拖累盲区
拖累盲区
2012年1月
伟大的创业想法就在我们眼皮底下未被利用。我们看不到它们的一个原因是我称之为拖累盲区的现象。Schlep最初是一个意第绪语单词,但已经在美国通用。它意味着一项繁琐、不愉快的任务。
没有人喜欢拖累,但黑客尤其不喜欢它们。大多数开始创业的黑客希望他们能够只写一些聪明的软件,把它放在某个服务器上,看着钱滚滚而来——而不必与用户交谈,或与其他公司谈判,或处理其他人的破损代码。也许这是可能的,但我还没有看到。
我们在Y Combinator做的许多事情之一是教导黑客们拖累的不可避免性。不,你不能只通过写代码来创业。我记得我自己经历了这种认识。在1995年的某个时刻,我仍然试图说服自己我可以只通过写代码来创业。但我很快从经验中学到,拖累不仅是不可避免的,而且基本上就是商业的组成部分。
一个公司是由它愿意承担的拖累来定义的。拖累应该像对待冷水游泳池一样处理:直接跳进去。这并不是说你应该刻意寻求不愉快的工作,而是说你永远不应该回避它,如果它在通往伟大事物的道路上。
我们对拖累的厌恶最危险的部分是其中大部分是无意识的。你的无意识甚至不会让你看到涉及痛苦拖累的想法。这就是拖累盲区。
这种现象不仅仅限于创业。大多数人不会有意识地决定不拥有与奥林匹克运动员一样好的身体状况。例如,他们的无意识为他们做决定,回避所涉及的工作。
我所知道的拖累盲区最突出的例子是Stripe,或者更确切地说是Stripe的想法。十多年来,每个曾经不得不在线处理付款的黑客都知道这个体验有多痛苦。成千上万的人一定知道这个问题。然而当他们开始创业时,他们决定建立食谱网站,或者本地活动聚合器。为什么?为什么在你可以修复世界上最重要基础设施之一的组件时,要从事很少有人关心也没有人会为之付钱的问题?因为拖累盲区阻止人们甚至考虑修复付款的想法。
可能没有人申请Y Combinator做食谱网站项目时首先问”我们应该修复付款,还是建立食谱网站?“然后选择了食谱网站。虽然修复付款的想法就在明面上,但他们从未看到它,因为他们的无意识回避所涉及的复杂性。你将不得不与银行达成协议。你怎么做到的?而且你在转移资金,所以你将不得不处理欺诈,以及试图闯入你服务器的人。而且可能还有各种法规需要遵守。开始像这样的创业公司比开始食谱网站创业公司要令人畏惧得多。
这种可怕性使得雄心勃勃的想法具有双重价值。除了它们的内在价值之外,它们就像被低估的股票,因为在创始人中对它们的需求较少。如果你选择一个雄心勃勃的想法,你将有更少的竞争,因为其他人都会被所涉及的挑战吓倒。(这对于创业一般也是正确的。)
你如何克服拖累盲区?坦率地说,对拖累盲区最有价值的解药可能是无知。大多数成功的创始人可能会说,如果他们在开始创业时知道他们必须克服的障碍,他们可能永远不会开始。也许这就是为什么最成功的创业公司经常有年轻创始人的原因之一。
在实践中,创始人与问题一起成长。但似乎没有人能够预见到这一点,即使是更年长、更有经验的创始人。所以年轻创始人有优势的原因是他们犯两个错误,这些错误相互抵消。他们不知道他们能成长多少,但他们也不知道他们需要成长多少。年长的创始人只犯第一个错误。
无知不能解决所有问题。有些想法如此明显地涉及令人担忧的拖累,任何人都能看到它们。你如何看到这样的想法?我推荐的技巧是自己退出画面。不要问”我应该解决什么问题?“而是问”我希望别人为我解决什么问题?“如果在Stripe之前有人不得不处理付款的人尝试问这个问题,Stripe会是他们首先希望的事情之一。
现在成为Stripe已经太晚了,但世界上仍然有很多破损的东西,如果你知道如何看到它。
感谢萨姆·奥特曼、保罗·布赫海特、帕特里克·克里森、亚伦·伊巴、杰西卡·利文斯顿、埃米特·谢尔和哈吉·塔加阅读本文的草稿。
Schlep Blindness
January 2012
There are great startup ideas lying around unexploited right under our noses. One reason we don’t see them is a phenomenon I call schlep blindness. Schlep was originally a Yiddish word but has passed into general use in the US. It means a tedious, unpleasant task.
