何时做你热爱的事
何时做你热爱的事
2024年9月
关于”追随你的热情”是否是个好主意,存在一些争论。事实上,这个问题无法用简单的是或否来回答。有时你应该,有时你不应该,但应该与不应该之间的界限非常复杂。给出一个通用答案的唯一方法是追溯它。
当人们讨论这个问题时,总有一个隐含的”而不是”。在其他条件相同的情况下,你为什么不从事你最感兴趣的工作呢?因此,即使提出这个问题也意味着所有条件并不相同,你必须在从事你最感兴趣的工作和其他事情之间做出选择,比如报酬最好的工作。
确实,如果你的主要目标是赚钱,你通常无法从事你最感兴趣的工作。人们为你做他们想要你做的事付费,而不是做你想做的事。但有一个明显的例外:当你们想要相同时。例如,如果你热爱足球,并且你足够擅长它,你可以通过踢球获得丰厚的报酬。
当然,在足球这样的情况下,成功的几率对你不利,因为太多其他人也喜欢踢球。这并不是说你不应该尝试。这取决于你有多少能力以及你愿意付出多大的努力。
当你有奇怪的品味时,几率会更好:当你喜欢某种报酬丰厚而很少有人喜欢的东西时。例如,很明显比尔·盖茨真正热爱经营软件公司。他不仅热爱编程,很多人都热爱这个。他热爱为客户编写软件。这确实是一种非常奇怪的品味,但如果你有这种品味,通过 indulging 它可以赚很多钱。
甚至有些人对赚钱有真正的智力兴趣。这与单纯的贪婪不同。他们忍不住注意到某物被错误定价,也忍不住对此做些什么。这对他们来说就像一个谜题。[1]
事实上,这里有一个如此极端的边缘情况,它颠倒了所有先前的建议。如果你想赚非常非常多的钱——数亿甚至数十亿美元——事实证明从事你最感兴趣的工作非常有用。原因不是你这样做获得的额外动力,而是赚非常非常多钱的方法是创业,而从事你最感兴趣的工作是发现创业想法的极好方式。
许多(如果不是大多数)最大的创业公司都始于创始人为了乐趣而做的项目。苹果、谷歌和Facebook都是这样开始的。为什么这种模式如此常见?因为最好的想法往往是如此异常,如果你有意识地寻找赚钱的方法,你会忽略它们。而如果你年轻且擅长技术,你对什么会是有趣工作的无意识本能与需要构建的东西非常一致。
所以赚钱有点像”中智峰值”。如果你不需要赚很多钱,你可以从事你最感兴趣的工作;如果你想变得相当富有,你通常无法承担;但如果你想变得超级富有,并且你年轻且擅长技术,从事你最感兴趣的工作又变成了一个好主意。
如果你不确定你想要什么怎么办?如果你被赚钱的想法吸引,对某些工作比其他工作更感兴趣,但两种吸引力都没有占主导地位?你如何打破僵局?
这里的关键是要理解这种僵局只是表面上的。当你在追随兴趣和赚钱之间难以选择时,这绝不是因为你有完整的自我认知和对正在选择的工作类型的了解,而且选择完全平衡。当你无法决定走哪条路时,几乎总是由于无知。事实上,你通常同时遭受三种无知:你不知道什么让你快乐,各种工作到底是什么样的,或者你能把它们做得有多好。[2]
在某种程度上,这种无知是可以原谅的。预测这些事情通常很困难,甚至没有人告诉你需要预测。如果你有雄心壮志,有人告诉你应该上大学,这个建议到目前为止是好的,但通常也就到此为止。没有人告诉你如何弄清楚要从事什么工作,或者这可能有多困难。
面对不确定性,你该怎么办?获得更多的确定性。而做到这一点的最好方法可能是尝试从事你感兴趣的事情。这将让你获得更多关于你对它们的兴趣程度、你有多擅长它们以及它们为雄心壮志提供多少范围的信息。
不要等待。不要等到大学结束才弄清楚要从事什么工作。甚至不要等到大学期间的实习。你不一定需要做x的工作才能从事x工作;通常你可以自己开始以某种形式做。由于弄清楚要从事什么工作是一个可能需要数年才能解决的问题,你开始得越早越好。
判断不同工作的一个有用技巧是看看你的同事会是谁。你会变得像和你一起工作的人。你想成为像这些人一样的人吗?
