产品杠杆是平等的
产品杠杆是平等的
最好的产品往往对所有人开放
Naval:
劳动力和资本的平等程度要低得多,不仅在投入方面,在产出方面也是如此。
假设我需要一些必须由人类提供的东西,比如我想要按摩,或者我需要有人为我做饭。提供该服务中的人类元素越多,它的平等性就越低。杰夫·贝佐斯的假期可能比我们大多数人好得多,因为他有很多人跑来跑去为他做任何需要做的事情。
但如果你看看代码和媒体的产出,杰夫·贝佐斯看的电影和电视节目并不比我们更好。杰夫·贝佐斯甚至无法获得更好的计算体验。谷歌并没有给他某种高级的、特殊的谷歌账户,让他的搜索效果更好。
代码和媒体产出的本质是,同样的产品对每个人都是可及的。这变成了一种正和游戏,如果杰夫·贝佐斯和一千个其他人消费同样的产品,那么该产品将比杰夫自己单独消费的版本更好。
地位商品仅限于少数人
而对于其他产品,情况并非如此。如果你看看像购买劳力士这样的东西,它不再关乎报时。它是一种信号商品。它完全是为了炫耀,“我有一块劳力士”。这是一种零和游戏。
如果世界上每个人都戴劳力士,那么人们就不再想戴劳力士了,因为它们不再传递信号。它抵消了效果。
富人在消费这种产品方面确实有优势。他们会把价格抬高,直到只有他们才能拥有劳力士。然后穷人无法拥有劳力士,劳力士就恢复了它们的信号价值。
最好的产品往往针对中产阶级
比如看Netflix,或使用谷歌,或使用Facebook或YouTube,甚至坦率地说,现代汽车也是如此。富人并没有更好的汽车。他们只是有更奇怪的汽车。
你无法在街上以任何对兰博基尼有意义的速度驾驶兰博基尼,所以它在街上实际上是一辆更差的车。在那个时候,它只是变成了一种信号商品。你的最佳选择,你想要的位置,是像特斯拉Model 3或丰田卡罗拉这样的地方,这是一辆了不起的汽车。
一辆新的丰田卡罗拉是一辆非常好的车,但因为它主流,技术已经将生产成本分摊给了尽可能多的消费者。
最好的产品往往位于中心,在最佳点,针对中产阶级,而不是针对上层阶级。
用产品创造财富会导致更道德的财富
我认为我们在现代社会中不一定认识到的一点是,随着杠杆形式从基于人类、基于劳动力、基于资本转向更多地基于产品、代码和媒体,我们消费的大多数商品和服务在消费方面正变得更加平等。
甚至食物也在变成这样。食物正变得便宜和丰富,至少在发达国家是这样,甚至多到对我们有害的程度。杰夫·贝佐斯不一定吃得更好。他只是吃不同的食物,或者他吃的是以戏剧性方式准备和供应的食物,所以这几乎更像是再次强调了表演的人类元素。
但食物生产中的劳动力元素已经大幅下降。资本元素已经大幅下降。甚至食物生产本身也变得更加技术导向,因此贫富差距正在缩小。
如果你关心财富创造中的道德,那么使用代码和媒体作为杠杆来创造财富更好,因为这样这些产品对每个人都是平等可用的,而不是试图通过劳动力或资本来创造财富。
你想使用最多人使用的产品
我这里指的是规模经济。技术产品和媒体产品具有如此惊人的规模经济,以至于你总是想使用最多人使用的产品。使用人数最多的产品最终拥有最大的预算。增加另一个用户没有边际成本,因此凭借最大的预算,你获得了最高的质量。
最好的电视节目实际上不会是一些只为少数富人制作的冷门节目。它们将是那些大预算的节目,比如《权力的游戏》、《绝命毒师》或《蒙上你的眼》,它们拥有巨大的、巨大的预算。他们可以利用这些预算达到一定的质量水平。
然后富人们,为了与众不同,他们必须飞去圣丹斯看纪录片。你我不会飞去圣丹斯,因为那是无聊的富人们炫耀的事情。我们不会看纪录片,因为其中大多数实际上甚至没有那么好。
再次强调,如果你今天很富有,对于大类的东西,你把钱花在信号商品上,向别人展示你很富有,然后你试图将它们转化为地位。而不是真正为了商品本身而消费它们。
Nivi:
如果我要总结你的观点,人和资本作为一种杠杆形式具有负外部性,而代码和产品则具有正外部性。
资本和劳动力正变得无需许可
我认为资本和劳动力也开始变得有点无需许可,或者至少由于互联网,许可变得分散了。我们现在有社区,而不是劳动力,这是一种分散的劳动力形式。例如,马克·扎克伯格有十亿人通过使用Facebook为他工作。
现在我们有众筹,而不是去向富人筹集资金。你可以为慈善机构、健康问题或企业筹集数百万美元。你可以在网上完成所有操作。
资本和劳动力也正变得无需许可,你不一定需要用老式的方式去做,即你必须四处走动,请求别人允许使用他们的钱或时间。
Product Leverage is Egalitarian
The best products tend to be available to everyone
Naval:
Labor and capital are much less egalitarian, not just in the inputs, but in their outputs.
