有机的创业想法

Paul Graham 2010-04-01

有机的创业想法

2010年4月

想创办初创公司?获得 Y Combinator 的资助。

想出创业想法的最好方法是问自己这个问题:你希望有人为你做什么?

有两种类型的创业想法:那些从你自己的生活中有机生长出来的,以及那些你从远处决定将对除你之外的其他用户群体必要的想法。苹果是第一种类型。苹果的发生是因为Steve Wozniak想要一台电脑。与大多数想要电脑的人不同,他能设计一台,所以他做了。而且由于很多其他人也想要同样的东西,苹果能够卖出足够的电脑来让公司运转起来。顺便说一句,他们今天仍然依赖这个原则。iPhone是Steve Jobs想要的手机。[1]

我们自己的初创公司Viaweb是第二种类型。我们制作了建立在线商店的软件。我们自己不需要这个软件。我们不是直销商。当我们开始时,我们甚至不知道我们的用户被称为”直销商”。但我们开始公司时相对较老(我30岁,Robert Morris 29岁),所以我们见过足够多的情况知道用户需要这种类型的软件。[2]

这两种类型的想法之间没有明确的界限,但最成功的初创公司似乎更接近苹果类型而不是Viaweb类型。当Bill Gates为Altair编写第一个Basic解释器时,他在写一些他会使用的东西,Larry和Sergey编写Google的第一个版本时也是如此。

有机的想法通常比编造的那种更可取,但当创始人年轻时尤其如此。预测其他人想要什么需要经验。我们在Y Combinator看到的最糟糕的想法来自年轻的创始人制作他们认为其他人想要的东西。

所以如果你想创办初创公司但还不知道要做什么,我鼓励你最初专注于有机的想法。你日常生活中缺少或有什么问题?有时如果你只是问这个问题,你会立即得到答案。对Bill Gates来说,你只能用机器语言为Altair编程,这显然是有问题的。

你可能需要站在自己之外一点来看问题,因为你往往会习惯它并想当然。不过你可以肯定它存在。总是有伟大的想法就在我们眼前。2004年,哈佛本科生仍然使用印刷在纸上的Facebook,这是很荒谬的。当然,这类东西应该在线。

现在有同样明显的想法 lying around。你忽略它们的原因与你在2004年忽略建立Facebook的想法的原因相同:有机的创业想法最初通常不像创业想法。我们现在知道Facebook非常成功,但把自己放回2004年。把本科生的档案放在网上不会看起来像什么创业想法。事实上,它最初也不是一个创业想法。今年冬天Mark在YC晚宴上发言时说,他写Facebook的第一个版本时并没有试图创办公司。这只是一个项目。当Woz开始开发Apple I时也是如此。他没有认为自己在创办公司。如果这些人认为他们在创办公司,他们可能会被诱惑做一些更”严肃”的事情,那将是一个错误。

所以如果你想出有机的创业想法,我鼓励你更多地关注想法部分,而不是创业部分。只修复看似有问题的事情,无论这个问题是否看起来重要到可以建立一个公司。如果你继续追求这样的线索,很难不最终做出对很多人有价值的东西,当你这样做时,惊喜,你有了一家公司。[3]

如果你最初生产的东西被其他人视为玩具而 dismiss,不要灰心。事实上,这是一个好兆头。这可能是为什么其他人一直忽略这个想法的原因。第一台微型计算机被视为玩具。第一架飞机,第一辆汽车也是如此。在这一点上,当有人带着用户喜欢但我们能想象论坛巨魔视为玩具的东西来找我们时,这使我们特别可能投资。

虽然年轻创始人在想出编造的想法时处于劣势,但他们是有机想法的最佳来源,因为他们处于技术的前沿。他们使用最新的东西。他们刚刚决定使用什么,为什么不呢?因为他们使用最新的东西,他们处于首先发现有价值的可修复问题的位置。

没有什么比刚刚变得可解决的未满足需求更有价值了。如果你发现一些可以为很多人修复的问题,你就发现了一个金矿。就像真正的金矿一样,你仍然必须努力工作才能从中提炼出黄金。但至少你知道矿脉在哪里,那是困难的部分。

注释

[1] 这表明了一种预测苹果将会薄弱领域的方法:Steve Jobs不使用的东西。例如,我怀疑他对游戏很感兴趣。

[2] 回顾起来,我们应该成为直销商。如果我再做Viaweb,我会开设我们自己的在线商店。如果我们这样做了,我们会更好地理解用户。我鼓励任何开始初创公司的人成为其用户之一,无论这看起来多么不自然。

[3] 可能的例外:很难与开源软件直接竞争。你可以为程序员构建东西,但必须有一些可以收费的部分。

感谢Sam Altman、Trevor Blackwell和Jessica Livingston阅读本文草稿。

Organic Startup Ideas

April 2010

Want to start a startup? Get funded by Y Combinator.

