都是相当好的经验教训。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。
从 small S 到 big S
那么,我们来聊聊 big S 战略。什么时候应该用这种方式来做战略,具体步骤是什么?
Chandra Janakiraman: 到目前为止我们讨论的一切,都是我所说的 small S,它非常聚焦于问题本身。基本上就是我所说的当下向前推演。
就好像你已经有一个产品在那里了,它有一堆问题。我们怎么让它变得更好……我们应该在哪些领域发力才能获得最大影响?这通常由产品经理主导。Elon Musk 有一句很有意思的话:“生活的意义不应该仅仅是解决问题。“他说这句话的语境是关于成为多行星物种的愿景,但我认为这对每家公司都成立,无论大小。战略中需要有一个令人向往的、很酷的成分。我称之为 big S 战略。
我会以更高的层次来讲这部分,因为我认为 big S 战略的构建方式更灵活一些。它通常耗时更长,可能长达六个月。方法与 small S 有所不同。你要从公司的使命和愿景出发,做一些关于长期文化趋势、社会趋势、竞争趋势、技术趋势的基础调研,这些都作为触发创意的背景。然后你要利用这些背景,再次进行领导层访谈,但这次的目标是生成长期的未来愿景。
构建未来愿景
在这些访谈中你可以问的问题包括:“五年后用户的一天是什么样的?产品在五到十年后会是什么样子?十年后世界为什么变得更好了?那个图景中最令人兴奋的版本是什么?“然后把所有这些输入收集起来,归纳成我认为大约三个凝聚的”洞”。
我的意思是三个——至少是相当不同的——对未来的描述。举个很简单的例子,假设你在为旅行的未来做 big S 战略。你可能有一个未来是完全自主旅行,从 A 到 B 几乎不需要人的参与。另一个未来是极致速度,你可以在全世界范围内从 A 到 B 极其快速地到达。第三个未来是没有旅行,是虚拟旅行,你依然有旅行的感受,也能达到同样的目的。
这些是不同的未来,它们有不同的属性,包含不同的要素。一旦你生成了这些不同的未来,你实际上要带着学习目标去制作原型。把这些原型想象成概念车。汽车行业使用概念车这个概念。概念车有趣的地方在于它们永远不会被商业化。它们通常是为了激发灵感而制造的,可能会取其中某个部分——也许是一项技术或一个功能——然后将其引入主流生产。
所以把这些原型当作概念车来看待,它们真正驱动灵感,并可能给你一些可以推进的小 nugget。然后你开始用这些原型与潜在用户做研究,回答关键问题,发现那些能与人产生共振的元素。你淘汰掉一大堆东西,合并一大堆东西,最终确定一些有价值的制胜组件。
接下来,你要把那些跑通的东西推入产品——投入实际产品中进行测试。这实际上是你想要通过测试逐步验证、从规模化角度理解它是否可行的东西。而这整个过程通常不是由 PM 团队主导的,而是由设计和用户研究(UXR)主导。这是刻意为之的——它更开放、更偏向从零开始。当人们做 big S 的时候,他们实际上处于一种非常不同的心智空间。所以路线图实际上是通过 small S 和 big S 工作的结合来构建的。举个例子,在 VRChat,我们同时在做 small S 和 big S 工作,Lenny。它们是作为并行的工作流来运行的。产品管理团队主导 small S 工作,设计团队主导 big S 工作。这些都是非常令人兴奋的东西。两个工作流产出的内容都非常令人兴奋,而且截然不同。我们实际上是从两端建桥,两个工作流最终汇入同一条路线图。这几乎就像两条支流最终汇合成一条河。我会这样来理解它。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这里面有太多东西太……
Chandra Janakiraman: 我会这样来理解它。
small S 与 big S 的协作节奏
