猛烈的极客
猛烈的极客
2021年5月
大多数人认为极客是安静、谦逊的人。在普通的社交场合中他们确实如此——就像明星四分卫发现自己身处物理学研讨会中一样安静谦逊。原因也是一样的:他们是离水的鱼。但极客表面上的谦逊是一种错觉,这是因为当非极客观察他们时,通常是在普通的社交场合。事实上,一些极客相当猛烈。
猛烈的极客是一个小而有趣的群体。他们通常极具竞争性——我想说,比极具竞争性的非极客还要更具竞争性。竞争对他们来说更个人化。部分原因可能是他们情感上不够成熟,无法与竞争保持距离,但也因为他们参与的竞争种类中随机性较少,因此他们更有理由将结果个人化。
猛烈的极客也往往有些过于自信,尤其是在年轻时。看起来对自己的能力产生误判可能是个缺点,但经验表明并非如此。在一定程度上,自信是自我实现的预言。
你在大多数猛烈极客身上发现的另一个品质是智慧。不是所有极客都聪明,但猛烈的极客至少都是中等聪明的。如果不是这样,他们就不会有成为猛烈极客的信心。[1]
极客特质和独立思维之间也有天然的联系。如果不有些社交笨拙,就很难有独立思维,因为传统信念经常是错误的,或者至少是任意的。任何既有独立思维又有雄心的人都不会浪费精力去适应。而猛烈极客的独立思维显然是积极型而非消极型的:他们会被规则惹恼,而不是梦幻般地 unaware of them.
我不太确定为什么猛烈极客缺乏耐心,但大多数人似乎都是。你首先在对话中注意到这一点,他们倾向于打断你。这只是令人讨厌的,但在更有前途的猛烈极客中,这与对解决问题更深层次的不耐心有关。也许猛烈极客的竞争性和不耐心不是分离的品质,而是单一内在驱动力的两种表现。
当你以足够数量结合所有这些品质时,结果相当可怕。猛烈极客行动中最生动的例子可能是詹姆斯·沃森的《双螺旋》。书的第一句话是”我从未见过弗朗西斯·克里克保持谦虚的态度”,他接着描绘的克里克形象是典型的猛烈极客:聪明、社交笨拙、竞争性强、独立思维、过于自信。但他隐含地描绘的自己也是如此。事实上,他缺乏社交意识使两幅画像更加真实,因为他直言不讳地陈述了各种圆滑的人会隐藏的意见和动机。而且从故事中可以清楚地看出,克里克和沃森的猛烈极客特质对他们的成功至关重要。他们的独立思维使他们考虑大多数人忽略的方法,他们的过度自信让他们从事只理解一半的问题(他们实际上被一位著名的内部人士描述为”小丑”),而他们的不耐心和竞争性使他们比其他两个小组抢先找到了答案,否则那些小组会在下一年,如果不是下几个月的话找到答案。[2]
可能存在猛烈极客这个想法对许多普通人来说是陌生的,甚至对一些年轻的极客也是如此。特别是在早期,极客在普通社交场合花费太多时间,而做真正工作的时间太少,以至于他们获得的关于自己笨拙的证据比关于自己力量的证据多得多。因此,有些人读到对猛烈极客的描述时会意识到”嗯,那是我”。而我现在要转向的就是你,年轻的猛烈极客。
我有一些好消息,也有一些坏消息。好消息是,你的猛烈特质将在解决难题方面给你很大帮助。不仅仅是极客传统上解决的科学和技术问题。随着世界进步,通过获得正确答案而赢得胜利的事情数量增加了。最近变富成为了其中之一:美国最富有的8个人中有7个现在是猛烈的极客。
事实上,在商业中成为猛烈极客可能比在极客传统学术领域更有帮助。在那里,猛烈似乎是可选的。例如,达尔文似乎并不特别猛烈。而在没有猛烈特质的情况下,不可能成为超过一定规模公司的CEO,所以既然极客可以在商业中获胜,猛烈的极客将越来越垄断真正的大成功。
坏消息是,如果不加以运用,你的猛烈特质将变成苦涩,你将成为知识游乐场恶霸:暴躁的系统管理员、论坛喷子、黑粉、新思想的扼杀者。
如何避免这种命运?从事雄心勃勃的项目。如果你成功,它会带来一种中和苦涩的满足感。但你不需要成功就能感受到这一点;仅仅从事困难的项目就给大多数猛烈极客某种满足感。而对那些没有感觉的人,至少让他们忙碌。[3]
另一个解决方案可能是以某种方式关闭你的猛烈特质,通过致力于冥想或心理治疗之类的事情。也许这对某些人来说是正确的答案。我不知道。但这对我来说似乎不是最优解决方案。如果你得到一把锋利的刀,在我看来最好是使用它,而不是为了割伤自己而钝化它的边缘。
如果你确实选择雄心勃勃的路线,你将有顺风推动你。从来没有比现在更好的成为极客的时机。在过去的一个世纪里,我们看到了权力从交易者到技术人员的持续转移——从有魅力到有能力的转移——我没有看到任何会结束这种转移的迹象。至少不会直到极客自己通过带来技术奇点而结束它。
注释
[1] 成为极客就是社交笨拙,有两种不同的方式:玩和每个人一样的游戏,但玩得很差,或者玩不同的游戏。聪明的极客是后一种类型。
[2] 使猛烈极客如此有效的品质也可能使他们非常令人讨厌。猛烈的极客最好记住这一点,并且(a)尽量控制它,(b)寻找那些获得正确答案比保持社会和谐更重要的组织和工作类型。实际上这意味着在困难问题上工作的小组。幸运的是,这是最有趣的环境类型。
[3] 如果成功中和了苦涩,为什么有些至少中等成功的人仍然相当苦涩?因为人们潜在的苦涩程度取决于他们性格中自然的苦涩程度和他们的雄心程度:天生非常苦涩的人在成功中和了其中一些后仍然剩下很多,而非常有雄心的人需要比例上更多的成功来满足那种雄心。
所以最坏的情况是某人既天生苦涩又极具雄心,却只是中等成功。
感谢特雷弗·布莱克威尔、史蒂夫·布兰克、帕特里克·克里森、杰西卡·利文斯顿、阿姆贾德·马萨德和罗伯特·莫里斯阅读本文的草稿。
Fierce Nerds
