玩愚蠢的游戏,赢愚蠢的奖品
玩愚蠢的游戏,赢愚蠢的奖品
竞争会让你对更大的游戏视而不见
Nivi:
当你保持真实时,你并不太在意竞争。它会让你生气,并引发一些恐惧、嫉妒和其他情绪。但你并不真正在意,因为你的方向是目标和使命。最坏的情况,你可能会从他们那里得到一些想法。而且通常有积极的方式与竞争对手合作,最终会为你扩大市场规模。
Naval:
这取决于业务的性质。硅谷科技行业最好的企业往往是赢家通吃。当你看到竞争时,它可能会让你勃然大怒。因为它确实危及你所建立的一切。
如果我开了一家餐厅,而同一家餐厅的一个更有趣的版本在另一个城镇开业,那太棒了。我会复制有效的东西,放弃无效的东西。所以这取决于业务的性质。
通常,看似直接竞争的企业其实并不是。它们最终是相邻或略有不同的。你离一个完全不同的业务只有一步之遥,有时你需要迈出那一步。如果你忙于争夺安慰奖,你就不会迈出那一步。
你在玩一个愚蠢的游戏。你会赢得一个愚蠢的奖品。现在还不明显,因为你被竞争蒙蔽了双眼。但三年后,这就会变得很明显。
我的第一家公司陷入了错误的游戏
我的第一批初创公司之一是 Epinions,一个独立于亚马逊的在线产品评论网站。这个领域最终演变成了 TripAdvisor 和 Yelp,这正是我们应该去的地方。
我们应该做更多的本地评论。对像本地餐厅这样的稀缺物品的评论比对像相机这样在亚马逊上有 1,000 条评论的物品更有价值。
在我们到达那里之前,我们陷入了比价游戏的泥潭。我们与 DealTime 合并,并与一堆价格比较引擎竞争——mySimon、PriceGrabber、NexTag 和 Bizrate(后来成为 Shopzilla)。我们陷入了彼此激烈的竞争中。
整个领域都归零了,因为亚马逊完全赢得了电子零售。不再需要价格比较。每个人都直接去亚马逊。
我们得到了安慰奖,因为我们陷入了与一群同行的竞争中。我们应该关注消费者真正想要什么,并忠于自己,那就是评论,而不是价格比较。我们应该更深入地进入那些客户数据较少、更迫切需要评论的冷门物品领域。
如果我们忠于自己,我们会做得更好。
Play Stupid Games, Win Stupid Prizes
Competition will blind you to greater games
Nivi:
When you’re being authentic, you don’t mind competition that much. It pisses you off and inspires some fear, jealousy and other emotions. But you don’t really mind because you’re oriented towards the goal and the mission. Worst-case, you might get some ideas from them. And often there are ways to work with the competition in a positive way that ends up increasing the size of the market for you.
Naval:
It depends on the nature of the business. The best Silicon Valley tech industry businesses tend to be winner-take-all. When you see competition, it can make you fly into a rage. Because it really does endanger everything you’ve built.
If I’m opening a restaurant and a more interesting version of the same restaurant opens in a different town, that’s fantastic. I’m going to copy what’s working and drop what’s not working. So it depends on the nature of the business.
Often, businesses that seem to be in direct competition really aren’t. They end up adjacent or slightly different. You’re one step away from a completely different business, and sometimes you need to take that step. You’re not going to take it if you’re busy fighting over a booby prize.
You’re playing a stupid game. You’re going to win a stupid prize. It’s not obvious right now because you’re blinded by competition. But three years from now, it’ll be obvious.
My first company got caught in the wrong game
One of my first startups was Epinions, an online product review site that was independent of Amazon. That space eventually turned into TripAdvisor and Yelp, which is where we should have gone.
We should have done more local reviews. A review of a scarce item like a local restaurant is more valuable than one of an item like a camera that has 1,000 reviews on Amazon.
Before we could get there, we got caught up in the comparison-shopping game. We merged with DealTime and competed with a bunch of price-comparison engines—mySimon, PriceGrabber, NexTag and Bizrate, which became Shopzilla. We were caught in fierce competition with each other.
That whole space went to zero because Amazon won e-tail completely. There was no need for price comparison. Everyone just went to Amazon.
We got the booby prize because we were caught up in competition with a bunch of our peers. We should have been looking at what the consumer really wanted and being authentic to ourselves, which was reviews, not price comparison. We should have gone further into esoteric items where customers had less data and wanted reviews more badly.
If we stayed authentic to ourselves, we would have done better.