Lenny Rachitsky: 这里面有太多东西太有意思了。一个是我们在播客上已经有过几次这样的对话——人们思考和看待世界的方式不同。有些人非常开放、有创造力,能想得很远,是那种天马行空的人。有些人,比如我,就是”我们下一步做什么?怎么推动这个指标?我们来聊聊具体能做的事情?“对于这个 big S 的方法,我觉得我听到的是:要确保主导它的人是非常开放、有创造力、天马行空类型的人。如果你是那种”这怎么能推动我们的指标?“的人,也许你不应该主导它,把缰绳交给别人。
还有,同时推进这两条线的时间节奏,可能很难让它们完全对齐。所以我听到的是,这些工作流有些时候是持续进行的。
Chandra Janakiraman: 对。
Lenny Rachitsky: 它们都会影响你正在做的事情。你不需要有一个完美的——
Chandra Janakiraman: 我同意这一点。对。
Lenny Rachitsky: 好的。这种大格局的思考我很喜欢,因为有时候——你可能也有这种体会——设计师经常会说:“我们做的都是这些无聊的、渐进式的优化工作。我想想更大的东西。“这很好,而这就是一个非常好的杠杆,可以在一个受控的环境中允许人们这样做。好的,我们来放开想。想想这在未来可能是什么样。同时,确保我们短期内在推动一些指标,但也要给自己一个想得更大的机会。很多时候,最大的创意就是这样产生的。所以我很喜欢它给了两种思维方式以空间——想得更大,想得更远。
关于这两种方法还有什么有趣的东西想分享的吗?如果没有的话,我想聊聊 AI,谈谈它怎么影响这些工作,以及其他一些事情。
Chandra Janakiraman: 好的,好的。我想最后简短地谈一下做这些事情时的感受,然后我们可以过渡到 AI——
Lenny Rachitsky: 太好了,太好了。
做战略过程中的心路历程
Chandra Janakiraman: ……Lenny。所以我认为无论是 big S 还是 small S,这些过程在走到终点时都是极其令人满足的。一旦走到最后,它们会带来极深的满足感。但就像生活中任何在终点令人深感满足的事情一样,在过程中你会经历大量的挑战、挫折和死胡同,你会产生很多自我怀疑,心想”嘿,我到底能不能走到终点?“我只是想把这一点正常化。这其实是正常的,我希望人们在经历时能有所预期。而我认为这也正是为什么当你到达那个点、开始看到各种东西连接起来的时候,它会变得更加有意义。
第二点是,主导这些工作的人必须非常擅长连接不同的观点,并让所有人保持前进。这不容易,非常难,因为有时候有人会把你拉向不同的方向,你必须让这一切维系在一起。
挑选合适的人选
Chandra Janakiraman: 所以在挑选具备这种能力的人——那些善于整合、善于连接不同观点的人——方面,我认为这对于这些工作的成功至关重要。而且在某种程度上,他们需要低自我意识,因为这不是说……他们当然可以提出自己的想法,但归根结底,核心是把团队凝聚在一起。所以这才是你在寻找这些负责人时应该看重的技能。
第三点,我想说的是,我会以一种更轻松、更有趣的方式来推进这些工作,因为这是一个高强度、漫长的过程。人们会疲惫,会觉得像在苦熬。所以在过程中注入一点趣味性,能让参与其中的人感觉更容易承受。这些就是我关于这两套流程的一些想法。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这段背景非常重要,尤其是”整个过程中都会令人挫败”这一点。听你描述起来,一切听起来很美好、很顺畅。但现实中,过程中有大量的痛苦……因为你在做艰难的决策。很多人有自己的意见和视角,数据也……很少从一开始就有明确的答案,所以我认为这是非常重要的背景信息。
我其实想回到你之前提到的 Elon 关于生活不应该只是解决问题的那番话。我觉得那句话的一部分是说,我们应该去创造那些令人惊叹、令人兴奋、令人振奋的东西,而不是仅仅解决眼前的痛点。他在这方面非常擅长,就是激励人们去想象”可以是什么”,我们应该把眼界放得比现在大得多。
我之前参加过一次 Zuck 的访谈,他说了同样的话。他可能是受了 Elon 的启发。他说:“我在职业生涯中已经到了一个阶段,我想要做的是那些真正令人敬畏的东西,而不仅仅是——”
