出租时间不会让你致富

Naval Ravikant 2019-03-08

出租时间不会让你致富

出租时间不会让你致富

当你出租时间时,你无法获得非线性收益。


Nivi: 接下来你更具体地阐述了如何真正致富,以及如何无法致富。第一点是关于你不会致富的原因:“出租时间不会让你致富。你必须拥有股权——企业的一部分——才能获得财务自由。”

Naval: 这可能是最重要的一点。人们似乎认为你可以通过工作创造财富和赚钱。但这很可能行不通。原因有很多。

但最基本的原因是你的投入与产出紧密相连。在几乎任何有薪工作中,即使是像律师或医生这样每小时收入很高的工作,你仍然是在投入时间,每个小时都获得报酬。

这意味着当你睡觉时,你没有收入。当你退休时,你没有收入。当你度假时,你没有收入。你无法获得非线性收益。

如果你看看那些致富的医生,真正富有的医生,那是因为他们开创了业务。他们开设了私人诊所。那个私人诊所建立了品牌,那个品牌吸引了人们。或者他们开发了某种医疗设备、程序或具有知识产权的流程。

所以,本质上你是在为别人工作,而那个人承担了风险,拥有责任、知识产权和品牌。所以他们不会付给你足够的钱。他们只会付给你最低限度的钱,让你做他们的工作。这可能是一个很高的最低限度,但仍然不会让你退休时拥有真正的财富。

出租时间意味着你本质上是可以被替代的

最后,你实际上并没有为社会创造太多原创内容。就像我说的,这条推特风暴应该叫做”如何创造财富”。只是”如何致富”是个更吸引人的标题。但你没有为社会创造新事物。你只是在重复做事。

你本质上是可以被替代的,因为你现在扮演着一个固定的角色。大多数固定角色都可以被教授。如果它们可以在学校被教授,那么最终你将与拥有更新知识、受过培训并准备替代你的人竞争。

你更有可能从事最终会被机器人或人工智能取代的工作。甚至不需要一夜之间完全被取代。它可以一点一点地被取代。这会侵蚀你的财富创造,从而影响你的赚钱能力。

所以,从根本上说,你的投入与产出是匹配的。你是可替代的,而且你没有创造力。我只是不认为这是真正赚钱的方式。

你必须拥有股权才能获得财务自由

所以每个真正赚钱的人,在某个时刻都拥有产品、企业或某种知识产权的一部分。这可以通过股票期权实现,所以你可以在科技公司工作。这是一个很好的开始方式。

但通常真正的财富是通过创办自己的公司,甚至是投资者创造的。他们在投资公司工作,购买股权。这些更像是通往财富的途径。财富不是通过工作时间获得的。

你需要一个投入与产出不匹配的职业

你真的需要一个工作、职业或专业,其中你的投入与产出不匹配。如果你看看现代社会,这在推特风暴后面也会提到。具有高度创造性和高度杠杆的企业往往是那些你可以工作一小时,却能产生巨大影响的企业。或者你可以工作1000小时,却没有任何影响。

例如,看看软件工程。一个优秀的工程师可以创造比特币,创造价值数十亿美元的价值。而一个在错误事情上工作、不够优秀、不够有创造力、不够深思熟虑的工程师,可以工作整整一年,他们交付的每一行代码最终都没有被使用。客户不想要它。

这是一个投入与产出高度脱节的职业例子。它不是基于你投入的小时数。

而在另一个极端,如果你是一个伐木工人,即使是世界上最好的伐木工人,假设你没有使用工具,那么投入和产出是明显相关的。你只是使用斧头或锯子。你知道,世界上最好的伐木工人可能比最差的伐木工人好3倍,对吧?不会有巨大的差异。

所以,你需要寻找投入与产出高度脱节的职业和事业。这是另一种说法,你需要寻找有杠杆的事物。我说的杠杆不仅仅是指华尔街使用的金融杠杆,那名声不好。我指的是工具。我们使用工具。

计算机是软件工程师使用的工具。如果我是一个使用推土机、自动机器人斧头和锯子的伐木工人,我将使用工具,比那些只用手试图把树连根拔起的人有更多的杠杆。

工具和杠杆创造了投入与产出之间的脱节。创造力,一个职业的创造力成分越高,投入与产出脱节的可能性就越大。

所以,我认为如果你选择的职业中,你的投入与产出高度相关,那么在这个过程中为自己创造财富和赚钱将会非常非常困难。


You Won’t Get Rich Renting Out Your Time

You Won’t Get Rich Renting Out Your Time

You can’t earn non-linearly when you’re renting out your time.


