赚钱与运气无关
赚钱与运气无关
赚钱与运气无关
成为能赚钱的那种人
Naval:
显然,我们都想变得富有,并且希望在这一生中实现这一目标,而不必依赖运气。
很多人认为赚钱是靠运气。其实不是。关键在于成为能赚钱的那种人。
我喜欢这样想:如果我失去了所有的钱,你把我丢在任何英语国家的随便一条街上,在5到10年内,我会再次变得富有。因为这是我培养出来的一套技能,而且我认为任何人都可以培养。
在1000个平行宇宙中,你希望在999个宇宙中都是富有的。你不希望只在50个宇宙中因为运气好而富有。我们希望把运气因素排除在外。
我们谈论的有四种运气。这个概念来自一本书。马克·安德森写过一篇[博客文章](about it)。
1. 盲目的运气
第一种运气你可能会说是盲目的运气。我之所以走运,是因为发生了完全超出我控制的事情。那是命运,那是天意。
2. 来自拼搏的运气
然后是通过坚持、努力工作、拼搏、行动而来的运气。当你四处奔走创造大量机会,你产生了很多能量,你做了很多事情,很多事情就会在尘埃中被搅动起来。
这几乎就像混合培养皿看看什么会结合。或者混合一堆试剂看看什么会反应。你产生了足够的力量、拼搏和能量,运气就会找到你。
可以说,我们作为一个团体聚在一起就是因为这个。[Nenad](在网上发布了这些精彩的视频,我在Twitter上看到了它们。从这个意义上说,他通过制作视频直到像我这样的人不断发现他,创造了自己的运气。
3. 来自准备的运气
第三种方式是,你变得非常善于发现运气。如果你在某个领域非常熟练,当该领域发生幸运突破时,你会注意到。而其他不熟悉该领域的人则不会注意到。所以你变得对运气敏感,这是通过技能、知识和努力实现的。
4. 来自独特品格的运气
然后最后一种运气是最奇怪、最困难的一种。但这就是我们想讨论的。即你建立了一种独特的品格、独特的品牌、独特的思维方式,然后运气就会找到你。
例如,假设你是世界上深海潜水最厉害的人。大家都知道你会进行其他人甚至不敢尝试的深海潜水。
然后,纯粹靠运气,有人在海岸边发现了一艘沉没的宝藏船。他们无法获取它。那么,他们的运气就变成了你的运气,因为他们会来找你获取那笔宝藏。你会因此得到报酬。
这是一个极端的例子。那个找到宝藏箱而走运的人,那是盲目的运气。但他们来找你并要求你提取宝藏并不得不分你一半,这就不是运气了。
你创造了自己的运气。你把自己置于能够利用那种运气的位置。或者当没有人为自己创造那种机会时,吸引那种运气。当我们谈论”不靠运气”时,我们希望是确定性的,我们不想把它留给机会。
在1000个平行宇宙中,你希望在999个宇宙中都是富有的
Nivi:
你能再详细阐述一下在1000个平行宇宙中你希望在999个宇宙中都致富的想法吗?我想有些人看到这个会说,“这听起来不可能,听起来好得令人难以置信。”
Naval:
不,我不认为这是不可能的。我认为根据你的起始情况,你可能需要更努力一点。我是从印度的一个穷孩子开始的,所以从这个意义上说,如果我能成功,任何人都可以。
显然,我有健全的四肢,有正常的智力,并且确实受过教育。有些先决条件是你无法逾越的。但如果你正在观看这个视频或收听这个播客,你可能已经具备了必要的手段,那就是一个功能正常的身体和功能正常的头脑。
而且我一路走来也遇到了很多坏运气。我赚到的第一笔小财富,立刻在股票市场上损失了。我赚到的第二笔小财富,或者说我本应赚到的,基本上被我的商业伙伴骗走了。只有第三次才成功了。
而且,即便如此,这也是一场缓慢而稳定的奋斗。我一生中从未通过一次巨大的支出赚到钱。总是一大堆小事情的积累。更多的是通过创造企业、创造机会和创造投资来持续创造财富。从来都不是一次性的巨大事件。
财富是一点一点积累起来的,而不是一次性获得的
我的个人财富不是由某一个大年产生的。它是一点一点积累起来的,像筹码一样。更多的选择,更多的企业,更多的投资,更多我能做的事情。
就像Nenad(illacertus)这样的人一样,他正在网上建立自己的品牌。他正在制作视频。并不是说任何一个视频会突然让他在一夜之间暴富。这将是一生的学习、阅读、创造,这些将会产生复利效应。
我们谈论的是变得富有,这样你就可以退休,拥有自由。不是指你什么都不做的退休。而是指你不必待在任何你不想待的地方,不必做任何你不想做的事情,你可以想什么时候起床就什么时候起床,想什么时候睡觉就什么时候睡觉,你没有老板。这就是自由。
我们谈论的是足以获得自由的财富。尤其是多亏了如今的互联网,机会非常丰富。事实上,我有太多赚钱的方式,但时间不够。机会多到让我应接不暇,而我不断耗尽的就是时间。
创造财富、创造产品、创造企业、创造机会的方式太多了,并且作为副产品,从社会获得报酬,以至于我甚至无法处理所有这一切。
Making Money Isn’t About Luck
Making Money Isn’t About Luck
Become the kind of person who makes money
Naval:
Obviously, we want to be wealthy, and we want to get there in this lifetime without having to rely on luck.
