基础是数学与逻辑
基础是数学与逻辑
数学与逻辑是理解其他一切的基础
Naval:
基础的东西是原则,是算法,是根深蒂固的逻辑理解,你可以从任何角度为其辩护或攻击它。这就是为什么微观经济学很重要,因为宏观经济学需要大量记忆,充斥着大量宏观废话。
正如纳西姆·塔勒布所说,宏观胡说比微观胡说更容易。因为宏观经济学是巫毒复杂科学与政治的结合。如今你找不到两个宏观经济学家在任何问题上达成一致,不同的宏观经济学家被不同的政客用来兜售他们各自钟爱的理论。
现在甚至有些宏观经济学家在兜售所谓的现代货币理论,基本上就是说,嘿,除了这个讨厌的东西叫通货膨胀,我们可以想印多少钱就印多少钱。是的,除了这个讨厌的东西叫通货膨胀。这就像说,除了有限的能源,我们可以整天向太空发射火箭。
这完全是胡说八道,但事实是有些人头衔里有”宏观经济学家”却在兜售现代货币理论,这恰恰告诉你宏观经济学作为所谓的科学已经被腐蚀了。它现在成了政治的一个分支。
所以,你真的需要关注基础。最终的基础是数学与逻辑。如果你理解逻辑和数学,那么你就有了理解科学方法的基础。一旦你理解了科学方法,你就能理解如何在你阅读的其他领域和其他事物中区分真理与谬误。
慢慢地精读一本好书比快速浏览一百本书要好
所以,要非常小心地阅读别人的观点,甚至在阅读事实时也要小心,因为所谓的事实往往只是披着[伪科学]外衣的观点。
你真正寻找的是算法。你真正寻找的是理解。慢慢地阅读一本书,挣扎、绊倒、重读,比快速浏览然后说”嗯,我现在读了20本书,我读了30本书,我在这个领域读了50本书”要好得多。
就像李小龙说的:“我不怕会一万种腿法的人,我怕一种腿法练了一万次的人。“正是通过重复、使用、逻辑和基础所带来的理解,才真正让你成为一个聪明的思考者。
学习说服与编程
Nivi:
要为终身学习打下基础,我认为你需要两样东西,如果要我总结的话。一是实用的说服技巧,二是你需要深入某个技术领域,无论是抽象数学,还是你想读唐纳德·克努特关于算法的书,或者你想读费曼的物理学讲义。
如果你掌握了实用的说服技巧并对某个复杂主题有深入理解,我认为你就为终身学习打下了良好的基础。
Naval:
是的。事实上让我稍微扩展一下。我会说五种最重要的技能当然是阅读、写作、算术,然后如你所说,加上说服,也就是说话。最后,我会加上计算机编程,因为它是一种应用形式的算术,在你操作的任何领域都能为你带来巨大的杠杆效应。
如果你擅长计算机,擅长基础数学,擅长写作,擅长说话,并且喜欢阅读,你的人生就准备好了。
The Foundations Are Math and Logic
Mathematics and logic are the basis for understanding everything else
Naval:
Foundational things are principles, they’re algorithms, they’re deep seated logical understanding where you can defend it or attack it from any angle. And that’s why microeconomics is important because macroeconomics is a lot of memorization, a lot of macro bullshit.
As Nassim Taleb says, it is easier to macro bullshit than it is the micro bullshit. Because macroeconomics is voodoo-complex-science meets politics. You can’t find two macroeconomists to agree on anything these days, and different macroeconomists get used by different politicians to peddle their different pet theories.
There are even macroeconomists out there now peddling something called Modern Monetary Theory which basically says, hey, except for this pesky thing called inflation, we can just print all the money that we want. Yes, except for this pesky thing called inflation. That’s like saying, except for limited energy, we can fire rockets off into space all day long.
It’s just nonsense, but the fact that there are people who have “macroeconomist” in their title and are peddling Modern Monetary Theory just tells you that macroeconomics as a so-called science has been corrupted. It’s now a branch of politics.
So, you really want to focus on the foundations. The ultimate foundation are mathematics and logic. If you understand logic and mathematics, then you have the basis for understanding the scientific method. Once you understand the scientific method, then you can understand how to separate truth from falsehood in other fields and other things that you’re reading.
It’s better to read a great book really slowly than to fly through a hundred books quickly
So, be very careful about reading other people’s opinions and even be careful when reading facts because so-called facts are often just opinions with a veneer [of pseudoscience] around them.
What you are really looking for are algorithms. What you are really looking for is understanding. It’s better to go through a book really slowly and struggle and stumble and rewind, than it is to fly through it quickly and say, “Well, now I’ve read 20 books, I’ve read 30 books, I’ve read 50 books in the field.”
It’s like Bruce Lee said, “I don’t fear the man who knows a thousand kicks and a thousand punches, I fear the man who’s practiced one punch ten thousand times or one kick ten thousand times.” It’s that understanding that comes through repetition and through usage and through logic and foundations that really makes you a smart thinker.
Learn persuasion and programming
Nivi:
To lay a foundation for learning for the rest of your life I think you need two things, if I was going to try and sum it up. One, practical persuasion and two, you need to go deep in some technical category, whether it’s abstract math, or you want to read Donald Knuth’s books on algorithms, or you want to read Feynman’s lectures on physics.
If you have practical persuasion and a deep understanding of some complex topic, I think you’ll have a great foundation for learning for the rest of your life.
Naval:
Yeah. In fact let me expand that a little bit. I would say that the five most important skills are of course, reading, writing, arithmetic, and then as you’re adding in, persuasion, which is talking. And then finally, I would add computer programming just because it’s an applied form of arithmetic that just gets you so much leverage for free in any domain that you operate in.
If you’re good with computers, if you’re good at basic mathematics, if you’re good at writing, if you’re good at speaking, and if you like reading, you’re set for life.