我们都应该为自己工作
我们都应该为自己工作
但我们必须做出牺牲并承担更多风险
Nivi: 这个建议是针对谁的?是针对我的Lyft司机吗?是针对互联网创业者吗?还是针对想要开设YouTube频道的人?
Naval: 因为它来自一个沉浸在硅谷和科技公司文化中的人,所以总是会有偏向那个领域的倾向。
但我认为这对任何想要创业的人都有好处。任何想要掌控自己生活的人。任何想要确定性地、可靠地提高自己创造财富能力的人,只要他们有耐心,并且着眼于长远。
如果你已经80岁,退休了,精力不足,那么最好还是保持退休状态。但也有一些80岁的人精力充沛,想要做新的事情,为未来而活。
这显然很容易适用于年轻人。我会说9岁或10岁及以上。
中年可能是应用这一建议最富有成效的时期
最困难的可能是中年。当我们处于30、40和50多岁时,我们已经投入了很多。我们有很多责任。那些年是我们赚钱的时候;人们依赖着我们。我们不想改变,因为我们不想承认失败。
但那实际上可能是最富有成效的时候。这可能是最困难的转变:你有一份朝九晚五的工作;你有家庭依赖你。
这个播客中的内容可能看起来过于理想化,但也许它可以指导你的周末项目。也许它可以指导你的教育方法;例如,如果你晚上参加在线课程。也许它可以指导你在当前公司承担什么角色,因为它们让你越来越接近杠杆点、判断点或你天生擅长的领域,让你能够更真实。它可能会让你承担更多责任。
即使部分应用,这些原则也可以指导你——无论你处于人生的哪个阶段,除了退休之外。如果你已经退休,测试它们看看是否真实,然后教给你的孩子或孙子。
有很多不同的参与方式。它应该适用于几乎所有身体健康、心智健全、想要工作的人。
沿着价值链向上寻找杠杆
Nivi: 应用这一建议的一种方法是看看谁从你正在做的工作中获得杠杆。沿着价值链向上看——看看谁在你上面,谁在他们上面——看看他们如何利用你的时间和工作,以及他们如何应用杠杆。
人们自然会这样做,因为他们想在企业阶梯上往上爬;但这主要是关于管理其他人。你想要管理更多资本、产品、媒体和社区。
人们考虑在他们所在的组织中向上爬。但他们通常不考虑转到不同的组织或创建自己的公司来获得更多杠杆。
你在小型组织中会做得更好
Naval: 一般来说,ceteris paribus——花哨的拉丁语,意思是”其他条件相同”——你在小型组织中的表现会比在大型组织中更好。
你将承担更多责任,你的工作将更加可见。你更有可能尝试不同的事情,这可以帮助你发现你独特擅长的事情。人们更有可能通过战场晋升给你杠杆。你将拥有更多灵活性。公司的运营方式将更加真实。
这是一个良好的职业发展路径:从大公司开始,逐渐转向越来越小的公司。从小公司转到大公司非常困难。大公司往往更注重政治而非功绩;它们更稳定但创新性较差。
目标是我们都为自己工作
长期目标是我们都富有并为自己工作。为我们工作的人本质上是机器人。今天是软件机器人在数据中心执行代码。明天可能是送货机器人、飞行机器人和机械机器人——以及无人机——在四处运送东西。
这回到了最好的关系是同伴关系的想法。如果有人在你上面,那是你要学习的人。如果你没有从他们那里学习并提高,那么不应该有人在你上面。
如果有人在你下面,那是因为你在教导他们并赋能他们。如果你没有这样做,那么找一个机器人;你不需要有人在你下面。
这是乌托邦式的,还有很长的路要走,但在不远的将来,任何想要为自己工作的人都将能够做到。
你可能需要做出牺牲并承担更多风险。你可能需要承担更多责任,并接受不太稳定的收入。但我越来越认为,年轻人正在意识到,如果他们要去工作,他们就要为自己工作。
We Should All Be Working for Ourselves
But we will have to make sacrifices and take on more risk
Nivi: Who is this advice targeted to? Is it for my Lyft driver? Is it for an Internet entrepreneur? Is it for somebody who wants to start a YouTube channel?
Naval: Because it comes from someone who’s steeped in Silicon Valley and tech companies, it’s always going to have a bias towards that.
But I think it’s good for anybody who wants to be entrepreneurial. Anybody who wants to control their own life. Anybody who wants to deterministically and reliably improve their ability to create wealth over time, is patient, and is looking at the long haul.
If you’re 80 years old, retired and running out of energy, it’s probably best to stay retired. But there are 80-year-olds who have a lot of energy, who want to do new things and live for the future.
Obviously this can apply very easily to a young person. I would say 9 or 10 years old and up.
Midlife can be the most fruitful time to apply this advice
The most difficult one is probably midlife. When we’re in our 30s, 40s and 50s, we already have a lot invested. We have a lot of obligations. Those are the years we’re earning; people are relying on us. We don’t want to change because we don’t want to admit defeat.
But that’s when it actually can be most fruitful. It may be the most difficult pivot: You have a 9-to-5 job; you have a family relying on you.
It may seem like the things in this podcast are far too idealistic, but maybe it can inform your weekend projects. Maybe it can inform your approach to education; for example, if you’re taking an online course at night. Maybe it can inform what roles you take on at your current company, because they move you closer and closer to points of leverage, points of judgment or points where you’re naturally talented, and you’re able to be more authentic. It might cause you to take on more accountability.
Even if applied piecemeal, these principles can guide you—regardless of what stage of life you are in, short of retirement. If you’re retired, test them to see if they’re true and then teach them to your kids or grandkids.
There are many different ways to participate. It should apply to almost everybody who has a complete body, sound mind, and is looking to work.
Look up the value chain to find leverage
Nivi: One way to apply this advice is to look at who is getting leverage off of the work that you’re doing. Look up the value chain—at who’s above you and who’s above them—and see how they are taking advantage of the time and work you’re doing and how they’re applying leverage.
People naturally do this because they want to move up the corporate ladder; but that’s mostly about managing other people. You want to manage more capital, products, media and community.
People think about moving up the ladder in their organization. But they don’t often think about moving to a different organization or creating their own company to get more leverage.
You will do better in a small organization
Naval: In general, ceteris paribus—fancy Latin words for “all else being equal”—you’ll do better in a smaller organization than a larger one.
You will have more accountability, and your work will be more visible. You’re more likely to be able to try different things, which can help you discover the thing you are uniquely good at. People will be more likely to give you leverage through battlefield promotions. You’ll have more flexibility. There will be more authenticity in how the company operates.
Here is a good progression for a career: Start in a large company and progressively move to smaller and smaller ones. It’s very hard to go from a small company to a larger company. Larger companies tend to be more about politics than merit; they’re more stable but less innovative.
The goal is that we are all working for ourselves
The long-term goal is that we are all wealthy and working for ourselves. The people working for us are essentially robots. Today that’s software robots executing code in data centers. Tomorrow it could be delivery bots, flying bots and mechanical bots—and drones—that are carrying things around.
This goes back to the idea that the best relationships are peer relationships. If there’s someone above you, that’s someone to learn from. If you’re not learning from them and improving, nobody should be above you.
If there’s somebody below you, it’s because you’re teaching them and enabling them. If you’re not doing that, then get a robot; you don’t need a human below you.
This is utopian and still a long way off, but in the not-too-distant future anybody who wants to work for themself will be able to do it.
You may have to make sacrifices and take on more risk. You may have to take on more accountability and live with less steady income. But more and more I think younger people are realizing that if they’re going to work, they’re going to work for themselves.