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: ——又一个社交功能。“所以我觉得这是一个非常重要的观点。这其中蕴含着巨大的力量。人们会非常兴奋——天哪,我没想到 Headspace 能变成这样,VRChat 能变成这样,Meta 能变成这样。让人真正被激发、被鼓舞,这真的非常强大。我很喜欢他们分享的这个如何做到这一点的流程。
我其实还没有总结过,所以我把它放在面前。我来分享一下这套最大化流程的五个步骤。首先是准备阶段,然后是使命,你梳理使命、愿景、趋势,采访人们了解他们认为未来的走向。然后你构想三种不同的未来图景——如果你去做正在考虑的事情,未来可能是什么样子。接着你构建原型,看看它可能是什么样?然后你在产品中实际测试这些原型,这一点我非常喜欢,用来逐步降低这些想法的风险。这帮助你收敛到”这是我们想要执行的实际计划”,然后将其转化为路线图。
Chandra Janakiraman: 对,对。原型的第一轮测试是通过 UXR 进行的,所以更像是概念测试或针对少量用户的原型测试。然后你将其综合,进入实际的产品测试。
Lenny Rachitsky: 很好。基本上就是大胆的想法,然后一路降低风险、逐步验证——
Chandra Janakiraman: 没错。
Lenny Rachitsky: ——通过各种方式来确认”好的,也许这真的可行,让我们试试。“好。还有两件事。一件是我想简短聊聊 AI,谈谈它如何影响这项工作。第二件是给听众做一个框架回顾,因为你们可能会觉得”天哪,信息量太大了,我记了好多笔记。“让我们给一个总结,方便大家记住并使用。
好,那我们来聊聊 AI。AI 工具如何帮助你改进这个流程?人们可以怎样利用 AI 让这一切变得更容易?
AI 对战略制定的影响
Chandra Janakiraman: 首先声明,我不是什么 AI 未来主义者,但我会阅读大部分最新涌现的内容,也使用一些工具。正在发生的一切确实令人着迷。而且我认为它肯定会对战略制定产生影响。所以我分享的是在战略制定的语境下,AI 在哪些方面与我的体验产生了共振。
首先,我认为最基本的想法是,在战略制定过程中,每个人都应该利用助手,使用我们现有的基本工具。有两种方式让 AI 在战略制定过程中为你提供帮助。第一种是辅助准备阶段的研究工作。这可以是竞争分析——比如,你可以从大量竞争对手的发布说明中进行趋势分析。你可以梳理出”竞争对手的发布说明中体现的投资主题是什么?“或者你可以对竞争对手的产品做评论分析,了解什么在用户中产生了共振,什么没有。你还可以让 ChatGPT 这样的工具在某个维度上对几个玩家做正面对比,生成一张热力图,展示它们各自的优劣。你也可以提出开放式问题,比如”嘿,为什么这个新产品这么成功?为什么它能获得这么多用户?“通常你会得到一些不错的假设。所以在准备阶段,从竞争分析的角度充分利用 AI。
第二种是一种叫做生成模拟战略(mock strategy)的方法。我知道 Claire Rowe 在你的峰会上讲过这个,我认为这完全正确,应该作为战略流程的关键输入——就是向这些工具请求一份模拟战略。我称之为模拟战略,因为它几乎是答案,但又不完全是。我的发现是,这些模拟战略——比如假设我现在支持 VRChat,我问它”嘿,VRChat 应该做什么?我们该怎么增长?“它就会生成一份模拟战略。
我发现,第一,它出人意料地好。信息量非常充分,表达也非常清晰。我也发现,它最大的优势同时也是某种程度上的弱点——这些模拟战略往往非常全面、非常广泛,涉及大量领域的投资建议。基本上,如果你还记得的话,战略的核心在于非常聚焦、非常有针对性。所以这些模拟战略成为一个有趣的输入,但选择最重要的投资领域的责任仍然在团队身上。迫使做出取舍这一步,我认为仍然是人类需要完成的环节,需要那层额外的判断力,这是高度依赖于公司具体情境的。所以这就是我认为大家应该立刻开始做的事情。