Let’s say that I need something that humans have to provide like if I want a massage or if I need someone to cook my food. The more of a human element there is in providing that service, the less egalitarian it is. Jeff Bezos probably has much better vacations than most of us because he has lots of humans running around doing whatever he needs to do.
If you look at the output of code and media, Jeff Bezos doesn’t get to watch better movies and TV than we do. Jeff Bezos doesn’t get to even have better computing experience. Google doesn’t give him some premium, special Google account where his searches are better.
It’s the nature of code and media output that the same product is accessible to everybody. It turns into a positive sum game where if Jeff Bezos is consuming the same product as a thousand other people, that product is going to be better than the version that Jeff would consume on his own.
Status goods are limited to a few people
Whereas with other products, that’s not true. If you look at something like buying a Rolex, which is no longer about telling time. It’s a signaling good. It’s all about showing off, “I have a Rolex.” That’s a zero sum game.
If everybody in the world is wearing a Rolex, then people don’t want to wear Rolexes anymore because they no longer signal. It’s canceled out the effect.
Rich people do have an advantage in consuming that product. They’ll just price it up until only they can have Rolexes. Then poor people can’t have Rolexes and Rolexes resume their signaling value.
The best products tend to be targeted at the middle class
Something like watching Netflix or using Google or using Facebook or YouTube or even frankly modern day cars. Rich people don’t have better cars. They just have weirder cars.
You can’t drive a Lamborghini on the street at any speed that makes sense for a Lamborghini, so it’s actually a worse car in the street. It just turned into a signaling good at that point. Your sweet spot, where you want to be, is somewhere like a Tesla Model 3 or like a Toyota Corolla which is an amazing car.
A new Toyota Corolla is a really nice car, but because it’s mainstream, the technology has amortized the cost of production over the largest number of consumers possible.
The best products tend to be at the center, at the sweet spot, the middle class, rather than being targeted at the upper class.
Creating wealth with product leads to more ethical wealth
I think one of the things that we don’t necessarily appreciate in modern societies is as the forms of leverage have gone from being human-based, labor-based and being capital-based to being more product and code and media-based, that most of the goods and services that we consume are becoming much more egalitarian in their consumption.
Even food is becoming that way. Food is becoming cheap and abundant, at least in the first world, too much so to our detriment. Jeff Bezos isn’t necessarily eating better food. He’s just eating different food or he’s eating food that’s prepared and served theatrically, so it’s almost like more of again the human element of performance.
But the labor element out of food production has gone down massively. The capital element has gone down massively. Even food production itself has become more technology-oriented, and so the gap between the haves and the have-nots is getting smaller.
If you care about ethics in wealth creation, it is better to create your wealth using code and media as leverage because then those products are equally available to everybody as opposed to trying to create your wealth through labor or capital.
You want to use the product that is used by the most people
What I’m referring to here is scale economies. Technology products and media products have such amazing scale economies that you always want to use the product that is used by the most people. The one that’s used by the most people ends up having the largest budget. There’s no marginal cost of adding another user, and so with the largest budget, you get the highest quality.
The best TV shows are actually not going to be some obscure ones just made for a few rich people. They’re going to be the big budget ones, like the Game of Thrones or the Breaking Bad or Bird Box, where they have massive, massive budgets. They can just use those budgets to get to a certain quality level.
Then rich people, to be different, they have to fly to Sundance and watch a documentary. You and I aren’t going to fly to Sundance because that’s something that bored rich people do to show off. We’re not going to watch a documentary because most of them just aren’t actually even that good.
Again, if you’re wealthy today, for large classes of things, you spend your money on signaling goods to show other people that you’re wealthy, then you try and convert them to status. As opposed to actually consuming the goods for their own sake.
Nivi:
People and capital as a form of leverage have a negative externality and code and product have a positive externality attached to them, if I was going to sum up your point.
Capital and labor are becoming permissionless
I think that capital and labor are also starting to become a little more permissionless or at least the permissioning is diffuse because of the Internet. Instead of labor, we have community now, which is a diffused form of labor. For example, Mark Zuckerberg has a billion people doing work for him by using Facebook.
Instead of going to raise capital from someone who’s rich, now we have crowdfunding. You can raise millions and millions of dollars for a charity, for a health problem or for a business. You can do it all online.
Capital and labor are also becoming permissionless, and you don’t need to necessarily do it the old fashioned way, where you have to go around and ask people for permission to use their money or their time.