A lot of people think making money is about luck. It’s not. It’s about becoming the kind of person that makes money.
I like to think that if I lost all my money and if you drop me on a random street in any English-speaking country, within 5, 10 years I’d be wealthy again. Because it’s a skill set that I’ve developed and I think anyone can develop.
In 1,000 parallel universes, you want to be wealthy in 999 of them. You don’t want to be wealthy in the 50 of them where you got lucky. We want to factor luck out of it.
There’s four kinds of luck that we’re talking about. This came from a book. Marc Andreessen, wrote a [blog post](about it).
1. Blind luck
The first kind of luck you might say is blind luck. Where I just got lucky because something completely out of my control happened. That’s fortune, that’s fate.
2. Luck from hustling
Then there’s luck that comes through persistence, hard work, hustle, motion. Which is when you’re running around creating lots of opportunities, you’re generating a lot of energy, you’re doing a lot of things, lots of things will get stirred up in the dust.
It’s almost like mixing a petri dish and seeing what combines. Or mixing a bunch of reagents and seeing what combines. You’re generating enough force and hustle and energy that luck will find you.
We, as a group, you could argue, got together because of that. [Nenad]( had put up these great videos online, I saw them on Twitter. In that sense, he generated his own luck by creating videos until people like me keep finding him.
3. Luck from preparation
A third way is that you become very good at spotting luck. If you are very skilled in a field, you will notice when a lucky break happens in that field. When other people who aren’t attuned to it won’t notice. So you become sensitive to luck and that’s through skill and knowledge and work.
4. Luck from your unique character
Then the last kind of luck is the weirdest, hardest kind. But that’s what we want to talk about. Which is where you build a unique character, a unique brand, a unique mindset, where then luck finds you.
For example, let’s say that you’re the best person in the world at deep sea underwater diving. You’re known to take on deep sea underwater dives that nobody else will even attempt to dare.
Then, by sheer luck, somebody finds a sunken treasure ship off the coast. They can’t get it. Well, their luck just became your luck, because they’re going to come to you to get that treasure. You’re going to get paid for it.
Now, that’s an extreme example. The person who got lucky by finding the treasure chest, that was blind luck. But them coming to you and asking you to extract it and having to give you half, that’s not luck.
You created your own luck. You put yourself in a position to be able to capitalize on that luck. Or to attract that luck when nobody else has created that opportunity for themselves. When we talk about “without getting lucky,” we want to be deterministic, we don’t want to leave it to chance.
In 1,000 parallel universes, you want to be wealthy in 999 of them
Nivi:
Do you want to elaborate a little bit more on the idea that in a 1,000 parallel universes you want to get rich in 999 of them? I think some people are going to see that and say, “that sounds impossible, it sounds like it’s too good to be true.”
Naval:
No, I don’t think it’s impossible. I think that you may have to work a little bit harder at it given your starting circumstances. I started as a poor kid in India, so if I can make it, anybody can, in that sense.
Now, obviously, I had all my limbs and I had my mental faculties and I did have an education. There are some prerequisites you can’t get past. But if you’re listening to this video or podcast, you probably have the requisite means at your disposal, which is a functioning body and a functioning mind.
And I’ve encountered plenty of bad luck along the way. The first little fortune that I made, I instantly lost in the stock market. The second little fortune that I made, or I should have made, I basically got cheated by my business partners. It’s only the third time around has been a charm.
And, even then, it has been in a slow and steady struggle. I haven’t made money in my life in one giant payout. It’s always been a whole bunch of small things piling up. It’s more about consistently creating wealth by creating businesses, including opportunities and creating investments. It hasn’t been a giant one-off thing.
Wealth stacks up one chip at a time, not all at once
My personal wealth has not been generated by one big year. It stacks up little bit, chips at a time. More options, more businesses, more investments, more things that I can do.
Same way that someone like Nenad, illacertus, he’s building his brand online. He’s building videos. It’s not like any one video is going to suddenly shower him with riches overnight. It’s going to be a long lifetime of learning, of reading, of creating that’s going to compound.
We’re talking about getting wealthy so you can retire, so you have your freedom. Not retire in the sense that you don’t do anything. But in the sense that you don’t have to be any place you don’t want to be, you don’t have to do anything you don’t want to do, you can wake up when you want, you can sleep when you want, you don’t have a boss. That’s freedom.
We’re talking about enough wealth to get to freedom. Especially thanks to the Internet these days, though, opportunities are massively abundant. I, in fact, have too many ways to make money, I don’t have enough time. I have opportunities pouring out of my ears and the thing I keep running out of is time.
There’s just so many ways to create wealth, to create products, to create businesses, to create opportunities, and to, as a byproduct, get paid by society that I can’t even handle it all.