我认为从中期来看——可能并不遥远,而且很可能比我们所有人预期的都要快——会出现一种让我产生共振的模型,就是多智能体模型(multi-agent model)。你可能有战略制定工作流的不同组件被自动化了。你有一个战略智能体,你有一个路线图或功能智能体,也许还有一个工程智能体,它们可以相互通信,循环处理结果并进行迭代。IBM 的 Armand Ruiz 在一些方面有不错的定义框架,他经常在 LinkedIn 上分享这些内容。
AI 驱动的自动化实验
Chandra Janakiraman: 让我们举一个简单的例子。对于新用户引导(onboarding)这样的主题,我很容易想象出类似的场景。每家公司和产品团队都对新用户引导体验极为关注。如今已经有了先进的实验框架。假设你预期会迎来一波流量高峰,有一些实验框架比如多臂老虎机(multi-armed bandits),可以帮助你实时地、非常快速地找到最优变体。这类方法还有各种变体,比如上下文多臂老虎机(contextual multi-armed bandits)、组合老虎机(combinatorial bandits)。
但有趣的是,它们仍然依赖于人类来设计变体——即你测试的不同变体。尽管实验框架非常精密,变体仍然是由人生成的。现在想象一下,如果这些变体可以由生成式 AI 来生成,并接入这些先进的实验框架。可能性将变得无限。你可能会发现,制胜的新用户引导体验竟然是你人类思维根本想象不到的。而且它可能对每个用户都不一样,对每个地区都不一样,等等。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这个想法太酷了,我必须说。一个智能体持续运行,不断思考如何优化你的新用户引导,提出你可能需要审核的概念,比如”不错,试试看。“然后它就执行了,发布一个实验来跑,持续不断地优化你的新用户引导。天哪,这个想法太棒了。我觉得每家公司都会拥有这个。
然后这让我想到,会有某家公司打造出最好的新用户引导智能体。那就是你愿意付费购买的东西。
Chandra Janakiraman: 完全同意,完全同意。
Lenny Rachitsky: 天哪,太好了。好。太棒的想法了。
产品团队的角色演变
Chandra Janakiraman: 是的,是的。那么问题就变成了,我们的工作是什么?我们的工作变成了架构越来越大的产品模块来利用这些智能体。随着时间的推移,被自动化的工作复杂度会逐步递进。新用户引导在工作复杂度上可能算是相对简单的一端。当你深入到更深层的体验时,最终 AI 也会触及那些领域。
所以很有意思的是,当这一切发生的时候,我所描述的一些手动流程会显得非常过时。但我认为那些基本功依然会有很长的生命周期,在你思考这些自动化框架时也是如此。
Lenny Rachitsky: 天哪,这个话题本身就可以单独做一期播客了。我写过一篇文章,讲的是为什么产品经理是科技行业中在 AI 时代最有优势的岗位,我会把链接放出来——听了你讲到智能体和 AI 能完成多少工作之后,大家会感觉好一些。
AI 能否制定战略?
我还有一个简短的想法,然后我们进入收尾环节。我和一个朋友一直在辩论关于 AI 与战略的话题。我的感觉是,理论上,AI 工具在为你制定战略方面会非常出色,因为逻辑就是——这里有所有的数据,这里有你需要知道的一切,我们怎么赢?对我来说,这恰恰是 AI 最擅长的事情——这里有数据,这是我找到的一条通往制胜的路径。但我朋友也提出,这恰恰可能是 AI 最不擅长的,因为战略需要人、需要上下文、需要讨论,需要所有这些东西。
我也不知道,似乎是二选一。要么 AI 在帮助你制定战略方面极其出色,要么是最差的。
Chandra Janakiraman: 有意思。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我很好奇。我很好奇,你对这个问题有什么快速的想法吗?你站在哪一边?
