硬件复兴

Paul Graham 2012-10-01

硬件复兴

想要创业?获得Y Combinator的投资。

2012年10月

Y Combinator早期、广泛关注的优势之一是我们比大多数人更早看到趋势。而最近一批中最引人注目的趋势之一是大量硬件创业公司。在84家公司中,有7家在制造硬件。总的来说,它们比那些不是硬件公司的公司做得更好。

它们当然面临投资者的抵制。投资者对硬件有根深蒂固的偏见。但投资者的意见是一个滞后指标。最好的创始人比最好的投资者更善于看到未来,因为最好的创始人正在创造未来。

推动这一趋势的不是单一力量。硬件在众筹网站上表现出色。平板电脑的普及使得制造由它们控制甚至 incorporating 它们的新东西成为可能。电动机已经改进。各种类型的无线连接现在被认为是理所当然的。制造东西变得越来越直接。Arduinos、3D打印、激光切割机和更容易接触到的CNC铣床使硬件原型制作更容易。随着客户越来越多地在线购买,零售商的瓶颈作用减小。

我能回答的一个问题是为什么硬件突然变得酷。它一直都很酷。物理的东西很棒。它们只是不像软件那样是创办快速增长业务的绝佳方式。但这个规则可能不是永久性的。它甚至没有那么古老;它只追溯到大约1990年。也许软件的优势将被证明是暂时的。黑客喜欢制造硬件,客户喜欢购买它。所以如果硬件发布的便利性即使接近软件发布的便利性,我们会看到更多的硬件创业公司。

这不是第一次某个东西在不是坏主意之前一直是坏主意。这也不会是第一次投资者从创始人那里学到这个教训。

所以如果你想从事硬件工作,不要因为担心投资者会歧视你而阻止你这样做。特别是,不要因为担心而阻止你向Y Combinator申请硬件创意,因为我们对硬件创业公司特别感兴趣。

我们知道下一个史蒂夫·乔布斯有空间。但几乎可以肯定,第一个<你的名字>也有空间。

感谢Sam Altman、Trevor Blackwell、David Cann、Sanjay Dastoor、Paul Gerhardt、Cameron Robertson、Harj Taggar和Garry Tan阅读本文草稿。

在”软件吞噬世界”的同时的硬件复兴?

The Hardware Renaissance

Want to start a startup? Get funded by Y Combinator.

October 2012

One advantage of Y Combinator’s early, broad focus is that we see trends before most other people. And one of the most conspicuous trends in the last batch was the large number of hardware startups. Out of 84 companies, 7 were making hardware. On the whole they’ve done better than the companies that weren’t.

They’ve faced resistance from investors of course. Investors have a deep-seated bias against hardware. But investors’ opinions are a trailing indicator. The best founders are better at seeing the future than the best investors, because the best founders are making it.

There is no one single force driving this trend. Hardware does well on crowdfunding sites. The spread of tablets makes it possible to build new things controlled by and even incorporating them. Electric motors have improved. Wireless connectivity of various types can now be taken for granted. It’s getting more straightforward to get things manufactured. Arduinos, 3D printing, laser cutters, and more accessible CNC milling are making hardware easier to prototype. Retailers are less of a bottleneck as customers increasingly buy online.

One question I can answer is why hardware is suddenly cool. It always was cool. Physical things are great. They just haven’t been as great a way to start a rapidly growing business as software. But that rule may not be permanent. It’s not even that old; it only dates from about 1990. Maybe the advantage of software will turn out to have been temporary. Hackers love to build hardware, and customers love to buy it. So if the ease of shipping hardware even approached the ease of shipping software, we’d see a lot more hardware startups.

It wouldn’t be the first time something was a bad idea till it wasn’t. And it wouldn’t be the first time investors learned that lesson from founders.

So if you want to work on hardware, don’t be deterred from doing it because you worry investors will discriminate against you. And in particular, don’t be deterred from applying to Y Combinator with a hardware idea, because we’re especially interested in hardware startups.

We know there’s room for the next Steve Jobs. But there’s almost certainly also room for the first .

Thanks to Sam Altman, Trevor Blackwell, David Cann, Sanjay Dastoor, Paul Gerhardt, Cameron Robertson, Harj Taggar, and Garry Tan for reading drafts of this.

A Hardware Renaissance while “Software Eats the World”?