确实,不同工作之间的性格差异被这样一个事实放大:其他每个人都面临着与你相同的决定。如果你主要根据报酬多少选择一种工作,你将被出于同样原因选择它的其他人包围,这将使它比从外面看起来更令人灵魂枯竭。而如果你选择你真正感兴趣的工作,你将主要被其他真正感兴趣的人包围,这将使它更加鼓舞人心。[3]
面对不确定性,你要做的另一件事是做出抗不确定性的选择。你对做什么越不确定,选择能给你未来更多选择的选择就越重要。我称之为”保持上风”。例如,如果你不确定是主修数学还是经济学,选择数学;数学在经济学的上风,因为从数学转向经济学比从经济学转向数学更容易。
不过,有一种情况很容易说你是否应该从事你最感兴趣的工作:如果你想做出伟大的工作。这不是做出伟大工作的充分条件,但它是必要条件。
关于是否”追随你的热情”的建议中存在很多选择偏差,这就是原因。大多数这样的建议来自著名成功的人,如果你问一个著名成功的人如何做他们所做的事,大多数人会告诉你,你必须从事你最感兴趣的工作。而这确实是事实。
这并不意味着这对每个人都是正确的建议。不是每个人都能做出伟大的工作,或者想要做。但如果你想做出伟大的工作,关于是否从事你最感兴趣工作的复杂问题就变得简单了。答案是肯定的。伟大工作的根源是一种雄心勃勃的好奇心,你无法制造这种好奇心。
注释
[1] 这些例子说明了为什么假设经济不平等必须是某种破损或不公平的证据是错误的。很明显,不同的人有不同的兴趣,有些兴趣比其他兴趣产生的钱多得多,所以一些人最终比其他人富有得多这一点怎么可能不明显呢?在一个有些人喜欢编写企业软件而其他人喜欢制作工作室陶器的世界里,经济不平等是自然结果。
[2] 在兴趣之间难以选择是另一回事。这不总是由于无知。它通常是内在困难的。我仍然在这方面有困难。
[3] 在这方面,你不能总是相信人们的说法。由于从事你感兴趣的工作比被金钱驱动更有声望,主要被金钱驱动的人经常声称他们对工作比实际更感兴趣。测试这种说法的一种方法是进行以下思想实验:如果他们的工作报酬不高,他们会为了在业余时间做它而从事白天的工作吗?很多数学家、科学家和工程师会。历史上很多人确实这样做了。但我不认为投资银行家会有那么多。
这个思想实验对于区分大学院系也很有用。
感谢
感谢Trevor Blackwell、Paul Buchheit、Jessica Livingston、Robert Morris、Harj Taggar和Garry Tan阅读本文草稿。
When To Do What You Love
September 2024
There’s some debate about whether it’s a good idea to “follow your passion.” In fact the question is impossible to answer with a simple yes or no. Sometimes you should and sometimes you shouldn’t, but the border between should and shouldn’t is very complicated. The only way to give a general answer is to trace it.
When people talk about this question, there’s always an implicit “instead of.” All other things being equal, why wouldn’t you work on what interests you the most? So even raising the question implies that all other things aren’t equal, and that you have to choose between working on what interests you the most and something else, like what pays the best.
And indeed if your main goal is to make money, you can’t usually afford to work on what interests you the most. People pay you for doing what they want, not what you want. But there’s an obvious exception: when you both want the same thing. For example, if you love football, and you’re good enough at it, you can get paid a lot to play it.
Of course the odds are against you in a case like football, because so many other people like playing it too. This is not to say you shouldn’t try though. It depends how much ability you have and how hard you’re willing to work.
The odds are better when you have strange tastes: when you like something that pays well and that few other people like. For example, it’s clear that Bill Gates truly loved running a software company. He didn’t just love programming, which a lot of people do. He loved writing software for customers. That is a very strange taste indeed, but if you have it, you can make a lot by indulging it.
There are even some people who have a genuine intellectual interest in making money. This is distinct from mere greed. They just can’t help noticing when something is mispriced, and can’t help doing something about it. It’s like a puzzle for them. [1]
In fact there’s an edge case here so spectacular that it turns all the preceding advice on its head. If you want to make a really huge amount of money — hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars — it turns out to be very useful to work on what interests you the most. The reason is not the extra motivation you get from doing this, but that the way to make a really large amount of money is to start a startup, and working on what interests you is an excellent way to discover startup ideas.