Chandra Janakiraman: 我认为会有一个交叉点,在那时人类的判断力将逊色于能够同时处理多个信号的系统。这里还有一个横向思维的要素,我分享一个简单的例子。
开特斯拉全自动驾驶功能的车的人都知道,当你转弯时,人类的视野是相当狭窄的。你必须左右两边都看到,然后把两个信号结合起来才能做出决定,对吧?而车有六个摄像头,可以同时处理所有画面,它不是按顺序做决策,而是并行处理。正因如此,它在转弯时充满信心。所以确实存在这样一个交叉点,在脑海中同时把握多个信号的能力——AI 会更强。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这完全说得通。这让我想到,未来会有一个战略智能体一直待在那里,持续寻找优化你战略的方法,并指引你转向另一个方向。天哪,未来太疯狂了,正如我之前说过的。
好,我们来为正在做笔记的听众快速回顾一下整个流程。他们可能会想,“好的,给我一个概览。“我们就快速过一遍,然后进入激动人心的快问快答环节。
产品战略流程回顾
Chandra Janakiraman: 我把我们讨论过的所有内容做一个快速回顾。产品战略,从定义上来说,位于顶层的使命愿景和底层的计划之间。无论是在公司层面还是团队层面,它都坐落于这两者之间。它的作用是迫使你做出选择,将稀缺资源配置到能产生最大影响的方向上。可以把频率选择和共振当作一个类比来思考。理想情况下,它包含三个组成部分:若干聚焦的领域,我们称之为战略支柱(strategic pillars);以及若干明确表示不是重点的领域,并说明原因。以上就是产品战略的全部要义。
其中有一种最小化的版本,聚焦于解决问题,我称之为当下向前推演(present forward),通常在两年的周期内运作。我们使用一个五阶段的流程来实现,大约需要八到十二周。还有一种最大化的流程,聚焦于一个理想化的未来,是从未来回溯的,通常有三、五、十年的周期,同样是五阶段流程,可以持续长达六个月,给足空间来产生令人兴奋的成果。
公司或团队的路线图由最小化和最大化两方面的工作组合构建而成,就像从河流两岸同时建造一座桥。归根结底,任何战略的价值只在于它能产生的成果。所以通过执行来测试和迭代,在有效的方向上加倍投入,在无效的方向上果断转向。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太棒了。我很高兴我们做了这个回顾。在我们进入非常令人兴奋的快问快答之前,你还有什么想分享的,或者想留给听众的吗?
Chandra Janakiraman: 祝大家在战略工作中一切顺利,最终实现个人和业务上的成功。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太好了。我们开始录制之前,我问你这次对话的目标是什么,你的回答就是”在各公司和团队中创造成功的涟漪”,我觉得我们做到了。
Chandra Janakiraman: 谢谢。
快问快答
Lenny Rachitsky: 好。到此为止,我们进入了非常激动人心的快问快答环节。Chandra,准备好了吗?
Chandra Janakiraman: 准备好了。
Lenny Rachitsky: 开始吧。第一个问题:你向别人推荐最多的两三本书是什么?
推荐书单
Chandra Janakiraman: 我很喜欢关于创造力和创新的书,Lenny。我一直比较偏爱的经典之作包括华特·迪士尼的传记。市面上有好几种版本,但我最喜欢的是那本 Triumph of the American Imagination(《美国想象力的胜利》)。有趣的是,书中讲到华特·迪士尼其实比电影更喜欢主题乐园。原因在于他可以不断对主题乐园进行调试。他可以调整游乐设施的位置,可以更换游乐项目,然后直接观察游客进入乐园后的真实反应变化。而电影一旦制作完成就定型了,他便无法再干预。有意思的是,他实际上在”AB 测试”这个术语被发明之前就已经在做这件事了。这本书让人得以一窥他的思维方式,远远走在了时代的前面。
另一部经典是 Ed Catmull 的 Creativity Inc(《创新公司》),讲的是组织中侵蚀创造力的各种负面力量。作为领导者,你如何才能将这些力量挡在门外,确保团队能够持续创新?
还有一本可能没那么知名,但非常值得一读的书——来自 IDEO 的 Tom Kelly 所著的 The Ten Faces of Innovation(《创新的十张面孔》)。书中讲述了团队中需要的不同原型人物,这些角色对于创造出特别的东西至关重要。实际上你需要,比如说有”魔鬼代言人”,你需要研究者,需要民族志学者,需要舞台搭建者。团队中需要所有这些有趣的角色,才能真正做成一件成功的事。所以这几本是我通常会推荐的书。
Lenny Rachitsky: 这挺酷的……第三本书很有意思,我之前没听说过。关于 Creativity Inc,我想快速补充一点,正如你所说,这本书很大篇幅在讲如何避免扼杀好点子。我印象最深的是书中”丑婴儿”的比喻——每一个新想法刚出现时都是一个丑婴儿,大家都想把它扔掉。把这个丑婴儿弄走,我们不想要这东西在身边。而事实上每一个新想法在最初阶段都是丑陋的,你需要做的基本上就是保护这个丑婴儿。不过我也不知道谁会去伤害丑婴儿,那可不是——
Chandra Janakiraman: 是是,感觉有点……嗯。
Lenny Rachitsky: 感觉有点激进。
Chandra Janakiraman: 有点刺耳。
Lenny Rachitsky: 对,刺耳。不过正因为如此它才让人印象深刻,我一直没忘。
最近喜欢的影视
好,下一个问题。最近有没有一部特别喜欢的电影或电视剧?