The best way to come up with startup ideas is to ask yourself the question: what do you wish someone would make for you?

There are two types of startup ideas: those that grow organically out of your own life, and those that you decide, from afar, are going to be necessary to some class of users other than you. Apple was the first type. Apple happened because Steve Wozniak wanted a computer. Unlike most people who wanted computers, he could design one, so he did. And since lots of other people wanted the same thing, Apple was able to sell enough of them to get the company rolling. They still rely on this principle today, incidentally. The iPhone is the phone Steve Jobs wants. [1]

Our own startup, Viaweb, was of the second type. We made software for building online stores. We didn’t need this software ourselves. We weren’t direct marketers. We didn’t even know when we started that our users were called “direct marketers.” But we were comparatively old when we started the company (I was 30 and Robert Morris was 29), so we’d seen enough to know users would need this type of software. [2]

There is no sharp line between the two types of ideas, but the most successful startups seem to be closer to the Apple type than the Viaweb type. When he was writing that first Basic interpreter for the Altair, Bill Gates was writing something he would use, as were Larry and Sergey when they wrote the first versions of Google.

Organic ideas are generally preferable to the made up kind, but particularly so when the founders are young. It takes experience to predict what other people will want. The worst ideas we see at Y Combinator are from young founders making things they think other people will want.

So if you want to start a startup and don’t know yet what you’re going to do, I’d encourage you to focus initially on organic ideas. What’s missing or broken in your daily life? Sometimes if you just ask that question you’ll get immediate answers. It must have seemed obviously broken to Bill Gates that you could only program the Altair in machine language.

You may need to stand outside yourself a bit to see brokenness, because you tend to get used to it and take it for granted. You can be sure it’s there, though. There are always great ideas sitting right under our noses. In 2004 it was ridiculous that Harvard undergrads were still using a Facebook printed on paper. Surely that sort of thing should have been online.

There are ideas that obvious lying around now. The reason you’re overlooking them is the same reason you’d have overlooked the idea of building Facebook in 2004: organic startup ideas usually don’t seem like startup ideas at first. We know now that Facebook was very successful, but put yourself back in 2004. Putting undergraduates’ profiles online wouldn’t have seemed like much of a startup idea. And in fact, it wasn’t initially a startup idea. When Mark spoke at a YC dinner this winter he said he wasn’t trying to start a company when he wrote the first version of Facebook. It was just a project. So was the Apple I when Woz first started working on it. He didn’t think he was starting a company. If these guys had thought they were starting companies, they might have been tempted to do something more “serious,” and that would have been a mistake.

So if you want to come up with organic startup ideas, I’d encourage you to focus more on the idea part and less on the startup part. Just fix things that seem broken, regardless of whether it seems like the problem is important enough to build a company on. If you keep pursuing such threads it would be hard not to end up making something of value to a lot of people, and when you do, surprise, you’ve got a company. [3]

Don’t be discouraged if what you produce initially is something other people dismiss as a toy. In fact, that’s a good sign. That’s probably why everyone else has been overlooking the idea. The first microcomputers were dismissed as toys. And the first planes, and the first cars. At this point, when someone comes to us with something that users like but that we could envision forum trolls dismissing as a toy, it makes us especially likely to invest.

While young founders are at a disadvantage when coming up with made-up ideas, they’re the best source of organic ones, because they’re at the forefront of technology. They use the latest stuff. They only just decided what to use, so why wouldn’t they? And because they use the latest stuff, they’re in a position to discover valuable types of fixable brokenness first.

There’s nothing more valuable than an unmet need that is just becoming fixable. If you find something broken that you can fix for a lot of people, you’ve found a gold mine. As with an actual gold mine, you still have to work hard to get the gold out of it. But at least you know where the seam is, and that’s the hard part.

Notes

[1] This suggests a way to predict areas where Apple will be weak: things Steve Jobs doesn’t use. E.g. I doubt he is much into gaming.

[2] In retrospect, we should have become direct marketers. If I were doing Viaweb again, I’d open our own online store. If we had, we’d have understood users a lot better. I’d encourage anyone starting a startup to become one of its users, however unnatural it seems.

[3] Possible exception: It’s hard to compete directly with open source software. You can build things for programmers, but there has to be some part you can charge for.

Thanks to Sam Altman, Trevor Blackwell, and Jessica Livingston for reading drafts of this.