May 2021
Most people think of nerds as quiet, diffident people. In ordinary social situations they are — as quiet and diffident as the star quarterback would be if he found himself in the middle of a physics symposium. And for the same reason: they are fish out of water. But the apparent diffidence of nerds is an illusion due to the fact that when non-nerds observe them, it’s usually in ordinary social situations. In fact some nerds are quite fierce.
The fierce nerds are a small but interesting group. They are as a rule extremely competitive — more competitive, I’d say, than highly competitive non-nerds. Competition is more personal for them. Partly perhaps because they’re not emotionally mature enough to distance themselves from it, but also because there’s less randomness in the kinds of competition they engage in, and they are thus more justified in taking the results personally.
Fierce nerds also tend to be somewhat overconfident, especially when young. It might seem like it would be a disadvantage to be mistaken about one’s abilities, but empirically it isn’t. Up to a point, confidence is a self-fullfilling prophecy.
Another quality you find in most fierce nerds is intelligence. Not all nerds are smart, but the fierce ones are always at least moderately so. If they weren’t, they wouldn’t have the confidence to be fierce. [1]
There’s also a natural connection between nerdiness and independent-mindedness. It’s hard to be independent-minded without being somewhat socially awkward, because conventional beliefs are so often mistaken, or at least arbitrary. No one who was both independent-minded and ambitious would want to waste the effort it takes to fit in. And the independent-mindedness of the fierce nerds will obviously be of the aggressive rather than the passive type: they’ll be annoyed by rules, rather than dreamily unaware of them.
I’m less sure why fierce nerds are impatient, but most seem to be. You notice it first in conversation, where they tend to interrupt you. This is merely annoying, but in the more promising fierce nerds it’s connected to a deeper impatience about solving problems. Perhaps the competitiveness and impatience of fierce nerds are not separate qualities, but two manifestations of a single underlying drivenness.