Nivi: Next you go into more specific details on how you can actually get rich, and how you can’t get rich. The first point was about how you’re not going to get rich: “You are not going to get rich renting out your time. You must own equity—a piece of the business—to gain your financial freedom.”

Naval: This is probably one of the absolute most important points. People seem to think that you can create wealth, and make money through work. And it’s probably not going to work. There are many reasons for that.

But the most basic is just that your inputs are very closely tied to your outputs. In almost any salaried job, even at one that’s paying a lot per hour like a lawyer, or a doctor, you’re still putting in the hours, and every hour you get paid.

So, what that means is when you’re sleeping, you’re not earning. When you’re retired, you’re not earning. When you’re on vacation, you’re not earning. And you can’t earn non-linearly.

If you look at even doctors who get rich, like really rich, it’s because they open a business. They open like a private practice. And that private practice builds a brand, and that brand attracts people. Or they build some kind of a medical device, or a procedure, or a process with an intellectual property.

So, essentially you’re working for somebody else, and that person is taking on the risk, and has the accountability, and the intellectual property, and the brand. So, they’re just not gonna pay you enough. They’re gonna pay you the bare minimum that they have to, to get you to do their job. And that can be a high bare minimum, but it’s still not gonna be true wealth where you’re retired.

Renting out your time means you’re essentially replaceable

And then finally you’re actually just not even creating that much original for society. Like I said, this tweetstorm should have been called “How to Create Wealth.” It’s just “How to Get Rich” was a more catchy title. But you’re not creating new things for society. You’re just doing things over and over.

And you’re essentially replaceable because you’re now doing a set role. Most set roles can be taught. If they can be taught like in a school, then eventually you’re gonna be competing with someone who’s got more recent knowledge, who’s been taught, and is coming in to replace you.

You’re much more likely to be doing a job that can be eventually replaced by a robot, or by an AI. And it doesn’t even have to be wholesale replaced over night. It can be replaced a little bit at a time. And that kind of eats into your wealth creation, and therefore your earning capability.

So, fundamentally your inputs are matched to your outputs. You are replaceable, and you’re not being creative. I just don’t think that, that is a way that you can truly make money.

You must own equity to gain your financial freedom

So everybody who really makes money at some point owns a piece of a product, or a business, or some kind of IP. That can be through stock options, so you can be working at a tech company. That’s a fine way to start.

But usually the real wealth is created by starting your own companies, or by even investors. They’re in an investment firm, and they’re buying equity. These are much more the routes to wealth. It doesn’t come through the hours.

You want a career where your inputs don’t match your outputs

You really just want a job, or a career, or a profession where your inputs don’t match your outputs. If you look at modern society, again this is later in the tweetstorm. Businesses that have high creativity and high leverage tends to be ones where you could do an hour of work, and it can have a huge effect. Or you can do 1,000 hours of work, and it can have no effect.

For example, look at software engineering. One great engineer can for example create bitcoin, and create billions of dollars worth of value. And an engineer who is working on the wrong thing, or not quite as good, or just not as creative, or thoughtful, or whatever, can work for an entire a year, and every piece of code they ship ends up not getting used. Customers don’t want it.

That is an example of a profession where the input and the outputs are highly disconnected. It’s not based on the number of hours that you put in.

Whereas on the extreme other end, if you’re a lumberjack, even the best lumberjack in the world, assuming you’re not working with tools, so the inputs and outputs are clearly connected. You’re just using an ax, or a saw. You know, the best lumberjack in the world may be like 3x better than one of the worst lumberjacks, right? It’s not gonna be a gigantic difference.

So, you want to look for professions and careers where the inputs and outputs are highly disconnected. This is another way of saying that you want to look for things that are leveraged. And by leveraged I don’t mean financial leveraged alone, like Wall Street uses, and that has a bad name. I’m just talking about tools. We’re using tools.

A computer is a tool that software engineers use. If I’m a lumberjack with bulldozers, and automatic robot axes, and saws, I’m gonna be using tools, and have more leverage than someone who is just using his bare hands, and trying to rip the trees out by the roots.

Tools and leverage are what create this disconnection between inputs and outputs. Creativity, so the higher the creativity component of a profession, the more likely it is to have disconnected inputs and outputs.

So, I think that if you’re looking at professions where your inputs and your outputs are highly connected, it’s gonna be very, very, hard to create wealth, and make wealth for yourself in that process.