No one likes schleps, but hackers especially dislike them. Most hackers who start startups wish they could do it by just writing some clever software, putting it on a server somewhere, and watching the money roll in—without ever having to talk to users, or negotiate with other companies, or deal with other people’s broken code. Maybe that’s possible, but I haven’t seen it.
One of the many things we do at Y Combinator is teach hackers about the inevitability of schleps. No, you can’t start a startup by just writing code. I remember going through this realization myself. There was a point in 1995 when I was still trying to convince myself I could start a company by just writing code. But I soon learned from experience that schleps are not merely inevitable, but pretty much what business consists of.
A company is defined by the schleps it will undertake. And schleps should be dealt with the same way you’d deal with a cold swimming pool: just jump in. Which is not to say you should seek out unpleasant work per se, but that you should never shrink from it if it’s on the path to something great.
The most dangerous thing about our dislike of schleps is that much of it is unconscious. Your unconscious won’t even let you see ideas that involve painful schleps. That’s schlep blindness.
The phenomenon isn’t limited to startups. Most people don’t consciously decide not to be in as good physical shape as Olympic athletes, for example. Their unconscious mind decides for them, shrinking from the work involved.
The most striking example I know of schlep blindness is Stripe, or rather Stripe’s idea. For over a decade, every hacker who’d ever had to process payments online knew how painful the experience was. Thousands of people must have known about this problem. And yet when they started startups, they decided to build recipe sites, or aggregators for local events. Why? Why work on problems few care much about and no one will pay for, when you could fix one of the most important components of the world’s infrastructure? Because schlep blindness prevented people from even considering the idea of fixing payments.
Probably no one who applied to Y Combinator to work on a recipe site began by asking “should we fix payments, or build a recipe site?” and chose the recipe site. Though the idea of fixing payments was right there in plain sight, they never saw it, because their unconscious mind shrank from the complications involved. You’d have to make deals with banks. How do you do that? Plus you’re moving money, so you’re going to have to deal with fraud, and people trying to break into your servers. Plus there are probably all sorts of regulations to comply with. It’s a lot more intimidating to start a startup like this than a recipe site.
That scariness makes ambitious ideas doubly valuable. In addition to their intrinsic value, they’re like undervalued stocks in the sense that there’s less demand for them among founders. If you pick an ambitious idea, you’ll have less competition, because everyone else will have been frightened off by the challenges involved. (This is also true of starting a startup generally.)
How do you overcome schlep blindness? Frankly, the most valuable antidote to schlep blindness is probably ignorance. Most successful founders would probably say that if they’d known when they were starting their company about the obstacles they’d have to overcome, they might never have started it. Maybe that’s one reason the most successful startups of all so often have young founders.
In practice the founders grow with the problems. But no one seems able to foresee that, not even older, more experienced founders. So the reason younger founders have an advantage is that they make two mistakes that cancel each other out. They don’t know how much they can grow, but they also don’t know how much they’ll need to. Older founders only make the first mistake.
Ignorance can’t solve everything though. Some ideas so obviously entail alarming schleps that anyone can see them. How do you see ideas like that? The trick I recommend is to take yourself out of the picture. Instead of asking “what problem should I solve?” ask “what problem do I wish someone else would solve for me?” If someone who had to process payments before Stripe had tried asking that, Stripe would have been one of the first things they wished for.
It’s too late now to be Stripe, but there’s plenty still broken in the world, if you know how to see it.
Thanks to Sam Altman, Paul Buchheit, Patrick Collison, Aaron Iba, Jessica Livingston, Emmett Shear, and Harj Taggar for reading drafts of this.