When you combine all these qualities in sufficient quantities, the result is quite formidable. The most vivid example of fierce nerds in action may be James Watson’s The Double Helix. The first sentence of the book is “I have never seen Francis Crick in a modest mood,” and the portrait he goes on to paint of Crick is the quintessential fierce nerd: brilliant, socially awkward, competitive, independent-minded, overconfident. But so is the implicit portrait he paints of himself. Indeed, his lack of social awareness makes both portraits that much more realistic, because he baldly states all sorts of opinions and motivations that a smoother person would conceal. And moreover it’s clear from the story that Crick and Watson’s fierce nerdiness was integral to their success. Their independent-mindedness caused them to consider approaches that most others ignored, their overconfidence allowed them to work on problems they only half understood (they were literally described as “clowns” by one eminent insider), and their impatience and competitiveness got them to the answer ahead of two other groups that would otherwise have found it within the next year, if not the next several months. [2]
The idea that there could be fierce nerds is an unfamiliar one not just to many normal people but even to some young nerds. Especially early on, nerds spend so much of their time in ordinary social situations and so little doing real work that they get a lot more evidence of their awkwardness than their power. So there will be some who read this description of the fierce nerd and realize “Hmm, that’s me.” And it is to you, young fierce nerd, that I now turn.
I have some good news, and some bad news. The good news is that your fierceness will be a great help in solving difficult problems. And not just the kind of scientific and technical problems that nerds have traditionally solved. As the world progresses, the number of things you can win at by getting the right answer increases. Recently getting rich became one of them: 7 of the 8 richest people in America are now fierce nerds.
Indeed, being a fierce nerd is probably even more helpful in business than in nerds’ original territory of scholarship. Fierceness seems optional there. Darwin for example doesn’t seem to have been especially fierce. Whereas it’s impossible to be the CEO of a company over a certain size without being fierce, so now that nerds can win at business, fierce nerds will increasingly monopolize the really big successes.
The bad news is that if it’s not exercised, your fierceness will turn to bitterness, and you will become an intellectual playground bully: the grumpy sysadmin, the forum troll, the hater, the shooter down of new ideas.
How do you avoid this fate? Work on ambitious projects. If you succeed, it will bring you a kind of satisfaction that neutralizes bitterness. But you don’t need to have succeeded to feel this; merely working on hard projects gives most fierce nerds some feeling of satisfaction. And those it doesn’t, it at least keeps busy. [3]
Another solution may be to somehow turn off your fierceness, by devoting yourself to meditation or psychotherapy or something like that. Maybe that’s the right answer for some people. I have no idea. But it doesn’t seem the optimal solution to me. If you’re given a sharp knife, it seems to me better to use it than to blunt its edge to avoid cutting yourself.
If you do choose the ambitious route, you’ll have a tailwind behind you. There has never been a better time to be a nerd. In the past century we’ve seen a continuous transfer of power from dealmakers to technicians — from the charismatic to the competent — and I don’t see anything on the horizon that will end it. At least not till the nerds end it themselves by bringing about the singularity.
Notes
[1] To be a nerd is to be socially awkward, and there are two distinct ways to do that: to be playing the same game as everyone else, but badly, and to be playing a different game. The smart nerds are the latter type.
[2] The same qualities that make fierce nerds so effective can also make them very annoying. Fierce nerds would do well to remember this, and (a) try to keep a lid on it, and (b) seek out organizations and types of work where getting the right answer matters more than preserving social harmony. In practice that means small groups working on hard problems. Which fortunately is the most fun kind of environment anyway.
[3] If success neutralizes bitterness, why are there some people who are at least moderately successful and yet still quite bitter? Because people’s potential bitterness varies depending on how naturally bitter their personality is, and how ambitious they are: someone who’s naturally very bitter will still have a lot left after success neutralizes some of it, and someone who’s very ambitious will need proportionally more success to satisfy that ambition.
So the worst-case scenario is someone who’s both naturally bitter and extremely ambitious, and yet only moderately successful.
Thanks to Trevor Blackwell, Steve Blank, Patrick Collison, Jessica Livingston, Amjad Masad, and Robert Morris for reading drafts of this.