Chandra Janakiraman: 有的。我们经常陪孩子看动画片。今年有几部不错的电影。我们很喜欢 If(《 imaginary Friend》),讲的是长大以后渐渐遗忘童年记忆的故事,是一部很温暖的电影。当然,我们也看了 Dune II(《沙丘2》),观影体验很棒。不过大部分时间还是被孩子们的动画电影占据了,不管是在家还是去影院。
Lenny Rachitsky: 最近有一部新的《沙丘》电视剧,不知道你看了没有。刚刚在 HBO 上线。算不上最顶级的作品,但能在两部电影之间稍微过一把沙丘瘾——
Chandra Janakiraman: 有意思。
Lenny Rachitsky: 我好像听说第三部电影也在筹备中。
Chandra Janakiraman: 了解。
最近发现的好产品
Lenny Rachitsky: 第三个问题,最近有没有发现一个特别喜欢的产品?
Chandra Janakiraman: 有的。最近几天我一直在玩一个很可爱的小游戏,叫 Capybara Go!,是一个基于标签的策略 RPG 游戏。它的文案非常幽默,还有一只可爱的水豚出去冒险。节奏控制得很好,制作也很精良。这是我最近在玩的游戏。
另外我也在摸索 Bluesky。Bluesky 挺有意思的。我还没养成使用习惯,但它通过社区自生成的信息流来赋能社区,这个概念非常有趣,体验也很不一样。不过这里面也有一个权衡——产品的简洁性和增加复杂度后带来的功能之间需要取舍。看看它后续怎么发展、怎么扩展规模,会很有意思。
人生信条
Lenny Rachitsky: 你有没有一个经常回想的、在工作或生活中觉得有用的人生座右铭?
Chandra Janakiraman: 1995 年有一段 Steve Jobs 的采访,他谈到一个观点:从一个好想法到一个好产品之间,需要经历大量的工匠精神。这句话多年来一直印在我心里。简单来说,做出特别的东西需要付出巨大的努力。反过来说,如果一件事做起来很容易,那它大概也没有那么特别、那么出色。我在做产品的时候经常会想到这一点——这里是否存在足够的痛苦,因为这种痛苦在某种程度上可以作为一个代理指标,来判断我们是否在创造一件出色的作品。
Lenny Rachitsky: 哇。这让我联想到了”创始人模式”。大家都在谈论创始人模式。我觉得创始人模式之所以重要,是因为那些最有投入感、最有激情、最有驱动力去承受那种痛苦并持续改进的人——把一个丑婴儿般的想法变成一个出色的制胜产品——往往需要是创始人本人。所以我觉得这也是为什么它会成为一个趋势——你需要那种驱动力,去——
Chandra Janakiraman: 确实如此。
Lenny Rachitsky: 持续打磨它,而不是说”我想到了点子,你们去实现吧”。
背景里的宝贝
好,最后一个问题。你身后有一个很棒的背景。如果大家在看 YouTube 的话,那是一个非常漂亮的书架背景,有很多物件和书。我好奇里面有没有一件特别想展示的东西或者一本书,是你特别喜欢或引以为豪的。你可以转过身去看看。有没有哪件东西特别引人注目,比如说,“哦,这个是……”
Chandra Janakiraman: 哦,那一定是正中间那张我孩子们的照片,毫无疑问是那里最重要、最珍贵的物品。而且它恰好捕捉到了一个非常独特的时刻——当时他们特别……特别亲密地拥抱着彼此,那是一个他们现在已经不再有的阶段了。现在更多的是,我觉得是竞争和兄妹之间的打闹。但那个瞬间是我最喜欢的。
我还放了一些有趣的东西,比如我是史努比的超级粉丝,所以那里有……我也是披头士乐队的粉丝,所以那张照片其实是一个有趣的混搭——史努比在过马路,而披头士从另一边走过。还有一些多年来对我比较有意义的书。你会看到 Creativity Inc,你会看到 The Ten Faces of Innovation,都在那里。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太棒了。谢谢你分享……孩子们的照片在你居中的时候刚好被挡住了,就像一个小彩蛋。谢谢你分享这些。Chandra,这次对话太棒了,完全达到了我的期望。我想我们一定能制造出你所期望的那个涟漪。
最后两个问题。大家如果想联系你,在网上哪里可以找到你?听众怎样能帮到你?