Many if not most of the biggest startups began as projects the founders were doing for fun. Apple, Google, and Facebook all began that way. Why is this pattern so common? Because the best ideas tend to be such outliers that you’d overlook them if you were consciously looking for ways to make money. Whereas if you’re young and good at technology, your unconscious instincts about what would be interesting to work on are very well aligned with what needs to be built.
So there’s something like a midwit peak for making money. If you don’t need to make much, you can work on whatever you’re most interested in; if you want to become moderately rich, you can’t usually afford to; but if you want to become super rich, and you’re young and good at technology, working on what you’re most interested in becomes a good idea again.
What if you’re not sure what you want? What if you’re attracted to the idea of making money and more attracted to some kinds of work than others, but neither attraction predominates? How do you break ties?
The key here is to understand that such ties are only apparent. When you have trouble choosing between following your interests and making money, it’s never because you have complete knowledge of yourself and of the types of work you’re choosing between, and the options are perfectly balanced. When you can’t decide which path to take, it’s almost always due to ignorance. In fact you’re usually suffering from three kinds of ignorance simultaneously: you don’t know what makes you happy, what the various kinds of work are really like, or how well you could do them. [2]
In a way this ignorance is excusable. It’s often hard to predict these things, and no one even tells you that you need to. If you’re ambitious you’re told you should go to college, and this is good advice so far as it goes, but that’s where it usually ends. No one tells you how to figure out what to work on, or how hard this can be.
What do you do in the face of uncertainty? Get more certainty. And probably the best way to do that is to try working on things you’re interested in. That will get you more information about how interested you are in them, how good you are at them, and how much scope they offer for ambition.
Don’t wait. Don’t wait till the end of college to figure out what to work on. Don’t even wait for internships during college. You don’t necessarily need a job doing x in order to work on x; often you can just start doing it in some form yourself. And since figuring out what to work on is a problem that could take years to solve, the sooner you start, the better.
One useful trick for judging different kinds of work is to look at who your colleagues will be. You’ll become like whoever you work with. Do you want to become like these people?
Indeed, the difference in character between different kinds of work is magnified by the fact that everyone else is facing the same decisions as you. If you choose a kind of work mainly for how well it pays, you’ll be surrounded by other people who chose it for the same reason, and that will make it even more soul-sucking than it seems from the outside. Whereas if you choose work you’re genuinely interested in, you’ll be surrounded mostly by other people who are genuinely interested in it, and that will make it extra inspiring. [3]
The other thing you do in the face of uncertainty is to make choices that are uncertainty-proof. The less sure you are about what to do, the more important it is to choose options that give you more options in the future. I call this “staying upwind.” If you’re unsure whether to major in math or economics, for example, choose math; math is upwind of economics in the sense that it will be easier to switch later from math to economics than from economics to math.
There’s one case, though, where it’s easy to say whether you should work on what interests you the most: if you want to do great work. This is not a sufficient condition for doing great work, but it is a necessary one.
There’s a lot of selection bias in advice about whether to “follow your passion,” and this is the reason. Most such advice comes from people who are famously successful, and if you ask someone who’s famously successful how to do what they did, most will tell you that you have to work on what you’re most interested in. And this is in fact true.
That doesn’t mean it’s the right advice for everyone. Not everyone can do great work, or wants to. But if you do want to, the complicated question of whether or not to work on what interests you the most becomes simple. The answer is yes. The root of great work is a sort of ambitious curiosity, and you can’t manufacture that.
Notes
[1] These examples show why it’s a mistake to assume that economic inequality must be evidence of some kind of brokenness or unfairness. It’s obvious that different people have different interests, and that some interests yield far more money than others, so how can it not be obvious that some people will end up much richer than others? In a world where some people like to write enterprise software and others like to make studio pottery, economic inequality is the natural outcome.
[2] Difficulty choosing between interests is a different matter. That’s not always due to ignorance. It’s often intrinsically difficult. I still have trouble doing it.
[3] You can’t always take people at their word on this. Since it’s more prestigious to work on things you’re interested in than to be driven by money, people who are driven mainly by money will often claim to be more interested in their work than they actually are. One way to test such claims is by doing the following thought experiment: if their work didn’t pay well, would they take day jobs doing something else in order to do it in their spare time? Lots of mathematicians and scientists and engineers would. Historically lots have. But I don’t think as many investment bankers would.
This thought experiment is also useful for distinguishing between university departments.
Thanks
Thanks to Trevor Blackwell, Paul Buchheit, Jessica Livingston, Robert Morris, Harj Taggar, and Garry Tan for reading drafts of this.