Chandra Janakiraman: 通过 LinkedIn 联系我是个不错的选择。就像我们之前讨论的那样,如果这次分享能在个人和产品层面都产生那种成功的涟漪效应,我会非常高兴。我希望大家把我分享的这些内容当作一种开源模型来对待。去测试其中的概念,修改它,重新混合它,然后分享哪些有效、哪些无效。归根结底,真正让这一切有趣的,是这个社区最终拥有它,而不是某个个人。这才是最让我开心的事。
Lenny Rachitsky: 太棒了。Chandra,非常感谢你来做客。
Chandra Janakiraman: 非常感谢你的邀请,Lenny,也感谢你为产品社区所做的贡献。
Lenny Rachitsky: 你也一样。大家再见。
感谢大家的收听。如果你觉得这期节目有价值,可以在 Apple Podcasts、Spotify 或你喜欢的播客应用上订阅本节目。也请考虑给我们评分或留言评价,这对其他听众发现这个播客非常有帮助。你可以在 LennysPodcast.com 找到往期所有节目或了解更多关于本节目的信息。下期再见。
术语表
| 原文 | 中文 |
|---|---|
| alignment | 对齐 |
| Armand Ruiz | Armand Ruiz |
| Bluesky | Bluesky |
| bullseye sprint | 靶心冲刺(bullseye sprint) |
| Capybara Go! | Capybara Go! |
| Central Product Management | Central Product Management(中央产品管理) |
| Christina Gilbert | Christina Gilbert |
| Claire Rowe | Claire Rowe |
| CPO | CPO(首席产品官) |
| Creativity Inc | 《创新公司》(Creativity Inc) |
| creator’s block | 创作阻塞感 |
| design sprint | 设计冲刺(design sprint) |
| Ed Catmull | Ed Catmull |
| fertile questions | ”沃土问题”(fertile questions) |
| founder mode | 创始人模式(founder mode) |
| gatekeepers | 守门人(gatekeepers) |
| Good Strategy, Bad Strategy | 《好战略,坏战略》 |
| Google Ventures | Google Ventures |
| Headspace | Headspace |
| how might we | ”我们如何可能”(how might we) |
| ICP | ICP(理想客户画像) |
| IDEO | IDEO |
| illustrative concepts | 说明性概念 |
| key stakeholders | 关键干系人 |
| Lafley | Lafley |
| Make Time | Make Time |
| meta analysis | 元分析 |
| Michael Porter | Michael Porter |
| mock strategy | 模拟战略(mock strategy) |
| multi-agent model | 多智能体模型(multi-agent model) |
| natural frequency | 固有频率 |
| network accretive | 对网络持续增值的 |
| newspaper headline approach | 报纸标题法 |
| Oculus | Oculus |
| OneSchema | OneSchema |
| operator’s guide to strategy | 运营者的策略指南 |
| Playing to Win | 《Playing to Win》 |
| Portal | Portal |
| present forward | 当下向前推演 |
| Quest II | Quest II |
| Reality Labs | Reality Labs |
| resonance | 共振 |
| Richard Rumelt | Richard Rumelt |
| roadmap | 路线图 |
| roadshow | 路演 |
| Roger Martin | Roger Martin |
| rollout | 推广(rollout) |
| small S / big S | small S / big S(小写 s 战略 / 大写 S 战略) |
| smallest strategy | 最小化战略 |
| Steve Jobs | Steve Jobs |
| strategic pillars | 战略支柱 |
| strategy working group | 战略工作组 |
| Sun Tzu | 孙子 |
| The Art of War | 《孙子兵法》 |
| The Ten Faces of Innovation | 《创新的十张面孔》(The Ten Faces of Innovation) |
| Tom Kelly | Tom Kelly |
| Tomer Cohen | Tomer Cohen |
| Triumph of the American Imagination | 《美国想象力的胜利》(Triumph of the American Imagination) |
| UXR | UXR(用户体验研究) |
| viral game loops | 病毒式游戏循环 |
| VP of product | 产品副总裁 |
| winning aspiration | 制胜愿景(winning aspiration) |
此文档由 AI 分片翻译(translate_long_document)